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Northern England - Cold Spell Discussion Part 2

snow raven

By snow raven
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

You are using the scenario that -7c uppers will be likely, but this is based on one run... for example the 6z had -8c uppers as the coldest for ne england, but the 12z had -10c uppers as the coldest... I'd say under such an airflow, -7c uppers at sea level, -6c uppers at 100m, -5c at 300m, -4c at 500m, -3c at 700m and so on is most likely for snowfall.

I'm 50m asl, so -6C uppers would do it for me. Especially with that thickness. It's a classic recipe for snow.

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

That's a blizzard.

Oohh it's been ages since we had blizzards down here. I was still in primary school.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Backtrack, when do you expect the snow event to start. Thursday evening or early hours Friday?

Isolated Frost is my mini-me :winky:

Thursday night, Friday, Saturday :D

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jpwild Newbie

jpwild

Posted
  • Location: Near Buxton
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, warm & partly cloudy.
  • Location: Near Buxton
Posted

Only around 48 hours before the radar watching starts again.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Only around 48 hours before the radar watching starts again.

Only in the UK mate. :)

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Dam & 850

post-9615-0-29044500-1323206818_thumb.pn

post-9615-0-80100000-1323206827_thumb.pn

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Dam & 850

Uppers of -7.5C - FANTASTIC. DAM waaaaayyyy below what's needed (528) FANTASTIC.

Precip? FANTASTIC.

This is gonna be a good one.

RAMP RAMP RAMP

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Uppers of -7.5C - FANTASTIC. DAM waaaaayyyy below what's needed (528) FANTASTIC.

Precip? FANTASTIC.

This is gonna be a good one.

RAMP RAMP RAMP

I and many others will know only to well what happens when it doesn't snow over Runcorn after you have ramped it up and BT throws a wobler declaring Winter is over.. LOL :)

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

Dam & 850

Have a look at friday at 0600 we have sub 522 at this time it wont let me post the image from premium GFS

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Aaron Community Regular

Aaron

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

I and many others will know only to well what happens when it doesn't snow over Runcorn after you have ramped it up and BT throws a wobler declaring Winter is over.. LOL :)

This is why you do not get your hopes up! Expect the worst.. that's what I do. :smilz38:

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

I and many others will know only to well what happens when it doesn't snow over Runcorn after you have ramped it up and BT throws a wobler declaring Winter is over.. LOL :)

Then I eat socks again. Yep yep. :D

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

This is why you do not get your hopes up! Expect the worst.. that's what I do. :smilz38:

It's winter though. It's supposed to snow. :lol:

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

here it is

Then I eat socks again. Yep yep. :D

the past 2 years after he has ramped and it goes wrong it chucks it down so it cant be that bad. :clapping::rofl:

post-12571-0-92055700-1323207338_thumb.p

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

here it is

the past 2 years after he has ramped and it goes wrong it chucks it down so it cant be that bad. :clapping::rofl:

Are they from NW Extra?

True that :lol:

Edited by Backtrack
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Isolated Frost Rising Star

Isolated Frost

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

...tick tock tick tock, backtrack, the 18z is gonna be a massive downgrade :D

don't get your hopes up mate, it's a fairly potent scenario but it will be short-lived I tell you with the jet riding over the top abruptly...

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted (edited)

Are they from NW Extra?

Yep

True that :lol:

Of course lets hope a third in a row then lancs lass will get her birthday pasting. :help::bad:

Edited by saintpeter
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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

...tick tock tick tock, backtrack, the 18z is gonna be a massive downgrade :D

don't get your hopes up mate, it's a fairly potent scenario but it will be short-lived I tell you with the jet riding over the top abruptly...

Aye it was only ever gonna be a toppler, but a potent one at that.

18z better not be a downgrade!

Yep

Of course lets hope a third in a row

3rd time lucky! :good:

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

3rd time lucky! :good:

that only works if it didnt the first 2 times. but i get your "drift" :rofl:

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Won't be blizzards but it's gonna be fun.

I will take the day off college on Friday. :D

that only works if it didnt the first 2 times. but i get your "drift" :rofl:

:rofl:

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

It's winter though. It's supposed to snow. :lol:

And summers are supposed to be hot and sunny :p

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

And summers are supposed to be hot and sunny :p

They were for a few days, the rest were just crap. :D

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Severity level 5, early Netweather watch http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=forecast;type=alerts;reg=3;sess=

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

BBC sticking their necks out by putting up an advisory warning for late thursday into friday - this could be a significant snow event. Uppers will be less marginal than yesterday and any trough feature should easily deliver snow down to very low levels and with very strong winds - ooh it could be a wild winters day.. last winter was devoid of any such days and its been ages since we've had a proper blizzard.

Still we are 48 hours from any event, so await to see what happend. Thursday night could be well and truly alive and the mods may well need to start a NW thread not just NE England.

How despondent many of us were this time last week - what a difference a few days make.

I'm looking forward to the prospects of a wonderful crisp cold winters day on Saturday , with light winds and hopefully some sunshine it could be a real beauty here in the Lakes - fingers crossed!

Back to the here and now we have heavy rain - suspect it is snowing above 300m but expecting alot of damage to the snow cover below 500m, hoping thursdays milder wet spell doesn't strip too much snow from the fells, ground above 750m should maintain a good cover..

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Stratocumulus perlucidus Community Regular

Stratocumulus perlucidus

Posted
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Clod snowy Winters
  • Location: St helens, warrington, widnes border
Posted

Severity level 5, early Netweather watch http://www.netweathe...rts;reg=3;sess=

How bad is the storm likely to be. Any examples of past storms.

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