METO UK Further Outlook 16 Day To 30 Forecast

[damianslaw]

Meto as expected still remain cautious at this stage, but should start to firm up on a much colder outlook in the coming days - provided of course all the 'encouraging signals' for cold fall into place.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 21 Jan 2013 to Monday 4 Feb 2013:

There is greater than average uncertainty throughout this forecast period, though there is an increasing probability of a trend to colder conditions relative to what we have seen so far this winter. This brings the risk of spells of colder than average conditions and wintry weather, especially across northern and eastern areas of the UK.

Updated: 1150 on Sun 6 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 22 Jan 2013 to Tuesday 5 Feb 2013:

There is greater than average uncertainty through this period, with no strong signal for any one weather type to dominate. However, on balance colder, drier conditions are more favoured rather than the milder, wetter weather experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1135 on Mon 7 Jan

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Weathizard]

Oh dear, not a good update!!

EDIT : However, its hardly been reliable recently has it!!

Edited January 7, 2013 by Weathizard

[Methuselah]

They're just telling it like it is, mate...Could you do a better job? Could I?

[johnholmes]

Oh dear, not a good update!!

EDIT : However, its hardly been reliable recently has it!!

clue

neither has the weather!

[UV-RAY]

All of this has a familiar ring to it, as it reminds me of Decembers cold spell when the MOGRAPS model picked up a new signal and the rest is history.

[Neiller22]

Meto update as useful as anything at the moment!! They constantly change so wouldn't read much into it. Like everyone they haven't a clue at the mo in lrf !!

[UV-RAY]

Meto update as useful as anything at the moment!! They constantly change so wouldn't read much into it. Like everyone they haven't a clue at the mo in lrf !!

True to some extent but there short term model is very good at picking up small changes nearer the time.

[mountain shadow]

Basically, they dont have a clue and neither does anyone Else.

[UV-RAY]

Basically, they dont have a clue and neither does anyone Else.

Again true to some extent, but I would say in the next couple of days we will see whether the first cold shot is a snap or a spell, I would go for the former as all the signals point towards the latter end of this month for any deep lasting cold.

[johnholmes]

Basically, they dont have a clue and neither does anyone Else.

another rather OTT statement and one I suspect largely because you are not being told another 1947, 1962-63 is about to start.

Reality is sometimes painful to bear I realise but their forecasts are probably, as they should be mark you, better than anything you will find anywhere else on the web.

Perhaps you would like to volunteer to check their daily ouput for 6-15 days as a starter to see how clueless they actually are?

[UV-RAY]

another rather OTT statement and one I suspect largely because you are not being told another 1947, 1962-63 is about to start.

Reality is sometimes painful to bear I realise but their forecasts are probably, as they should be mark you, better than anything you will find anywhere else on the web.

Perhaps you would like to volunteer to check their daily ouput for 6-15 days as a starter to see how clueless they actually are?

I think maybe MS was referring to the outlook now rather than just having a pop at the MetO, as we all know all of the models are struggling and the MetO are quite rightly stating that uncertainty being shown in their forecasts.

[Neiller22]

That's exactly what I think MS meant. Just stating at present nobody has a clue in the LRF ! Not slagging the met!!! God can nobody have an opinion

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 23 Jan 2013 to Wednesday 6 Feb 2013:

There is greater than average uncertainty through this period, with no strong signal for any one weather type to dominate. However, on balance colder, drier conditions are more favoured rather than the milder, wetter weather experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1139 on Tue 8 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 24 Jan 2013 to Thursday 7 Feb 2013:

There is greater than average uncertainty through this period, with no strong signal for any one weather type to dominate. However, on balance colder, drier conditions are more favoured rather than the milder, wetter weather experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1144 on Wed 9 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 25 Jan 2013 to Friday 8 Feb 2013:

There is greater than average uncertainty through this period, with no strong signal for any one weather type to dominate. However, on balance colder, drier conditions are more favoured rather than the milder, wetter weather experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1137 on Thu 10 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Jan 2013 to Saturday 9 Feb 2013:

There is greater than average uncertainty through this period, with no strong signal for any one weather type to dominate. However, on balance colder, drier conditions are more favoured rather than the milder, wetter weather experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1150 on Fri 11 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

As above

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

As above

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 29 Jan 2013 to Tuesday 12 Feb 2013:

Colder than average conditions are favoured across many parts of the UK, especially in the north and east. Whilst there is no strong signal for rainfall patterns through this period, drier than average conditions are more likely in the north, whereas the south may have near or even slightly above average rainfall. The frequency of snow events through this period may be more than experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1139 on Mon 14 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Weathizard]

This smells of slider lows to me.

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2013 to Wednesday 13 Feb 2013:

Colder than average conditions are favoured across many parts of the UK, especially in the north and east. Whilst there is no strong signal for rainfall patterns through this period, drier than average conditions are more likely in the north, whereas the south may have near or even slightly above average rainfall. The frequency of snow events through this period may be more than experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1141 on Tue 15 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 31 Jan 2013 to Thursday 14 Feb 2013:

Colder than average conditions are favoured across many parts of the UK, especially in the north and east. Whilst there is no strong signal for rainfall patterns through this period, drier than average conditions are more likely in the north, whereas the south may have near or even slightly above average rainfall. The frequency of snow events through this period may be more than experienced so far this winter.

Updated: 1143 on Wed 16 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Great Plum]

This conflicts with the 'temperatures may rise close to average at the end of the month' on the 6-15 day forecast!