South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 27/7/13 13z------>

[VillagePlank]

However, as others have said, there is still the chance for the SE/EA to be hit later on, even if we miss this system. 

 

The lightning strikes have edged East as the low moves up the channel. It's not really even in the most unstable part yet (NE France, SE England) So, if this is what it's doing now, guess what's going to happen then?

[Hurricane Debby]

What a total non-event that turned out to be. All the fricking hype and nothing. A shower, that was it. I think Sutton is officially a storm free zone.

 

Was that my last chance of having a storm ? I've seen nothing this year.

[VillagePlank]

What a total non-event that turned out to be. All the fricking hype and nothing. A shower, that was it. I think Sutton is officially a storm free zone.

 

Was that my last chance of having a storm ? I've seen nothing this year.

 

This should help :http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77391-south-east-east-anglia-regional-discussion-27713-13z/?p=2753450

[saint]

The lightning strikes have edged East as the low moves up the channel. It's not really even in the most unstable part yet (NE France, SE England) So, if this is what it's doing now, guess what's going to happen then?

 

Exactly, it's still far too early for people to be ruling anything out.

[anything-but]

However, as others have said, there is still the chance for the SE/EA to be hit later on, even if we miss this system. 

 

There`s more? Feel like oliver "Please sir,can i have some more?"

[Neilsouth]

OMG??

 

[Reefseeker]

Well the first wave has fizzled out as it crossed Surrey.  Ocercast skies aloft now. Very flat looking. No AuCs or for that matter cumulus of any description..

 

Yes, it gave a shortish shower over Kingston, with a bit of a cool breeze; now bright cloud aloft and humid. I do hope we get to see some of the good storm activity tonight. 

[tinybill]

all i can say is the english  channel  now  is  a mass  of  red

[anything-but]

Maybe get yr pets in (cats,dogs) early tonight,incase it really turns into a nasty one out there for `em.............shall be getting my cats in for the night soon i think.

[saint]

Worryingly, I'm meant to be going for a run this evening! 

[Tom Jarvis]

first strikes just easte of eastborene

Edited July 27, 2013 by Tom Jarvis

[Summer of 76]

One strike showing up to the east of Bicester, could be a stray mapping

[saint]

One strike showing up to the east of Bicester, could be a stray mapping

 

There does seem to be some heavy showers developing in that area on the radar.

[VillagePlank]

If you watch this : http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1 : you'll note that the lightning refuses to move out of the Theta-E 50degC contour, even though the rain has made it onshore in C England.

 

 

Guess, where that contour and the low pressure will be this evening,

 

 

Doesn't matter how heavy the precipitation is, doesn't matter what the track of the storm: if you ain't got no fuel, you ain't got no thunderstorm.

Edited July 27, 2013 by Sparkicle

[Kent Snow]

Mostly overcast now but still dry and humid. 23C.

Edited July 27, 2013 by Kent Snow

[DAVID SNOW]

If you watch this : http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1 : you'll note that the lightning refuses to move out of the Theta-E 50degC contour, even though the rain has made it onshore in C England.

 

theta-e.gif

 

Guess, where that contour and the low pressure will be this evening,

 

theta-e1.giftheta-e2.gif

If the GFS is correct though....

[snow raven]

Evening All,

 

Well, managed to get my hair cut and coloured and it stayed dry outside (bar a rain shower around 3.30pm)  Nothing else of note as of yet, but boy oh boy, just looked at the latest radar returns, and I must say, I am feeling quite excited at what looks to be heading our way.  Fingers crossed the Channel doesn't kill off any electrical activity...  

[Jax]

just out of the shower and errr,  there is a shower here.

[LeeRoyxD]

Thunder being heard out in the channel from Seaford as I type this 

[Alpine glow]

It's raining now in Tunbridge Wells 

[VillagePlank]

If the GFS is correct though....

 

Ignoring precipitation charts (they're always unreliable in these sorts of setups) the wider scale synoptic stuff looks OK to me

[pinball wizard]

If you watch this : http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1 : you'll note that the lightning refuses to move out of the Theta-E 50degC contour, even though the rain has made it onshore in C England.

 

theta-e.gif

 

Guess, where that contour and the low pressure will be this evening,

 

theta-e1.giftheta-e2.gif

 

Doesn't matter how heavy the precipitation is, doesn't matter what the track of the storm: if you ain't got no fuel, you ain't got no thunderstorm.

 

So on that basis do you think East Anglia could get some then?

[VillagePlank]

So on that basis do you think East Anglia could get some then?

 

Yes - early hours.

[pinball wizard]

Yes - early hours.

Cool, be good to get some as its been a good 5 days since the last lot mwahahaha      

[jojobut]

All my time Radar watching i have never seem it like this!   Looks quite fast moving though, is it supost to stall somewhere?