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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

That storm that originated over Milton Keynes this afternoon is still going and crossing mid Wales. Does not appear to be electrified now, and may not survive the mountains, but if it does will pass close to here in about one hours time, so could see some flashes as it will be getting dark by then.

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

post-11361-0-04129300-1304104155_thumb.p

:drinks:

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

The fuzzy anvil also visible through the haze to the ESE, I have turned my webcam around to view that direction just in case.

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

try this for quicker loading .the.below image

post-11361-0-75883000-1304104311_thumb.g

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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

looks good for anyone in Hastings!:drinks:

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Loud crackles on AM radio too always a good sign!

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lottiekent Experienced

lottiekent

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
Posted

try this for quicker loading .the.below image

post-11361-0-75883000-1304104311_thumb.g

I was looking at that line over Belgium too, will the cold sea not kill it as it crosses over from the Continent though?

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted

I was looking at that line over Belgium too, will the cold sea not kill it as it crosses over from the Continent though?

Yes lol, id love to be wrong though!

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

It gave 30mm in north Oxfordshire earlier.

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

looks good for anyone in Hastings!:drinks:

Shame it aint gonna hit coastal w. sussex :( looks like we are left with rain :(

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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

Shame it aint gonna hit coastal w. sussex :( looks like we are left with rain :(

I know why can't we just be joined with France we''d be a much better country! and no channel to moderate/kill t-storms

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

I know why can't we just be joined with France we''d be a much better country! and no channel to moderate/kill t-storms

indeed BUT THIS ISNT THE SUMMER!!!! come summer, the storms will survive the channel. xD

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted (edited)

indeed BUT THIS ISNT THE SUMMER!!!! come summer, the storms will survive the channel. xD

If the summer brings us these kind of conditions! unlike last year.

All you can do is just hope that these storms can get themselves over the channel.

Edited by Mesoscale
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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

indeed BUT THIS ISNT THE SUMMER!!!! come summer, the storms will survive the channel. xD

indeed, rain's still dramatic anyway, if it's intense enough.

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dave48 Apprentice

dave48

Posted
  • Location: Godalming, Surrey
  • Location: Godalming, Surrey
Posted (edited)

Just to clear up a bit of confusion that seems to be around.

As per the suggestion of the convective forecasts, it seems that storms moving over from france are not routed in the boundary layer. They are elevated storms and the channel should have little or no effect on their development. They are developing in a plume of modest theta E values, assisted by marginal shear. MCS propagation vectors indicate that the storms would also be backbuilding, I don't know how relevent this is today given that the area moving into the SE probably isn't an MCS. They will continue to effect southern parts through this evening and tonight. Whether atmospheric conditions continue to support their development remains to be seen as it is unclear how conducive conditions are further inland. If conditions inland are less favourable then showers will be the only concern.

Hope that helps. :)

Edited by dave48
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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

If the summer brings us these kind of conditions! unlike last year.

All you can do is just hope that these storms can get themselves over the channel.

ayy, mother nature will deliver us the perfect thunderstorms this summer. mark my words.

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sunnijim Seasoned

sunnijim

Posted
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
Posted

looks good for anyone in Hastings!:drinks:

:drinks: rather unexpected but an impressive cell just came ashore. Two overhead cracks of thunder (real houseshakers) and plenty of more distant rumbles. Two amazing forks prior to the overhead thunder. Some heavy convective rainfall thrown in

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

:drinks: rather unexpected but an impressive cell just came ashore. Two overhead cracks of thunder (real houseshakers) and plenty of more distant rumbles. Two amazing forks prior to the overhead thunder. Some heavy convective rainfall thrown in

awwww lucky you!!!

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lookup Newbie

lookup

Posted
  • Location: thatcham berkshire
  • Location: thatcham berkshire
Posted

Just to clear up a bit of confusion that seems to be around.

As per the suggestion of the convective forecasts, it seems that storms moving over from france are not routed in the boundary layer. They are elevated storms and the channel should have little or no effect on their development. They are developing in a plume of modest theta E values, assisted by marginal shear. MCS propagation vectors indicate that the storms would also be backbuilding, I don't know how relevent this is today. They will continue to effect southern parts through this evening and tonight. Whether atmospheric conditions continue to support their development remains to be seen as it is unclear how conducive conditions are further inland. If conditions inland are less favourable then showers will be the only concern.

Hope that helps. :)

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Lovely orange sky as the shower/ storm nears here (see webcam link below)

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted (edited)

Dont know if the feature giving thunder to sussex Atm is an MCS,its getting large enough, its very early to get that type of storm system as an import, that type of system is more common from june-september in the U.K.

seems to be weakening a little in the last half-hour...

Edited by Sprites
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

GFS prediction of ppn at 18- 21hrs - seems quite accurate don't you think?

post-11361-0-96692800-1304106155_thumb.g

post-11361-0-33157000-1304106172_thumb.g

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted
wish we got some like that in cumbria
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