Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 20th June 2012>

[Mapantz]

The stuff coming up from the channel doesn't seem to be holding it's intensity again, although i'm sure it'll clip Kent, i suspect the fun & games may start to initiate across Essex, Cambs, Beds, Lincs as the cold front engages with the plume.

[tinybill]

radar showing some very heavy storms in the English channel near Hastings looks like it could heading to Kent and the se/east for a noisy evening later

[Lewis]

Storm number 1 heading towards us from the SSE of us, it's heading NNW. Pick the kiddies up from school, then go pick up Dell and head out for some chasing! Going to get pretty active soon

Few breaks in the clouds now with some brightness trying to appear.

Lewis

[Norfolk Sheep]

Storm number 1 heading towards us from the SSE of us, it's heading NNW. Pick the kiddies up from school, then go pick up Dell and head out for some chasing! Going to get pretty active soon

Few breaks in the clouds now with some brightness trying to appear.

Lewis

Yep certainly brighter here, but not really going for it sunshine-wise. I don't think I'll bother heading out anywhere as I think main action will be N and W of me and probably not much to write home about!

[Harry]

Storms have exploded off of the Kent coast now, however as I feared are racing NNE and may only clip E Kent.

Nice to see a few kicking off near The Wash...that I fear will be the extent of storm activity tbh (sorry I know it's pessimistic, but its what I feared and it's exactly how its panning out at the moment).

[Cableguy]

Yet another reminder of why it would be so much better to live on the near continet if you have an interest in storms.....they are so lucky over there!

[Paul]

1350 strikes per hour being recorded currently, impressive

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=lightning;sess=

[Costa Del Fal]

How ironic the Lightning seems to be just skirting around the coasts of Kent. You couldnt make it up! I seriously believe something has really changed with our summers. Its just not what it used to be when weve had 5 pretty rubbish summers and now were on our way to the 6th poor one so far unless things rapidly change in July!

[paul m]

1350 strikes per hour being recorded currently, impressive

http://www.netweathe...lightning;sess=

Very impressive. Would be nice if that was up here

[Methuselah]

Nothing of any significance happening round here. Just cloudy with occasional spits and spots of rain, 19C...

[Supacell]

I am now at grantham and sunny skies here with towers going up in all directions. I had predicted Spalding to Grantham as a sweet spot today so lets hope i am right so i can get myself some stormage.

Those storms around the Wash may be worth chasing if they are heading north as they will hit Lincolnshire.

Also, anyone know when the CF is expected to hit Lincs area as that could be when things really get going?

Edited June 21, 2012 by Supacell

[Mesoscale]

Those storms down south arn't even clipping kent anymore! what is going on!!

[Paul Ashford]

Gentle rumbles of thunder for the last hour in Ashford Kent, seeming to originate from the Dungerness direction.

[Darren Bown]

Amber alert for heavy rain across Manchester and Lancashire tomorrow.

[Harry]

Those storms down south arn't even clipping kent anymore! what is going on!!

There was always quite a high risk they would miss - there were never any certainties!

Our last chance is for the frontal band to ignite now, however there's been little sign of that so far this afternoon!

[Lewis]

How ironic the Lightning seems to be just skirting around the coasts of Kent. You couldnt make it up! I seriously believe something has really changed with our summers. Its just not what it used to be when weve had 5 pretty rubbish summers and now were on our way to the 6th poor one so far unless things rapidly change in July!

Not ironic at all, it's just the way the weather works at times.

Big storm heading up now, off out to chase it... footage in HD for you guys to come later

wash mate

Edited June 21, 2012 by Humber

[Supacell]

Not ironic at all, it's just the way the weather works at times.

Big storm heading up now, off out to chase it... footage in HD for you guys to come later

Are you talking about the one near the Wash or have you seen something i haven't?

[Coast]

Just back from Worthing and dark clouds were in my rear view mirror all the way. They've now opened up to some substantial rain but nothing in the way of thunderstorms.

Just caught a quick peek at the ATD detector and those sferics have landed pretty much where all this mornings charts were indicating - well done to science and meteorology again!!!!

[A Wintry Mix]

Raining in Minster now, quite dark plus a couple of rumbles.

