The South West Of England Regional Discussion Thread

[Paul T]

It doesn't matter about any shifts southwards - the temps just won't be low enough. Wet snow over 300m and maybe a snow flurry on Friday morning and that's its.

[BristolBlizzard]

snow looks to be more south west going by this, still by no means set in stone yet but im happy :smilz38:

[Nights King]

snow looks to be more south west going by this, still by no means set in stone yet but im happy :smilz38:

Thats what I like to see, some posistive comments! Still time for this to go our way and It may just come down to setting my alarm for 4am in morning to see what is going on int the end!

[BristolBlizzard]

Thats what I like to see, some posistive comments! Still time for this to go our way and It may just come down to setting my alarm for 4am in morning to see what is going on int the end!

with your height mullender i think you got a better chance then say bristol

[Iceberg]

Have to admit the latest 06Z nae is an upgrade for the SW IMHO, maybe nick was talking about other areas in the UK.

Certainly the north midlanders etc are getting worst.

M4 corridor and 25 miles either side look to be the prime spots.

Re temps etc, the models are getting more and more optimistic of temps getting low enough, partly I think as the low shifts south, so does the heavy wrap around front that previous was in the north midlands, the associated under cut will happen at this front and the heavy rain lead to greater evapo cooling.

[lfcdude]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/sw/devizes_forecast_weather.html

meto have me for heavy snow! upgrade that yesterday sleet.

[Nights King]

Ian F latest tweets sugest nothing for somerset except emoor with 2cm possible in bristol and glouc.

hmmm

[snowking]

I must say I am a little wary of just how far south the 6z NAE has gone - reminds me a little bit of mid December shortwave last year, the NAE taking this further and further south in the 24hrs before...eventually taking it about 50 miles too south, with the northern extent, which was progged to be near the glos/worc border, ending up in birmingham.

I would urge caution right the way through

SK

[BristolBlizzard]

met office removed snow threat ? maybe there getting ready to update it ?

[TimMB]

Orange warning on Metoffice for snow!

[BristolBlizzard]

yes its back now been updated , lets hope the orange spreads :smilz38:

Edited December 15, 2011 by cityatnight2001

[Smarty 81]

Southern midlands seems quite favourable at the moment for the white stuff to fall in the early hours friday morning, chelt/tewks/gloucester might be in the firing line.

look at us praying for snow how desperate.... this time last year we were in subzero temps with it never getting above freezing for nearly two weeks dont you just love the british weather i do.

[Jonesywilliteversnow]

Ian Fergusson @fergieweather1m

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Yes...“@NickIceJones: @fergieweather NAE latest run moves threat further south and west again? M4 corridor and surrounds looking prime now?â€

latest from ian f replying to my tweet

[BristolBlizzard]

Ian Fergusson @fergieweather1m

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Yes...“@NickIceJones: @fergieweather NAE latest run moves threat further south and west again? M4 corridor and surrounds looking prime now?â€

latest from ian f replying to my tweet

hehe good old ian :smilz38:, going be fun sat and radar watching i think later .

Edited December 15, 2011 by cityatnight2001

[Nights King]

Still close but no cigar for somerset!

I think im sbout 5 miles off that warning area!

[lfcdude]

meto still have me for heavy snow... im going to be watching that all day and hoping it dont change lol bit werid tho as looking on the meto forecast every where round me has sleet our rain.. and only warminster has heavy snow from 0600 0900 then sleet at 12 same as me... then Gloucester.. only has heavy snow at 0900 then rain again.. dont make sence to me... but yeh.. i like my forecast lol

Edited December 15, 2011 by lfcdude

[Chris K]

wooow just noticed meto have put an orange alert for possible accumulations of snow. wasn't expecting that. I'm just inside the orange section. Will be interesting to see if it comes off.

[lfcdude]

im also in the orange just just saw that after u mentioned it.. been refreshing the forecast haha

fergieweather Ian Fergusson

As expected. Stay tuned for updates: M4/M5 & M40 area: AMBER SNOW WARNING from the Met Office: bit.ly/jUkOoP

Im just south of the M4. i like my position

Edited December 15, 2011 by lfcdude

[alex12]

are we ever going to see our snow. fed up of the rain!

[knocker]

At the moment rapidly thickening As with some Sc and St and intermittent rain. Temp 8.3C with a W of 16mph.

[Andy Bown]

Remember too everyone that height is going to be influential on whether you see snow or not. An example being that there's more chance for Warminster than Westbury or Trowbridge but not so much chance for Warminster as places up on Salisbury Plain.

By the way, did anyone hear the sudden increase in wind overnight? Between about 02.30-04.00 some very strong gusts as that small LOW zipped through along with some heavy rain. Looking at the Met Office obs pages for Yeovilton, Boscombe Down, Larkhill and Lyneham from overnight, gusts went from less than 20mph to exceeding 40mph within an hour!

Bleak day today with frequent heavy showers, our benefit of being downwind from the Bristol Channel despite it being an (inverted commas!) better day and calm ebfore the storm!

[fromey]

afternoon.

http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

hope this works

[Nights King]

We might have a better idea of track and ppn type ect around about 9 - 12 tonight Meto website downgraded snow symbold for west country on last hours update

[lfcdude]

Remember too everyone that height is going to be influential on whether you see snow or not. An example being that there's more chance for Warminster than Westbury or Trowbridge but not so much chance for Warminster as places up on Salisbury Plain.

By the way, did anyone hear the sudden increase in wind overnight? Between about 02.30-04.00 some very strong gusts as that small LOW zipped through along with some heavy rain. Looking at the Met Office obs pages for Yeovilton, Boscombe Down, Larkhill and Lyneham from overnight, gusts went from less than 20mph to exceeding 40mph within an hour!

Bleak day today with frequent heavy showers, our benefit of being downwind from the Bristol Channel despite it being an (inverted commas!) better day and calm ebfore the storm!

Warminster is pretty much the same height as Devizes going by google earth

very heavy sleet shower here now!

[Lynxus]

By the way, did anyone hear the sudden increase in wind overnight? Between about 02.30-04.00 some very strong gusts as that small LOW zipped through along with some heavy rain. Looking at the Met Office obs pages for Yeovilton, Boscombe Down, Larkhill and Lyneham from overnight, gusts went from less than 20mph to exceeding 40mph within an hour!

UhHuh.. Woke me up.. Thought id have to move my car as I dont trust next door neighbours fence.. However it went as quick as it came.

Slap bang in the middle of the orange for tomorrow.