Southeast England & East Anglia - Weather Chat >> 1st Feb Onwards

[snowfish1]

Plenty of time for that snow line to change track for Thursday afternoon.Minor adjustments is all that is needed for a south eastern hit.Radar watch!

Would that include se area please ?

Edited February 4, 2015 by snowfish1

[warrenb]

Still cold here at 2.4C DP 1C Sunny

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Euro4 goes mmmm maybe showers

 

NetWX goes.. OH YEAH !

 

 

They do however die inland (further frames on)

 

But check Friday night out..

 

 

Light I know but still PPN

[MarcB]

Showers showing signs of moving south from Hull now. It looks like the showers will become more extensive as the day goes on and turn increasingly wintry. So all to play for

They seem to be disappating at quite a rate though as they try and move inland, hope you're right though as we would all have a bite at the cherry if they continue on their current track.

[Kentspur]

Let's just hope that like the snow showers that affected central southern England yesterday morning but were forecast further east- these ones in the north sea also come further inland to benefit more of us- my double jointed fingers and toes are well and truly crossed!

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Everything froze overnight here - must have been very difficult first thing.  Strangely, most of the showers overnight (at least according to NW radar) divided around Norwich so went either east or west of my location.

[Kent Blizzard]

I'm not expecting anything of note today tbh, tomorrow however is a different matter, we just need it to all come together at the right time with the right ingredients.

Edited February 4, 2015 by Kent Blizzard

[Paul Sherman]

I wouldn't take the GFS precip charts too literally, particularly in showery flows - some will get more than others - generally showers spreading inland later for all parts of our regional looking at the 06z UKMO.

 

Agree with Nick here, GooFuS is absolutely appalling at predicted snow and storm areas even at T24, As stated this time yesterday morning when Nick put up the Fax Charts, that Trough is still there for Thursday 12z moving from NE-SW So a more general area of "no" then showers looks likely oover the next 36 hours, all to play for.

[snowblues]

Would that include se area please ?

It was just to say you cannot take the track for sure,50 miles south and could track London and Kent areas,or can do the opposite to the NW of our region.

[Kent Blizzard]

Pinch of salt and all that but my meto forecast for tomorrow has changed since yesterday, slightly for the better because yesterday it switched to just a sleet shower...

 

Tomorrow: Light snow at 08:00am, then shows light rain showers early afternoon before turning back to light snow at 15:00

 

Now to me I can't see it being rain if it starts as snow as I'm forecast 2*c or 3*c in a NE'ly..DPs will be key yes.

 

I know it will be a case of the models and then radar and observations but it's still nice when everything shows the same.

[TEITS]

I wouldn't take the GFS precip charts too literally, particularly in showery flows - some will get more than others - generally showers spreading inland later for all parts of our regional looking at the 06z UKMO.

Hi Nick.

 

I was just wondering if the 06Z UKMO is available to view as I cannot seem to find this model output?

[warrenb]

Can;t believe people actually follow the automated BBC forecast, go with the text every time.

[Kent Blizzard]

Someone with a better weather brain than me can you explain this...

 

Looking at the Euro4 it looks like Northern France Calais for example will do we'll out of this, temps from -1 upto 2*c and that's on the coast HOWEVER what I notice is they are forecast snow from Thursday 04:00am till 13:00hrs, is this from the heavier precipitation that slips past the SE early Thursday? If so I'd be slightly worried that they are not expecting anything from the showers that hit us slightly later and continue South where as the precipitation prior to this gets stronger as it moves South down to them.

Can;t believe people actually follow the automated BBC forecast, go with the text every time.

To be fair the automated bbc forecast did ok for IMBY the last event and the one the other week, wasn't that far out and at present the symbols match the test.

Edited February 4, 2015 by Kent Blizzard

[Hammer]

Looking at METO invent, tomorrow between 3am and 9am seems the most active for the region as a whole. Certainly this suggests quite a similar theme to the other night with a western bias to how the showers move through region. But remember the other night this was only really obvious a few hours before, so it is a nowcast that trend could change.

[Mr Maunder]

(My gut feeling is telling me that we will get some longer spells of snow developing tomorrow and poss into Friday as the wind turns more easterly , this like I say is only a gut feeling as going back a good few years I can remember this type of set up and the forecast was similar to what is being forecast now and yet here in Kent them showers got longer and longer and then merged to give us some decent snowfall that went on even if it was only for a 24/48 hour period)

No doubt I will be completely wrong though..

 

 

Yes I agree, especially as on Thursday evening in to Friday we have the lowest 850s during this spell of -9/-10c. The wind speed is ok as well, which will help to bring any precipitation further inland.  The thickness does become a bit marginal as time goes on (526-533), but with those low 850s we just might get away with it. 

Edited February 4, 2015 by Mr Maunder

[Crystal Memories]

pretty sure there will be nothing to see out of this cold spell from mid Kent to the east coast apart from on a few of the highest locations, Temperatures are just not cold enough, & sea is to warm, I hope I am wrong

[Kent Blizzard]

Yes please if you want to LOL

 

[Paul Sherman]

^^^^ So so Close to the perfect Set-Up for Southern England as well, If that Low was 250 miles further North West - Grrrrrrrr!

[Neilsouth]

06Z GFS continues to suggest snow for tomorrow especially in the N/W of this region.

 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs303.gif

 

That I don't understand, it's colder down this way and that is closer to the high pressure core...

[White Christmas]

well meto have removed our weather warning for today 

[dallas]

well meto have removed our weather warning for today 

It was due to expire at 1100

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Looks okay to me tonight as ever though people will miss out while others get a few CMS

[Marie]

Met office just updated today's weather warning after taking it down earlier , from 6pm tonight through to midnight

[White Christmas]

Feel happier now lol, thank you Dallas and Marie   

[Kent Blizzard]

Met office just updated today's weather warning after taking it down earlier , from 6pm tonight through to midnight

To me though Marie the text doesn't look to of changed in it :-/ ...I guess that's a positive though lol

 

A wintry mix of sleet and snow showers are likely to extend inland across parts of eastern, southeastern and central England on Wednesday night into Thursday. These are likely to lead to icy stretches on untreated surfaces. Snow accumulations of 1-3 cm are also possible in places, mainly above 150 m with perhaps 8 cm over the North York Moors. Due to the showery nature of the flow many places will probably miss the snow.

The public should be aware of the potential for disruption to travel.

This is an update to start earlier on Wednesday evening with road surface temperatures falling below freezing then as well as extending the northern boundary to fully cover the North York Moors

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1423094400&regionName=se

Edited February 4, 2015 by Kent Blizzard