South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 03/01/14

[BLUNT]

Yes Paul it comes up on my Facebook page

[john pike]

tomorrow

 

a weak south west flow but increasing late pm when rain arrives

 

peaking as we go overnight to around 40 maybe 50 mph gusts

 

rainfall

 

dry am

 

up to around 6-7 pm

 

then rain moving in

 

the heavier rain a little later but more to the south of the region

 

getting warmer when the rain arrives to around 8-10 degrees

 

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tomorrow night

 

a strong south west wind

 

maybe some high gusts when the trough crosses us overnight

 

rainfall

 

 

 

still heavy and persistant

 

clearing around 3-4 am

 

the far north east of the rgion will get rain but it may not be over heavy

 

temps

 

around 6 degrees

 

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monday

 

winds still gusty and around 40 mph gusts

 

rainfall

 

should start dry again but rain en-route around mid day

 

again the north of the region may not see that much

 

temps

 

around 8 degrees

 

 

rain may be persistant to the south of the thames

 

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monday night

 

winds gusty and quite strong again

 

40-50 mph

 

rainfall

 

showers being driven in by the strong winds

 

some heavy and poss thundery

 

temps

 

around 6 degrees

 

will get cooler overnight and the north of the region may see low single temps if it clears re clouds

 

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tuesday

 

a south west flow but finally easing off

 

rainfall

 

slow moving heavy potentially thundery rain especially southern regions

 

temps

 

around 6-7 degrees

 

feeling a lot cooler

 

 

back later with the rest

[Snowangel-MK]

can i join you? well what i mean is can i have a duvet day too :winky:

I think mr P might have something to say about that :winky: Anyway we've decided to have a bit if a lay in and then go shopping - we have some gift vouchers from Chrimbo to spend and need a few holiday bits ! I also saw the photos of the snow in Cornwall and a very good explanation for it ...."It is due to latent heat of evaporation being taken from the surrounding air. works well when the rain falls through dry air, cooling it so that snow can penetrate to lower levels" I've also seen a thunderstorm watch issued for tomorrow ......."A strong extra-tropical depression will approach Western parts of Scotland, England & Wales on Sunday. There is the risk of strong thunderstorms for N Ireland between 15Z-21Z, the risk extending into much of Scotland and Northern England & Wales from 18Z into Monday Morning. The main convection will be present during the passage of a bent-back occlusion, and within the polar maritime airmass, coupled under a very intense jet-streak. Sufficient windshear combined with a very strong 850mb flow will mean that there is the increasing risk of line convection and possible bowing, this will increase the risk for severe wind gusts, locally damaging. Focus for storms with electrification will be North of the Midlands across Northern England and Scotland including N Ireland, here very low geopotential, much colder air aloft and the presence of strong storm motion will give a higher risk of lightning. Nevertheless, there remains a distinct background signal for a forced line to develop across South West England, into the Midlands and up towards Lincolnshire/Yorkshire. Due to this signal, we've decided to issue a widespread coverage area. There is a threat of locally severe convection with isolated supercells also a possibility. Main threats are severe wind gusts to 60mph, hail, lightning and torrential downpours which could lead to flash flooding." Edited January 4, 2014 by MKsnowangel

[Jason T]

Snowing in Cornwall/Devon.

 

Posted 19 minutes ago

Heavy snow in Princetown at the moment! 

• [*]You, 

gottolovethisweather and 124alex like this

Princetown, Devon - 415m asl

[Snowangel-MK]

Yellow Warning of Ice for London & South East England :

Kent, Surrey, Hampshire, Southampton, West Sussex, East Sussex, Isle of Wight, Portsmouth, Brighton and Hove & Medway

As skies clear overnight across southern parts of Britain, road surface temperatures are expected to fall below freezing . This will allow some icy stretches to develop on untreated surfaces or where earlier treatment is washed off by showers.

The public should be aware of the potential for difficult driving conditions.

Road surface temperatures should begin to rise above freezing in the west late in the night but not until mid-morning in the east.

