The Far North Of England Regional Discussion Thread

[Alex95]

Nobody can deny that the 18z is a bit dodgy for our area, but I'll bet we'd still get some sort of covering as the GFS sometimes underestimates evaporative cooling etc. However, we'd be looking at 1-3cm with the 18z as opposed to 5-10cm with the 12z. As I keep saying, I doubt we will know what's happening until t0.

[NickR]

Nobody can deny that the 18z is a bit dodgy for our area, but I'll bet we'd still get some sort of covering as the GFS sometimes underestimates evaporative cooling etc. However, we'd be looking at 1-3cm with the 18z as opposed to 5-10cm with the 12z. As I keep saying, I doubt we will know what's happening until t0.

NAE 18z looks better though... much better, for NW too.

[Alex95]

NAE 18z looks better though... much better, for NW too.

Ah yes, I forgot we can start looking at that now! (within +48)

It is more accurate than the GFS and gives us 10cm. Still game on, possibly

[Cloud 10]

NAE 18z looks better though... much better, for NW too.

I would take that.

[Andy_]

I would take that.

That's epic!

I'm very nervous about this Atlantic Frontal situation though

[NickR]

That's epic!

I'm very nervous about this Atlantic Frontal situation though

And 54 would, I think, show it plopped over the NE :-)

[snowmackem]

LOL, got to give the BBC credit, they sure know how to confuse people !!

The METO website this morning shows heavy snow for Newcastle tomorrow, along with an ongoing warning, indeed, we could end up buried.

Forecaster on Breakfast just know had graphics up showing Newcastle ( and all the rest of the NE) as being TOTALLY DRY all weekend !!

How the hell does that work??

Karl

[Isolated Frost]

Coldest morning of the winter by a country mile, -8.1c currently, which is the low.

[Isolated Frost]

NMM for tomorrow 12pm-- heavy snow across the dales/pennines, sleet and snow on the NW higher ground- with freezing rain at low-lying western areas.

[Snowstorm1]

-4.3c here brrrr

[dave79]

-4.3c here brrrr

Morning Snowstorm,

Whats your thoughts for our region this weekend, I am quietly confidant were on for some decent snow this weekend.

[Snowstorm1]

Morning Snowstorm,

Whats your thoughts for our region this weekend, I am quietly confidant were on for some decent snow this weekend.

Morning dave, I am too confidentish but we want this front to arrive as late as possible say around 6pm would be ideal otherwise could be at first slushfest due to it been daytime and then as evening comes a few cm would eventually lay. However if it arrives in the evening were looking at least 5cm + ; im starting to slowly get more confident that this will be snow for our part of the region however were right on the boundry so fingers crossed!

[Alex95]

Fairly good NAE this morning, although that NMM frame looks a bit iffy. It shows a spell of heavy snow for east Cumbria and the NE, followed by a brief spell of drizzly rain. I'd bet that the NMM would go on to show a wintry mix though.

[NickR]

Fairly good NAE this morning, although that NMM frame looks a bit iffy. It shows a spell of heavy snow for east Cumbria and the NE, followed by a brief spell of drizzly rain. I'd bet that the NMM would go on to show a wintry mix though.

Let's hope there's a shift back to what yesterday was showing. This is not as good for us - less ppn and what does fall will be snow to rain rather than all snow.

[Alex95]

Let's hope there's a shift back to what yesterday was showing. This is not as good for us - less ppn and what does fall will be snow to rain rather than all snow.

The GFS shows a sleet-rain-snow event as an area of cooler air undercuts the front again from the NW, but we'd get 1cm as the front would mostly be a wintry mix. Still all to play for this morning, but still just as knife edge.

[Osbourne One-Nil]

Dropped down to -8.6º this morning. Still -7.0º.

Coldest night for over a year.

[NickR]

Any thoughts from IF or TWS on our prospects for tomorrow?

[Rollo]

Any thoughts from IF or TWS on our prospects for tomorrow?

To be honest I think we will not know for sure whether it will end up being all snow,snow to rain,just rain until the event commences later tomorrow.I have followed the weather for many years but this is a very unusual occurence Matt Hugo on Two has posted this morning and i would suggest a look at his post as it gives a full overview. Edited February 3, 2012 by Rollo

[NickR]

To be honest I think we will not know for sure whether it will end up being all snow,snow to rain,just rain until the event commences later tomorrow.I have followed the weather for many years but this is a very unusual occurence Matt Hugo on Two has posted this morning and i would suggest a look at his post as it gives a full overview.

I've read it (I'm on TWO much more than here!), and it's excellent. I think it all comes down to whetherit ends up a little further west.

[NickR]

Unless there's a significant on-the-day shift W, I'm going to call this a disappointing event. Some transient snow before rain turns it all into a slushy mess. EMids, EA, and SE should get some, but the models are giving ever higher uppers and pushing it further E. AH well-.

[peterf]

Amsterdam getting it just now.

http://www.terena.org/webcam/

[NL]

Amsterdam getting it just now.

http://www.terena.org/webcam/

Overloading the server as its gone down Peter..But ive found this one and they're getting hammered..!!

http://hdtv.webcam.nl/website/page1/page7/h264_streaming_video.html

[peterf]

thanks for that.

[baskcm]

thats looks pretty amazing over in amsterdam

[Teesdale]

Lovely winters day, doesn't feel cold in the strong sunshine. Perhaps March/April provide the wintry weather that this tepid winter has failed to provided so far.

Yet another dry month for the NE ?