METO UK Further Outlook 16 Day To 30 Forecast

[Great Plum]

That's a good update for the next month! (well, if you like wintry weather...)

[Weathizard]

They sound a lot more confident with that forecast, still uncertain as always in that timeframe but seem more confident than yesterday

[london-snow]

^{UK Outlook for Saturday 15 Dec 2012 to Saturday 29 Dec 2012:}

^{Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal.}

^{Updated: 1218 on Fri 30 Nov 2012}

And there was some moaning yesterday when they mentioned winds from a more n-w source. What a difference 24 hours make and no mention of the wind source which indicates their not to sure either. Keep the faith lads & lasses !

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 16 Dec 2012 to Sunday 30 Dec 2012:

Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal.

Updated: 1133 on Sat 1 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 17 Dec 2012 to Monday 31 Dec 2012:

Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal.

Updated: 1016 on Sun 2 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Edited December 2, 2012 by Stuart

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 18 Dec 2012 to Tuesday 1 Jan 2013:

Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal.

Updated: 1144 on Mon 3 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 19 Dec 2012 to Wednesday 2 Jan 2013:

Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal.

Updated: 1210 on Tue 4 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 20 Dec 2012 to Thursday 3 Jan 2013:

Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal.

Updated: 1133 on Wed 5 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Weathizard]

Not enough updates on this, boring!

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Friday 21 Dec 2012 to Friday 4 Jan 2013:

Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal.

Updated: 1136 on Thu 6 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 22 Dec 2012 to Saturday 5 Jan 2013:

There is a great deal of uncertainty in the forecast, but there are indications of more unsettled weather during this period. Temperatures will generally be a little below average for the time of year, although they may recover to nearer normal by the New Year. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts and distribution shows a high degree of uncertainty. On balance, it seems most likely that many areas will receive average amounts of rain. With temperatures generally below average, this would suggest that there is a increased chance of snow.

Updated: 1257 on Fri 7 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Weathizard]

Sounds like they gone with the ECM32 scenario, not a great update really but expected

[Mark Neal.]

Sounds like they gone with the ECM32 scenario, not a great update really but expected

Yep, well they do have a high regard of it. Still think its not a bad update, considering where we were last year and the S word is mentioned at the end, so still very good chance that snowfall's will continue to come around. ( Perhaps i'm being a little bit over optimistic)

[SnowObsessor90]

Yep, well they do have a high regard of it. Still think its not a bad update, considering where we were last year and the S word is mentioned at the end, so still very good chance that snowfall's will continue to come around. ( Perhaps i'm being a little bit over optimistic)

I don't think ECM32 is that bad anyway, at least keeps the general cold theme going through to the 23rd which comes a week or so after the period the Models are currently wavering over. Can't how anyone can really disappointed with that unless of course they're striving for perfection.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 23 Dec 2012 to Sunday 6 Jan 2013:

There is a great deal of uncertainty in the forecast, but there are indications of more unsettled weather during this period. Temperatures will generally be a little below average for the time of year, although they may recover to nearer normal by the New Year. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts and distribution shows a high degree of uncertainty. On balance, it seems most likely that many areas will receive average amounts of rain. With temperatures generally below average, this would suggest that there is a increased chance of snow.

Updated: 1137 on Sat 8 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[AWD]

Wonder when they are going to think about changing this?

Think it stayed the same for around a fortnight now.

[Don]

Wonder when they are going to think about changing this?

Think it stayed the same for around a fortnight now.

It only changed yesterday.

[Methuselah]

And, just because the numerical models keep amending their respective outputs, doesn't necessarily mean that the actual weather will do likewise...It'd be a bit daft if the MetO issued a revised forecast every six hours!

Edited December 8, 2012 by Rybris Ponce

[UV-RAY]

And, just because the numerical models keep amending their respective outputs, doesn't necessarily mean that the actual weather will do likewise...It'd be a bit daft if the MetO issued a revised forecast every six hours!

This is why I think it would make far more sense if they issued these weekly instead.

[cyclonic happiness]

This is why I think it would make far more sense if they issued these weekly instead.

I'm almost certain that we are the only people that analyse every single word of these forecasts anyway, and we're usually reading between the lines for reassurance of cold weather. We'd all go mad if they were weekly :-p

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 24 Dec 2012 to Monday 7 Jan 2013:

There is a great deal of uncertainty in the forecast, but there are indications of more unsettled weather during this period. Temperatures will generally be a little below average for the time of year, although they may recover to nearer normal by the New Year. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts and distribution shows a high degree of uncertainty. On balance, it seems most likely that many areas will receive average amounts of rain.

Updated: 1135 on Sun 9 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[AWD]

That's the sort of change I was expecting. Sounds like we are entering a period of cyclonic westerlies, veering south & north at times fluctuating temperatures above & below average at times.

[feb1991blizzard]

OH DEAR!

[UV-RAY]

I think they are as clueless as the rest of us, the block to our East is causing all sorts of problems for forecasters.

[Polar Maritime]

UK Outlook for Monday 24 Dec 2012 to Monday 7 Jan 2013:

There is a great deal of uncertainty in the forecast, but there are indications of more unsettled weather during this period. Temperatures will generally be a little below average for the time of year, although they may recover to nearer normal by the New Year. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts and distribution shows a high degree of uncertainty. On balance, it seems most likely that many areas will receive average amounts of rain.

Updated: 1135 on Sun 9 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Edited December 9, 2012 by Polar Maritime