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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 04/11/13

Snowangel-MK

By Snowangel-MK
in Regional

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
Posted

hi coast

 

hope your well

 

sorry mate was referring to fi

 

i agree i also see cooler-colder conditions incoming as well

 

i think even ecm is not very reliable after 144 as well

 

they are good at trends though when used with the ensembles

 

the day they are reliable will make the model outlook very boring

 

this thread will be fine though Posted ImagePosted Image

At least you something to ramp at, this Christmas stuff keeps yielding dry and average weather!!! Posted Image

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

hi captain

 

true

 

heres 144 ukmo

 

Posted Image

 

now ecm 144

 

Posted Image

 

seem close enough

 

now 168 ecm

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

 

if anything the 12z run looks colder than the 00z run Posted Image

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted (edited)

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

certainly not warm at 192

 

cold yes

 

how cold at present is the million dollar question

Edited by john pike
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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

216

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

that shows cold rain Posted Image

 

but all fi

 

the low in the atlantic may stall and pull the high pressure to our west upwards

 

now that would be nice

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Hotspur62 Seasoned

Hotspur62

Posted
  • Location: Locksbottom, NW Kent 92m asl(310ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers but not too hot and colder winters with frost and snow
  • Location: Locksbottom, NW Kent 92m asl(310ft)
Posted

At last it looks like we are going to have a dry couple of days(may get showery rain tomorrow night) to look forward to so those that work outdoors can have some respite from the last 6 weeks of what seemed like continuos rain and those that just like outdoor pursuits can enjoy without the use of a brolly. Will be a bit chilly but seeing that yellow thing in the sky will be a welcome sight to many I feel!! What happens next week is still a long way off but feel we might be starting to see a pattern change which will excite coldies!!

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

at 240

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

 

 

jet

Posted Image

 

 

the low to our north and to our south west looks like another take your pick on the outlook

 

one thing i am seeing are cooler runs now and certainly nothing warm

 

be back to reality with the fax charts soon Posted Image

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

fax time

 

tonight

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

cold

 

frost in certain areas temps 0 to 3 degrees

 

a weak north west flow

 

dry and clear except the odd mist patches moreso likely to the south coastal regions and rural areas

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

Posted Image

a weak westerly flow

 

may get a tad breezy on east coastal regions in the afternoon

 

temps

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

maybe squeezing a 10 degrees

 

however temps will drop fairly quick as we get to mid afternoon

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

looks dry and sunny

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

Posted Image

winds start westerly but will turn north westerly and get fairly strong overnight

 

temps

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

will get cold again before the rain gets here

 

temps dropping to near 0 by midnight

 

climbing again to around 4-6 degrees when the rain arrives

 

rain

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

expect murky drizzly foggy yuk in the morning

 

if you miss the rain expect a cold one Posted Image

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday

 

Posted Image

 

a strong and COLD north westerly wind

 

temps

 

Posted Image

cold as well

 

around 7-9 degrees and will feel colder in the wind

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

looks dry but there could be some light rain and drizzle far east coast and south coastal regions ( low risk at present)

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday night

 

Posted Image

a weaker northerly flow

 

there is a trough running down the south east so rain expected

 

temps

 

Posted Image

 

 

temps

 

Posted Image

where the rain arrives around 3-5 degrees

 

where it stays clear -1 to 3 degrees Posted ImagePosted Image

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday

 

Posted Image

a breezy north westerly flow

 

temps

 

Posted Image

between 8-10 degrees

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

should be dry and sunny

 

fog am possible and could get noticeable east and north east coastal region areas

 

overall very autumnal

 

john Posted Image

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

i see they getting a  bit excited in the  model thread  to-night  if  this  happens should  be  interesting !!!

post-4629-0-21335300-1384286210_thumb.pn

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HammerJack Community Regular

HammerJack

Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
Posted

These "Journalists" need to be shot! So do the idiot editors who allow it to be printed.

Mother nature should sue them for Liable.....

I've stopped buying papers for the last few years. The people who buy the Star well.... Com'on you only need to read that idiotic headline today.
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HammerJack Community Regular

HammerJack

Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
Posted

Got bronchitis -.- been prescribed amoxicillin.. Day of work though :D

I would rather be heathy and not have that, in all honestly. Bronchitis, is awful and with the elderly can kill. My neighbour died of it. Your a young lad so will be fine, but don't make light of it.... Anyway hope you feel better soon.
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Crepuscular Ray Seasoned

Crepuscular Ray

Posted
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
Posted (edited)

I've stopped buying papers for the last few years. The people who buy the Star well.... Com'on you only need to read that idiotic headline today.

The Star's not the only one...

 

Hope you feel better soon, Surrey.

Edited by Crepuscular Ray
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HammerJack Community Regular

HammerJack

Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
Posted

The Star's not the only one...Hope you feel better soon, Surrey.

I know. That's why I stopped buying papers altogether. 😉
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

GFS looks like a repeat of 1953... lets hope theres no spring tide if that comes to fruition.

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted

GFS looks like a repeat of 1953... lets hope theres no spring tide if that comes to fruition.

I agree spring tide would be bad with that chart.

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

GFS looks like a repeat of 1953... lets hope theres no spring tide if that comes to fruition.

 

GFS looks like a repeat of 1953... lets hope theres no spring tide if that comes to fruition.

 

 

hi east

 

that chart would be bad but at that range from gfs

 

its like believing all the press stories that keep being printed

 

if it shows in the reliable timeframe i would then worry

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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted (edited)
A stunning satellite image across the UK this afternoon, showing the track of the jet stream. http://

 

 

 

 
 
Edited by Jason T
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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted

Across the water our friendly Americans do this for the kids. Quite amazing really.

 

http://www.ready.gov/kids/know-the-facts/winter-storms-extreme-cold

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Croydondazz Explorer

Croydondazz

Posted
  • Location: Wallington/ Croydon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and hot summers
  • Location: Wallington/ Croydon
Posted

More great stories by the express

Let me guess in May they will print 2014 biggest heat wave ever! OR floods for everyone wettest August ever

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Jax Veteran

Jax

Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
Posted

back from my wander to the next village, and it is not a bad evening out there, might do it again tomorrow, who knows (plus I get to pick up the latest copy of the nag and dog to read too, bonus)

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

updated fax charts

 

saturday

 

Posted Image

a very weak westerly flow

 

temps

 

Posted Image

 

expect around 10-11 degrees

 

will feel warmer as lack of wind and sunny spells

 

rain

 

Posted Image

 

none Posted ImagePosted Image

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

saturday night

 

Posted Image

 

cold again

 

clear and frosty in rural areas

 

locally should avoid a frost although feeling cold everywhere

 

watch for mist and fog sunday am

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

sunday

 

Posted Image

 

a weak westerly flow

 

temps

 

around 10 degrees

 

rainfall possible late afternoon but would be late in the day

 

expect cloudcover quite strong in the far south of the region

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

expect a very cold sunday night

 

ukmo at 144

 

Posted Image

a westerly flow and quite breezy

 

cold

 

but looks fairly dry for now

 

look north west Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

 

anyway just looked at the pub run

 

compared to the 12z run it looks like a prediction for a different country Posted Image

 

will post the ensembles later Posted ImagePosted Image

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
Posted

Here's a ramp John Posted Image Posted Image

Posted Image

A bad one but still a ramp

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

hi captain

 

i love the 18z runs

 

think will should call it the quality street runs

 

never know what your going to get Posted Image

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