Yorkshire & Lincolnshire Regional Discussion - January 18th 2013>

[Harsh Climate]

The 12z comes out around half three, the NMM around 5pm

cheers

[sparky1972]

well thats all folks, bugger all, lol least i will still be ale to get to the pub tonight

[Sunny_AS]

It was always looking likely that the band may struggle to reach us, apart from a few days where the runs seemed quite progressive about it. It was always going to struggle given the set up.

Spot on. I'm actually surprised it reached this far. But Monday's event is a different type of set up, different ball game altogether.

[The PIT]

Certainly stalled NONE EVENT alert LEVEL 1 issued. There's 9 more to go so don't worry yet. It's my fault I took the boots to work.

[Onetwo07]

Spot on. I'm actually surprised it reached this far. But Monday's event is a different type of set up, different ball game altogether.

If you don't mind me asking, what looks like happening monday (probabilities wise of course!).

Cheers.

[Bradowl]

A few tiny flakes coming down here in Rotherham.

[cowdog]

ITSY says it all, Sunday-Tuesday is looking better, although i remember that being said at the beginning of the week about today.

Honestly we are going to get something out of this weekend, and I think I now know why the Mets website is now saying Heavy snow for my location from Saturday evening yet its not on any of the models.

Think the convection is going to start about then. The positioning of the low will mean moderate easterly winds will start about then, and as soon as they do the North Sea train will begin. If the easterly's start by then would have some serious snow fall from the showers that get created.

Edited January 18, 2013 by cowdog

[Machu Picchu]

It was always looking likely that the band may struggle to reach us, apart from a few days where the runs seemed quite progressive about it. It was always going to struggle given the set up.

I did honestly think it would have no trouble reaching us though Mark, although my basis was more on last nights surprise snowfall and also on weds, i have the feeling

of anything can happen at the minute but it seems we've surfed the wave of luck onto the beach.

[LeeSnowFan]

Spot on. I'm actually surprised it reached this far. But Monday's event is a different type of set up, different ball game altogether.

in what way is the set up different?

[Les Penniston]

We receive updates for our gritting in lincolnshire, we are still forecasted 2 -5cm and more on the Lincolnshire Wolds, just a waiting game at the moment.

Les

[Mark Griffin]

Yeah front has pretty much stalled now. Looks to my eye that it may be starting to pivot?

[Aaron]

The Met have light snow starting at 1800, lasting all day tomorrow, with heavy snow between 0300 and 0600, and light snow continuing into Monday.. where is this going to come from, exactly? The front has stalled and is weakening.

[Harsh Climate]

Looking at the band now, any appreciable precipitation is now west of manchester and south of nottingham. I think we might need to start looking east.

The Met have light snow starting at 1800, lasting all day tomorrow, with heavy snow between 0300 and 0600, and light snow continuing into Monday.. where is this going to come from, exactly? The front has stalled and is weakening.

I think it would be from showers coming in off the north sea. Already some starting to appear close to the wash now.

We would have been better if this band had never left wales, we would probably be in these showers by now.

Edited January 18, 2013 by Harsh Climate

[sunny scunny]

The only positive for here is that the temp is below freezing and it's cloudy,so the snow cover in the fields isn't going anywhere fast.

[Cheese Rice]

Quick one from me, expected snowfall totals over the next 48 hours

Blue: 5-25cm of snowfall- Really dependant on orographic snowfall aiding intensity, a bit of a headache to see how much it will happen.

Yellow: 3-10cm of snow- Higher totals coming from showers pushing in during the early hours of Saturday morning

Orange: 5-20cm of snow- Showers should start pushing further inland later but will loose intensity in the early hours of Saturday morning due to a milder flow (relative).

Edited January 18, 2013 by Cheese Rice

[sparky1972]

thats it for me today, radar shows a non event, met office forecast was as wrong as it could be, bring on summer, lol, have fun in the snow everyone,

[Cheese Rice]

People are stressing out the situation hasn't change at all!

[Harsh Climate]

The NAE 06z update is good for tonight

[LeeSnowFan]

Quick one from me, expected snowfall totals over the next 48 hours

Blue: 5-25cm of snowfall- Really dependant on orographic snowfall aiding intensity, a bit of a headache to see how much it will happen.

Yellow: 3-10cm of snow- Higher totals coming from showers pushing in during the early hours of Saturday morning

Orange: 5-20cm of snow- Showers should start pushing further inland later but will loose intensity in the early hours of Saturday morning due to a milder flow (relative).

I would be happy between 3-10cm its still looks good outside from yesterday and current temp is below freezing stil and alot of cloud cover getting darker and thicker

[Sunny_AS]

in what way is the set up different?

I maybe wrong but there is more of an organised band from the SE rather than SW? I've not had a chance to look at the charts today.....

[Harsh Climate]

Quick one from me, expected snowfall totals over the next 48 hours

Blue: 5-25cm of snowfall- Really dependant on orographic snowfall aiding intensity, a bit of a headache to see how much it will happen.

Yellow: 3-10cm of snow- Higher totals coming from showers pushing in during the early hours of Saturday morning

Orange: 5-20cm of snow- Showers should start pushing further inland later but will loose intensity in the early hours of Saturday morning due to a milder flow (relative).

Not sure I agree with that.

I would have your

orange area 0-10cm

yellow area: 0-7cm

blue area: 0-5cm.

Edited January 18, 2013 by Harsh Climate

[Aaron]

Quite bright here, I see a tinge of blue in the sky.

[SnowRules]

Very light snow here

[Mark Griffin]

Anyway, i still remain positive of a little later maybe. Let that that decaying mass of junk away down south and concentrate on these juicy showers.

[Tony Beets]

V light snow in Huddersfield now, lets hope it's the start of something good!!!