South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 14/11/13

[Tom Jarvis]

JP it looks like ian fiddled with the ECM as the low is meant to go under but then just goes north the next frame

[Guest bjaykent]

Hi JP with the Pub run's new found respect last night, it will no doubt do something completely different tonight  and I see from the other thread, not many are convinced by the ECM Op run so will look forward to your report on the ensembles later.

 

Just to say JP I do enjoy your posts in the Volcanic Activity Thread and the Earthquake Activity Thread - you clearly dedicate a lot of time to these too.

 

These are the links for anyone interested:

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/62309-general-volcanic-activity-thread/page-88

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/47470-earthquake-activity-thread/page-8

Edited November 16, 2013 by bjaykent

[Ruthie]

Didn't realise jp was posting there aswell. Thanks for sharing the links bjaykent. Very interesting.

[john pike]

hi bjaykent

 

thanks for your kind words

 

i have been studying these for a long time now and find it fascinating

 

and sometimes scarey what mother nature can do

 

add to the weather bit its all very interesting

 

as you can guess i bore my mrs all the time

 

john

[Isabellesnanny]

Is there any more idea for the chances/amounts of snow in our area now John? 

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

file:///Users/connormcewan/Pictures/SAM_0086.JPG

 

file:///Users/connormcewan/Pictures/SAM_0168.JPG

 

file:///Users/connormcewan/Pictures/SAM_0170.JPG

 

file:///Users/connormcewan/Pictures/SAM_0169.JPG

 

file:///Users/connormcewan/Pictures/SAM_0173.JPG

 

file:///Users/connormcewan/Pictures/SAM_0171.JPG

[john pike]

hi isabelle

 

hope your well

 

its very tricky to say at present

 

it looks possible that tues night and wednesday could produce but without

 

the correct info re dew points etc and the variable model output  i would say

 

it might go up to monday night to call this

 

i will do my fax updates overnight as normal though

 

i do play with the models with ramps etc but try to do the fax more seriously

 

i will say that after tuesday it will get a lot colder than now

 

sorry not more specific but will be as soon as i can

[Captain Shortwave]

Evening all, drove for the first time in 15 months today. No one was hurt I promise 

CFS time

Terrible

Precipitation - (+1) - rain at times, some heavy

Temperature - (+1) - Fairly mild but turning cooler after Boxing day

[john pike]

hi tom

 

the models after 144 are struggling

 

the ensembles later may help resolve the ecm confusion

[Summer of 76]

Evening all, drove for the first time in 15 months today. No one was hurt I promise 

CFS time

Terrible

Precipitation - (+1) - rain at times, some heavy

Temperature - (+1) - Fairly mild but turning cooler after Boxing day

CS you must now get off the path and on the road tomorrow

[Captain Shortwave]

hi tom

 

the models after 144 are struggling

 

the ensembles later may help resolve the ecm confusion

Lets hope the UKMO is correct 

[JennyJane1]

Metcheck is now giving me 10cm of snow Wednesday  

how can i look at it please?

[john pike]

hi captain

 

i would trust the ukmo over all the others as a rule

 

letss see if the met office later think the same

 

fingers crossed

[Ice Day]

Just spent half an hour in the Model thread...............good grief, some people really need to get out more!!  Thought I'd pop in here for a bit of serenity (until JP throw's the rampometer into overdrive).  The outlook is still looking hopeful, but not nailed on, for a nice early cold spell. 

[john pike]

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/442873/Coldest-winter-in-modern-times-on-way-with-snow-forecast-for-Britain-starting-next-week

 

hi ice

 

that above is a serious ramp

 

not by me this time though

Edited November 16, 2013 by john pike

[Summer of 76]

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/442873/Coldest-winter-in-modern-times-on-way-with-snow-forecast-for-Britain-starting-next-week

 

hi ice

 

that above is a serious ramp

 

not by me this time though

John are you sure that's not your day job and your real name is Nathan Rao 

[Ice Day]

One of the funniest things I've read in ages.  My personal favorite part was:

 

James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said Britain is braced for “copious†snowfall this winter with extreme cold expected to last into the spring.

He added that Britain faces “an incomparable scenario to anything we have experienced in modern timesâ€.

 

I really don't know how the Express keep getting away with it, it's becoming a weekly occurrence when they print this type of cr*p.  Ridiculous but it might calm some nerves on the Mod thread!!

Edited November 16, 2013 by Ice Day

[tinybill]

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/442873/Coldest-winter-in-modern-times-on-way-with-snow-forecast-for-Britain-starting-next-week

 

hi ice

 

that above is a serious ramp

 

not by me this time though

i must  get  my huskies  ready!!  the  express  must  be  right!!

[Ǝssex Ǝasterly]

how can i look at it please?

 

Here you go

 

http://www.metcheck.com/UK/dayforecast.asp?day=4&zipcode=Great%20Yarmouth&locationID=57426&lat=52.6&lon=1.7&findtype=

 

MC also showing Snow for Benfleet on weds! But rain for Southend!

 

If this does somehow pull off, I may be missing college on Weds 

 

Not because 'it snowed', but because I want to see the first fall in my area !

Edited November 16, 2013 by Essex Easterly.

[Tom Jarvis]

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/442873/Coldest-winter-in-modern-times-on-way-with-snow-forecast-for-Britain-starting-next-week

 

hi ice

 

that above is a serious ramp

 

not by me this time thoug

lol maybe one of us should infiltrate there headquarters to add a bit of realism to there papers lol. it does give us something to laugh at though.. 

[john pike]

sort of puts me to shame with my ramps

 

 

note to self

 

must do better

[Captain Shortwave]

ECM mean, should cheer people up 

By far the best ensemble run I've seen this season.

Shame it's not a consistent signal though.

[JennyJane1]

Here you go

 

http://www.metcheck.com/UK/dayforecast.asp?day=4&zipcode=Great%20Yarmouth&locationID=57426&lat=52.6&lon=1.7&findtype=

Thank you, that's kind.It shows snow for me for several hours on wednesday.

[Methuselah]

Thank you, that's kind.It shows snow for me for several hours on wednesday.

In the Triangle! 

[Snowangel-MK]

Great .....

another one to add to my collection...

All I can say is if it's snows for 100 days in MK I will eat my hat ....there won't be food by then so I might have to lol