South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 18/12/13

[Summer of 76]

Just been to the Met Office web site and don't think i have every seen this before, which must show the strength of the wind

 

Becoming increasingly mild, although with marked windchill.

 

[john pike]

Becoming increasingly mild, although with marked windchill.

 

hi chris

 

thats the brussels again

 

the chill is from my mrs after

[JennyJane1]

wind is starting to gust again here in the last few minutes.

[HammerJack]

Hi Guys and Girls. Just got back from Lapland, after 4 fabulous days. We have had a high temp of -4 and the low of -23. We've had snow up to our waistline and it's been great. Landed back at gatwick around 4 and it felt warm.... Here are a few pics. Will post better ones tomorrow

[Eskimo]

GUSTS OF ABOVE 80MPH MIGHT BE POSSIBLE INLAND

says Skywarn UK.  

http://www.skywarn.org.uk/current.html

 

[Lauren]

Wow, Leigh. So Lucky, I'd love to go. Do you recommend it?

[Long haul to mild]

GUSTS OF ABOVE 80MPH MIGHT BE POSSIBLE INLAND

says Skywarn UK. http://www.skywarn.org.uk/current.html

Yes, ties in with a post from Nick F in the main thread which suggested that very high gust speeds are possible along the squall line created by the cold front passing through. Edited December 22, 2013 by Chalk Serpent

[john pike]

all i can say is

 

i am glad i do not work at the met office

 

this storm is very complicated

 

we have a very low low

 

jet stream in the mix

 

and potential for heavy rain and flooding

 

all related to how tight the isobars get for us

 

i am waiting for the fax chart to update for 6pm tomorrow

 

would normally be there by now but will post when available

[scotteboi]

It's has a bit of technical truth, the storm is forecast to have a central pressure of around 930mb, which is only slightly higher than the 928mb recorded back in 1881 I believe, but of course the isobars are only squeezed as tight as the st Judes storm b the looks of it, though the affected area by strong winds is much wider and a longer timeframe of which damaging gusts can occur. It's bad but no October 1987 or Burns night storm.

 

Agreed, it certainly is anticipated to be a deep low, for the more experience of you on here (which is probably 99% compared to me) is it now pretty much nailed on in relation to the expected track of the incoming system and the central pressure or do we think it still has the time time/ability to spring a surprise or two (all be it good or bad?)

Edited December 22, 2013 by scotteboi

[be cause]

all i can say is

 

i am glad i do not work at the met office

 

this storm is very complicated

 

we have a very low low

 

jet stream in the mix

 

and potential for heavy rain and flooding

 

all related to how tight the isobars get for us

 

i am waiting for the fax chart to update for 6pm tomorrow

 

would normally be there by now but will post when available

 

 

lol  .. thought I'd found a poet ..   be safe folks !

[HammerJack]

Wow, Leigh. So Lucky, I'd love to go. Do you recommend it?

Most defiantly. It was so magical....

[Hotspur62]

Most defiantly. It was so magical....

I was lucky to go last year with the wife and my little girl.We stayed in Saariselka,near Ivalo airport in Finland and it was just the most magical experience. Where did you go?

[Croydondazz]

Here in centre parcs elveden

Back tomorrow before the storm

Terrible signal here

How bad will it be in Croydon

[bobbydog]

these killer megastorms are getting a bit tedious now......

[john pike]

hi croydon

 

pmd you

[yamkin]

Hi there SE gang,

 

Hope all are well and ready for Xmas. Been so busy on my blogs with so much happening across the globe. Croydon Council have been very busy over the weekend with the emergency preparedness plans just like other councils across the UK regarding the oncoming storms.

 

Happy Xmas everyone and please take good care out there especially during the severe storms.

 

Yamkin

[john pike]

no update for 6pm tomorrow on the fax chart

 

fax for thursday

 

 

a west to north west flow

 

not strong only weak

 

temps

 

 

cold around 5-6 degrees

 

rainfall

 

 

could we see some wintry showers from that???

 

more on that tomorrow night

 

friday to follow

[john pike]

fax now updated for 6pm tomorrow

 

some very strong winds there for us

 

with heavy rain

 

batten down the hatches tomorrow with this

[john pike]

now for friday

 

 

go away

 

pleeeeaaaasssseeeeeeee

 

will wait a couple of days re this

[Jimmyh]

Oh my god JP the fax is as bad as we thought for friday

[john pike]

hi jimmy

 

friday can still adjust that low around from run to run

 

but at present it isnt looking great

 

will follow that after we get over tomorrow

[Steve C]

now for friday

 

 

go away

 

pleeeeaaaasssseeeeeeee

 

will wait a couple of days re this

I'm guessing there'll be warnings issued in the next two days for this, if it looks similar then! :o

[john pike]

http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/142151.aspx

 

may also be needed over the next couple of days

hi steve

 

looks that way

 

i hate this weather but its what it shows

 

surely the atlantic has to run out of steam soon

[Sussex Jules]

Storm thread has collapsed into an ego bragging teenage stand off. I give up. Why do I never learn not to venture out of this nice regional.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Staying put I'm here now, pathetic how immature people are..

"no wind now in the south"

What they been looking at? Or southern areas over hype..

Damn some really thick people about..

Tomorrow is going to be a pretty wild day especially the late afternoon and evening.. Stay safe peeps