London & South East Regional Discussion - January 16th 2013>

[SMU]

Where is meto getting its text update for milder with rain on Sunday

From the 00z METO Raw run- expect a change later this eve POSt a great UMKO hopefully- ( when the secondary wave slides SE at 96-120))S

[Paul Ashford]

Anyone follow @KentWeather on twitter or facebook? Looks like he has deleted both accounts?

[Buzzit]

Ill show you something sexy from the GFS 12z

[fluid dynamic]

http://modeles.meteo...gfs-0-66.png?12

theres your hook up at 66- pulsing more into the SE-

dont worry people...... constant snow for 18-24 hours is on the cards

S

'king ell

[Coast]

Nope and struggling to make it east!

Neil, what are you looking at?

You do mean East don't you?

Don't mean to sound like Mr Grumps and I'm not being difficult.

But you are doing a very good impression...........

[No Balls Like Snow Balls]

GFS 12z has lighter ppn and the NAE has even lighter.

Don't mean to sound like Mr Grumps and I'm not being difficult.

But the way I'm seeing things at the moment is the West Midlands are about to have some great snowfall on Friday, this is confirmed with Amber warnings and TV forecasts really focusing on western areas.

So why are some members acting as if we will be snowed in, in the SE.

London will shut down etc etc. Apart from the 06z the GFS over the last couple runs has just light snow for us, that's even if the ppn makes it here.

Sorry just wanting know if I'm reading things wrong.

Yes it looks like light snow and will look very pretty but not disruptive.

Some say Amber warnings extended tomorrow - hope so :-)

Anyway at least this is better than the mild dross from the Atlantic so I'll take light snow with low accumulation anyday :-)

London only needs 1 cm of snow to shut down

[Southender]

Big downgrade on Ppn intensity compared to the 6z run. But I will take what I can get at the moment!

6z

http://91.121.16.5/modeles_gfs/runs/2013011606/66-779.GIF?16-6

12z

http://91.121.16.5/modeles_gfs/runs/2013011612/60-779.GIF?16-12

[nanu]

Neil, what are you looking at?

You do mean East don't you?

But you are doing a very good impression...........

I think some people are looking at wrong charts coast??

[HammerJack]

Neil, what are you looking at?

You do mean East don't you?

But you are doing a very good impression...........

Maybe Eastern Europe..... 😃😃😃

[Jezzer]

Neil, what are you looking at?

You do mean East don't you?

But you are doing a very good impression...........

East as in Russia, China?

[throwoff]

5mm PPN is still a decent amount...

[Sussex Jules]

Err Coast 39 hours of snow? What have you done to it?

Edited January 16, 2013 by Jules71

[Marie]

I'm confused some say lots some say less some say more east some day more west .Whats going on lol

[Coast]

So who fancies being in Eastbourne then this weekend, still going strong on Saturday night on the coast - get in there!!!!!!!!

[Neilsouth]

Neil, what are you looking at?

If you compare the previous run it was ever so slightly further west and not as strong, this was BEFORE you posted the rest of the charts. Look when I posted and when you posted the next time scale

[Coast]

I'm confused some say lots some say less some say more east some day more west .Whats going on lol

More for you!!!

[throwoff]

Depends on the models people ar elooking at

GFS shows 5mm average for around 25 hours over Kent and the SE as a whole.

That is potentially 10cm snow.

[Downpour]

Touch more East on the next one and that'll be perfect

That's a home run for west London - steady snowfall and no marginality.

Edited January 16, 2013 by Downpour

[damp patch]

Temp dropping quickly now. Never got above -0.2c here so an ice day - well at least according to my back garden met office

When out earlier in Charing we had a lovely little flurry seemingly out of v little cloud. Still a bit of lying snow about and very icy in places. All lovely winter weather with so much more to come - i hope !!!

Current temp -1.6c

Edited January 16, 2013 by damp patch

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Looks like the low stalls for a bit before making it's way South happy days

[Coast]

If you compare the previous run it was ever so slightly further west and not as strong, this was BEFORE you posted the rest of the charts. Look when I posted and when you posted the next time scale

You mean I waited to see the result before commenting??!!!!! Even you are going to get a pasting of snow this weekend!!!

[throwoff]

Coast can you give me a Medway towns summary?

Just to see if I am reading these models right (new to it but think im picking it up.

[SMU]

The 0.2 degree resolution HD PPN charts are updating now & have snow reaching the region at 48- 12z midday friday when the aurface air temps are -1 & the DP's are -2.. perfect conditions-

The snow starts at T48

http://91.121.16.5/modeles_gfs/runs/2013011612/48-574.GIF?16-12

Its still going ( all be it lighter ) at T87-

http://91.121.16.5/modeles_gfs/runs/2013011612/78-779.GIF?16-12

Whis is around 40 hours of continuous snow-It does stop....

just in time for this-

by next monday somewhere could get close to 40cm.... but im sure the MEAN will be 15 ish/20...

S

[Neilsouth]

You mean I waited to see the result before commenting??!!!!! Even you are going to get a pasting of snow this weekend!!!

Heh no, I just posted before you updated...........

[karent]

Guildford have a chane or not thus time another one confused lol