South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 9th March 2013

[john pike]

ukmo for wednesday

just so you can see this

precip chart for the day before

that lot to our north-north east is heading south

[Neilsouth]

really?.....

looks like early hours of monday to me....

Not according to the charts, forecasts...

I hope you are correct, though MON EVE onwards still more favourable

Edited March 9, 2013 by Victor Meldrew

[fenland ice]

3.4C with a dew point of 1.4C currently here in Emneth on the Norfolk/Cambridegehire border, had steady rain most of the day which has turned more sleety in the past hour.

[ChartViewer]

Suspect this Channel Low will not really affect us in the South according to latest UKMO etc...Shame as im supposed to be travelling to Kent Tuesday for work and didnt fancy it haha

Edited March 9, 2013 by ChartViewer

[pipsta]

I'm just west of Norwich and it is snowing and laying

I'm just west of Norwich and it is snowing and laying

[Guest bjaykent]

ukmo for wednesday

just so you can see this

precip chart for the day before

that lot to our north-north east is heading south

Hi John, do you think it will still be cold enough to make that lot to the north-east snow when it arrives here or is it too soon to say?

[bobbydog]

Not according to the charts, forecasts...

I hope you are correct, though MON EVE onwards still more favourable

so the met office don't use charts, forecasts.....??

oh look-

heres a chart for 0300 monday morning-

and here's what that forecasts-

[ukpaul]

I'm just west of Norwich and it is snowing and laying

I'm just west of Norwich and it is snowing and laying

Worth saying twice...

Seriously though, that band was supposed to be pushed South but it appears to be going gradually North instead.

[Guest bjaykent]

Worth saying twice...

Seriously though, that band was supposed to be pushed South but it appears to be going gradually North instead.

Looks like about 5pm it should start to move south

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php

[john pike]

a very nice chart

should be snow around

amounts etc uncertain

there are troughs in the north sea so expect showers being driven inland

on a very strong and bitter east-north east flow

also spot the trough just to our north

waiting for updated fax but i still think it will be a radar watch

[blackprince]

Suspect this Channel Low will not really affect us in the South according to latest UKMO etc...Shame as im supposed to be travelling to Kent Tuesday for work and didnt fancy it haha

Hi CV I am travelling to docklands Monday and Tuesday front Kent coast so being a snow fan I am not sure what I want lol

[alexisj9]

Worth saying twice...

Seriously though, that band was supposed to be pushed South but it appears to be going gradually North instead.

I hope the cold is still coming south.

[ukpaul]

Looks like about 5pm it should start to move south

http://www.meteociel...eles/wrfnmm.php

One to look out for to see if models are on the right track or not.

[Guest bjaykent]

One to look out for to see if models are on the right track or not.

Probably not LOL

[ChartViewer]

Hi CV I am travelling to docklands Monday and Tuesday front Kent coast so being a snow fan I am not sure what I want lol

ill wave to you Tuesday as doubt amounts of snow will affect our travel plans unfortunately

[john pike]

Hi John, do you think it will still be cold enough to make that lot to the north-east snow when it arrives here or is it too soon to say?

hi bjaykent

heres 120

watching at present and a tad early

but could be fun

[Tamara]

GFS0.5 shows snow leaving south coast by 1.00pm Tuesday, a bit faster than ther previous run, all a little further south, still some nice accumulations, particularly along south coast.

The latest NAE is different to the previous one for 6am Monday with the main snow band absent. I know it might sound like I am saying it because I don't like what it suggests, but it looks a bit suspect ppn wise to me. Even over Northern France very close to the low, it looks like it has underdone the amount of ppn. Its not uncommon to got one rogue output on the NAE - especially in its 'FI' frames.

Might be worth evaluating the position after the evening one has come out. GFS still bullish abount bringing the snow to southern counties, although as you say it is more progressive in clearing it away

Edited March 9, 2013 by Tamara Road

[IDO]

EssexWeather

Midday model data showing major snowfalls over Kent on Monday/Tuesday. Fingers crossed we are far enough North to avoid!

09/03/2013 16:21

Close call...but still on.

[alexisj9]

ill wave to you Tuesday as doubt amounts of snow will affect our travel plans unfortunately

Never effects mine, but then again I never have to go anywhere more then a couple of miles from where I live and love walking in snow.

[runboy]

Coming down heavier in Norwich (snow that is). Laying nicely on the grass and other surfaces. Paths are just slush at the moment but I suspect it will stick more as the temps drop. If it freezes tonight there will be a lot of ice about.

[VillagePlank]

Met Office have Kent, E Sussex, and S Essex most at risk early Tues morning.

http://www.metoffice...s&regionName=se

So does GooFuS,

Snow is possible in this region any time after about midday, tomorrow. I'll do a proper one, tomorrow morning,

Edited March 9, 2013 by Boar Wrinklestorm

[blackprince]

ill wave to you Tuesday as doubt amounts of snow will affect our travel plans unfortunately

I am not so sure on amounts have you looked at NW forecast for Mon/Tues,very strong winds and medium/heavy snow...considering booking Tuesday off in case I am very late home on Monday....don't wan't to waste a days holiday but recently have been late home every day due to crashes etc so add a bit of snow and it could be worse...

[Neilsouth]

As i was saying before highest risk mon eve - tuesday, hope it happens!

Looks fun

[Vesuvius]

EssexWeather

Midday model data showing major snowfalls over Kent on Monday/Tuesday. Fingers crossed we are far enough North to avoid!

09/03/2013 16:21

Close call...but still on.

My fingers are firmly uncrossed but have a feeling they may be right

[Snowman.]

Met Office have Kent, E Sussex, and S Essex most at risk early Tues morning.

http://www.metoffice...s&regionName=se

So does GooFuS,

Snow is possible in this region any time after about midday, tomorrow. I'll do a proper one, tomorrow morning,

Ouch.

I'm directly on the border line!

I'm clutching straws here people!