[nanu]

just had deep rumble south of me.. seems its building up to something!!

[Darren Bown]

Pretty sunny here. Almost dry. Here's hoping all the wet ground is feeding more beefy showers! There are some notably dark clouds about.

[Coast]

8 Storms currently being tracked from Burnham on Crouch!!!!

*** NexStorm TRAC Report generated 21/06/2012 15:49:13

Tracking 8 thunderstorms

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID M-6259 detected 12:24

Storm location bearing 146.9 dgr distance 74 mi

Last recorded activity 15:49

Intensity class Strong

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 56/minute

Peak strikerate 86/minute

Total recorded strikes 4877

Cloud-Ground strikes 1897 - 38.90%

Intracloud strikes 2980 - 61.10%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 380 - 7.79%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 1517 - 31.11%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 1510 - 30.96%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 1470 - 30.14%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID F-1202 detected 14:33

Storm location bearing 74.9 dgr distance 75 mi

Last recorded activity 15:48

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 2/minute

Peak strikerate 5/minute

Total recorded strikes 47

Cloud-Ground strikes 13 - 27.66%

Intracloud strikes 34 - 72.34%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 0 - 0.00%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 13 - 27.66%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 20 - 42.55%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 14 - 29.79%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID G-4938 detected 15:35

Storm location bearing 133.4 dgr distance 75 mi

Last recorded activity 15:49

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Undetermined

Current strikerate 8/minute

Peak strikerate 10/minute

Total recorded strikes 39

Cloud-Ground strikes 11 - 28.21%

Intracloud strikes 28 - 71.79%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 3 - 7.69%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 8 - 20.51%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 17 - 43.59%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 11 - 28.21%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID C-4067 detected 13:33

Storm location bearing 347.6 dgr distance 103 mi

Last recorded activity 15:48

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 1/minute

Peak strikerate 12/minute

Total recorded strikes 238

Cloud-Ground strikes 99 - 41.60%

Intracloud strikes 139 - 58.40%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 14 - 5.88%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 85 - 35.71%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 75 - 31.51%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 64 - 26.89%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID G-4793 detected 15:33

Storm location bearing 94.4 dgr distance 77 mi

Last recorded activity 15:49

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 5/minute

Peak strikerate 16/minute

Total recorded strikes 1079

Cloud-Ground strikes 236 - 21.87%

Intracloud strikes 843 - 78.13%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 36 - 3.34%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 200 - 18.54%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 444 - 41.15%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 399 - 36.98%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID W-1574 detected 14:39

Storm location bearing 169.1 dgr distance 52 mi

Last recorded activity 15:46

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 1/minute

Peak strikerate 11/minute

Total recorded strikes 143

Cloud-Ground strikes 45 - 31.47%

Intracloud strikes 98 - 68.53%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 14 - 9.79%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 31 - 21.68%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 37 - 25.87%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 61 - 42.66%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID I-1577 detected 14:39

Storm location bearing 331.1 dgr distance 105 mi

Last recorded activity 15:48

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 4/minute

Peak strikerate 9/minute

Total recorded strikes 151

Cloud-Ground strikes 59 - 39.07%

Intracloud strikes 92 - 60.93%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 14 - 9.27%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 45 - 29.80%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 35 - 23.18%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 57 - 37.75%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID N-2058 detected 14:47

Storm location bearing 266.6 dgr distance 252 mi

Last recorded activity 15:42

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 2/minute

Peak strikerate 5/minute

Total recorded strikes 51

Cloud-Ground strikes 17 - 33.33%

Intracloud strikes 34 - 66.67%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 2 - 3.92%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 15 - 29.41%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 14 - 27.45%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 20 - 39.22%

-------------------------------------------------------

*** TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.6.0.2553:PCI

http://www.burnhamoncrouchweather.com/wxlight.php

[Darren Bown]

Quite a few small cells popped up in Yorkshire.

[StLuke]

Something exploded into life as it passed the end of the thames estaury, could see big white towers against dark background from here in Southend!

[weatherobsuk]

All this humidity, lift from the CF advancing, placement of the CF and orographic lift from the Pennines I can see why the Meto have their eyes on us in the northwest. I heard estimates of 80-100mm in places within the 36hour timeframe.