Yorkshire & Lincolnshire Regional Discussion - January 18th 2013>

[Hodgheg]

Its trying its hardest to move north isnt it. Finger crossed. Gonna pull myself away from the radar for an hour or two

Edited January 18, 2013 by John1990

[Mark Bayley]

Starting to get heavier with decent sized flakes, and a dusting now on the road!

[reef]

I cant believe Im sat in a gap between the heavy snow showers to the North and the band to the south. Very irritating as the showers are literally 10 miles away!

Its just cold and overcast at the moment with a temperature of 0.9C after an earlier max of 1.1C.

[woldsowl]

Had a number of heavy showers moving through which have added 4-5 cm of additional snow today.

[The PIT]

Well some snow could be briefly seen going past my webcams but very light once more. heaviest stuff seems to be stuck over the irsh sea. is there a red warning for that?

[Kentish Snowman in Yorks]

All these whining posts about non-events, no snow here and no snow there just crack me up! The 'event' is still in progress as we speak...the main band may reach us it may not. It matters not though as there is nothing we can do to change things.

All I will say is that those showers that are currently in and around the Yorkshire coast will only move further and further inland as we go through tonight and into tomorrow, so I am fully expecting quite a snowy night tonight in my area.

Later on Sunday is also looking VERY interesting for our region with a period of snow moving up from the South East looking to bring us further accumulations. So just chill out people and enjoy the weekend. I have a feeling it will be pretty special if you are a cold and snow lover living in Yorkshire / Lincs (except for Adam LUFC's heat island of course where all the snow will have melted, the sun will be shining and the temperature will reach 30c...only joking Adam!)

Edited January 18, 2013 by Kentish Snowman

[Adam lufc]

Well that will just be incredibly unfair and unlucky again if we miss the potential for sun night! Why is this area finding it so hard for snow!!

[bryan629]

I think a few people should remain calm because there's a bit too much pessimism.

Firstly we should note that Ian Ferguson's forecast last night showed snow arriving over our region between 12-3, as i look to the south i see very dark cloud and we have had reports of light snow as north as Huddersfield (although it looks to be struggling to breach the Pennines on radar) and to top that off the front is now aiding vorcity over the north sea with some hefty showers.

Now i think its a given that the 12-3 prediction looks to be wrong however the NAE does show moderate to heavy snowfall over our region by midnight and still there at 06:00 as the front moves north and seems to combine with the shower activity off the coast (if anything it looks to me like everything is 6 hours early). We see this in the charts below..

http://expert-images...011818_1806.gif

Pretty much the picture now but the forecast is for 18:00.

http://expert-images...011900_1806.gif

It's almost like the stuff over London just surges north and combines with the showers.

http://expert-images...011906_1806.gif

Still giving the goods for Yorkshire at 06:00.

http://expert-images...012006_1806.gif

Snow to the SE approaching (needs to drift west if its for us though) on Sunday.

hi SB What do you think to this animation, do you think it will come off?

http://europa.buienr...nl/3daagse.aspx

[Sunny_AS]

Agree with the comments regarding being stuck in no man's land....can only happen to West Yorkshire!!!

[BA Baracus]

So what you are saying is he radar images the bbc use or more the computer predictions and not actual live or recorded footage. That's shocking. Like you stated last nights snow was not and has still not really been mentioned by the bbc or met

Not exactly. The BBC weather presenters do sometimes use "real" radar but I find that they tend to use the projected model tracks of weather too much. The radar images are clearly defined and are easily identifiable compared to the BBC model graphics. Paul Hudson's forecasts are sometimes good with radar images and discussion, but the graphics last night were terrible with general grey murk and flakes of snow everywhere without definition or reasoning behind what was going on. I've not seen the lunchtime forecast as I'm at work, but I would imagine that there will be the usual snowflakes everywhere with minimal detail as to what is happening now and in teh next few hours.

[Lincstim]

[Zak 92]

Getting heavier and a light dusting on most surfaces now!

[syncmaster]

just started lightly snowing just north of scunny, this is off the front not come in from the coast definate pivot

[Aaron]

TAF for LBA now shows 'light snow', 'blowing snow', and 'heavy snow with freezing fog'.

[sparky1972]

if we are to get 2cms at this rate its going to need to carry on for about 2 weeks, lol

[Machu Picchu]

The METO have changed the weekend forecast for my location 3 times today since this morning, that includes todays forecast also.

Think i'll stick with the radar, window and lamp post as its obvious that anything can happen. Forecasters nightmare this past week.

[lozee]

Woohoo its started in mosborough (sheffield ) can't wait to pick my daughter up from school to do a spot of sledging! fingers crossed for more heavier snow

[summer blizzard]

Well that will just be incredibly unfair and unlucky again if we miss the potential for sun night! Why is this area finding it so hard for snow!!

Adam.

Great news is that i am now certain - snow is inbound from the main front and it does not look like breaking up yet.

Look at the radar below, zoom in and look between Nottingham and Leeds, that is the direction its coming from.

http://www.meteoradar.co.uk/home/maps?bg=0

hi SB What do you think to this animation, do you think it will come off?

http://europa.buienr...nl/3daagse.aspx

Model runs are fickle so i really have no clue however with the NAE looking good on its final frame i'm inclined to be positive.

[summer blizzard]

Those of you in Sheffield, Doncaster, Barnsley and Rotherham should prepare to leave work or pick up the kids now, moderate to heavy snow is inbound within the hour.

TAF for LBA now shows 'light snow', 'blowing snow', and 'heavy snow with freezing fog'.

I'm inclined to say that the earlier forecast for LBA will now be the correct one with moderate to heavy snow, the only change is timing.

[Machu Picchu]

Still only fine snow but getting heavier and -2.1C, just been out to feed the birds again as the greedy buggers cleared the first lot in an hour, its

absolutely freezing, the windchill is unbearable.

[summer blizzard]

Still only fine snow but getting heavier and -2.1C, just been out to feed the birds again as the greedy buggers cleared the first lot in an hour, its

absolutely freezing, the windchill is unbearable.

What you seem to be getting is a stray outer edge to the front as it does'nt seem to be able to jump the Pennines however looking at the radar you will get the main batch in an hour or so.

[BA Baracus]

Those of you in Sheffield, Doncaster, Barnsley and Rotherham should prepare to leave work or pick up the kids now, moderate to heavy snow is inbound within the hour.

I'm inclined to say that the earlier forecast for LBA will now be the correct one with moderate to heavy snow, the only change is timing.

Hi SB (or anyone more knowledgeable than me!)

What was the reason behind the front fizzling out earlier. Was it the Pennines, was it meeting colder air, was it the wind direction from the east or something different entirely?

[Aaron]

During summer we had a rash of fronts from the SW which delivered copious amounts of rainfall here and they had no issue making it this far north, in fact they deliver our biggest rainfall totals. The cold block is what prevented it from marching along here. If there was no cold block, the front would have reached here with no difficulty, and there would have been a big dry gap over east Manchester.

Edited January 18, 2013 by Aaron

[summer blizzard]

whilst heavier falls are expected across southern, central and western areas, with 10-15 cm or more possible in some areas.

[Skeggy Winter Storm]

Starting here in skeggy