Issued at:

2041 on Sat 4 Jan 2014

Valid from:

2245 on Sat 4 Jan 2014

Valid to:

0900 on Sun 5 Jan 2014

Light winds and clearing skies are allowing temperatures to fall away overnight. With surfaces wet from seepage from saturated ground, icy stretches are likely to develop on untreated surfaces. As well as this an area of showers, perhaps locally wintry, are moving across southwestern areas and will run along the south coast. These may wash off any treatment that has been put on roads increasing the risk of icy stretches.

[john pike]

tonight the snow-wintry showers potential

 

has evaporative cooler in the heavier bursts

 

also wind direction comes into play

 

and cooler 500 temps bottom chart

 

 

cannot show fax now

 

but the wintry showers may fall but will be replaced quickly with rain again

 

john

[Nick F]

Seems strange not hearing the roar of the wind and lashing of the rain at the window, made worse the last 6 days staying right on the coast in Dorset. All's calm in London tonight, for a change!

[john pike]

hi nick

 

hope your well

 

makes a change

 

for now

[Snowangel-MK]

Snowing in Cornwall/Devon.

 

Posted 19 minutes ago

Heavy snow in Princetown at the moment! 

[*]You, gottolovethisweather and 124alex like this

Princetown, Devon - 415m asl

Here is the photo evidence for any disbelievers .....

[john pike]

 

the spread after the 10th is still evident

 

so fi there

 

precipitation is certainly on the drop now but 10 th on

 

the rogue 1 on the 14th can be ignored

 

ramp charts are easy tonight

 

but have a look

 

cold ones are nice

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=192&code=11&mode=1&carte=0

 

11 and 13 please

[Ruthie]

It is odd not having the wind and hearing the tree banging on the roof! Nice and peaceful,,,, and no planes tonight either yay, path must have changed.

[JennyJane1]

my feet are cold.

[MAF]

my feet are cold.

ive got a big rotty to keep my feet warm.

[MAF]

although he's curled upon the sofa right now

 

Edited January 4, 2014 by MAF

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

[Snow Queen one]

Evening guys and gals. There now seems to be some possibility of some white stuff falling at the end of the month which will be a nice change. My dog seems to prefer outside at the mo. We have clear skies now such a nice change from earlier today and I don't care it is cold lol

[Nick F]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

Thankfully, that rain off the East Devon coast looks to stay mostly offshore over the English Channel as it trundles east.

 

Untreated wet roads liable to turning to ice in rural parts of the SE tonight though, already down to 3 degrees in some spots. Hopefully won't be icy on London's roads in the morning, as I've an early drive to work.

[JennyJane1]

Southernman just called, he's broken down.If you're near the Gorleston roundabout layby, give him a wave!Clutch has gone he said, but I wonder if its water related.

[WillinGlossop]

Snow in princetown devon/cornwall....

Edited January 4, 2014 by WillinGlossop

[JennyJane1]

Snow in princetown devon/cornwall....

yes, somewhere back in the thread they said about it, don't think it was on the cards.

[JennyJane1]

oh dear, if anyone knows this area the breakdown truck is coming from Halesworth !!!!!!!!!! He'll be there all night!

[MAF]

he's woke up now. maybe because i opened the back door and let the cold in

 

Brrr. night all

[yamkin]

Thankfully, that rain off the East Devon coast looks to stay mostly offshore over the English Channel as it trundles east.

 

Untreated wet roads liable to turning to ice in rural parts of the SE tonight though, already down to 3 degrees in some spots. Hopefully won't be icy on London's roads in the morning, as I've an early drive to work.

 

Hi Nick F,

 

Regarding icy roads, Croydon Council have deployed a fleet of gritters to treat A & B routes. I'm sure other boroughs are following suite

[john pike]

heres the fax for 6pm tomorrow

 

gusty south west winds

 

and heavy rain very close

 

yuk

 

that trough behind could cause some pretty wild weather overnight

[Keraunic]

oh dear, if anyone knows this area the breakdown truck is coming from Halesworth !!!!!!!!!! He'll be there all night!

I think its pretty quick if he comes through Lowestoft. Hope he gets home ok.