Summer 2015

[Methuselah]

Even the Five-Live forecaster mentioned the possibility of 35C, on Wednesday; LBC went one better with 36!

 

On the subject of undercooking, could all the models have been misled by the cool Atlantic SSTs?

Edited June 29, 2015 by Ed Stone

[Nick L]

Even the Five-Live forecaster mention the possibility of 35C, on Wednesday; LBC went one better with 36!

 

On the subject of undercooking, could all the models have been misled by the cool Atlantic SSTs?

 

I'd say there is a good chance of 35c being hit on Wednesday, potentially a record-breaker for Wimbledon.

 

The ECM never really shows the warmth disappearing, not as hot as this week but certainly a prolonged summery spell.

[Summer Sun]

25c predicted for london though if the high cloud lifts it could get a bit higher

Edited June 29, 2015 by Summer Sun

[summer blizzard]

Weirdly i went out in Armley and it felt a bit oppressive but when i arrived in Bradford there was noticeably more wind and a cooler temperature. An interesting quirk. 

 

Or it could just be getting off the bus that made me feel different. 

[Nick L]

Weirdly i went out in Armley and it felt a bit oppressive but when i arrived in Bradford there was noticeably more wind and a cooler temperature. An interesting quirk. 

 

Or it could just be getting off the bus that made me feel different. 

 

There are few worse places to be in a heatwave than on a bus!

[Sainsbo]

Here's a list from TORRO on the top 100 hottest days ever recorded in the UK. Unfortunately, it only shows the highest temp recorded in a day, and ignores the 2nd, 3rd, ect which may still be higher than others on the list.
 
 (Apologies, it's not very easy on the eye. I can't get the formatting right to get it in a table)
 
It'll be interesting to see where Wednesday lands on this list

1st 38.5 10/08/2003

2nd 37.1 03/08/1990

3rd 36.7 09/08/1911

4th 36.6 02/08/1990

5th 36.5 19/08/2006

6th 36.4 05/08/2003

7th 36.1 06/08/2003

8th 36.1 19/08/1932

9th 36 22/08/1911

10th 35.9 03/07/1976

11th 35.7 02/07/1976

12th 35.6 28/06/1976

13th 35.6 29/06/1957

14th 35.6 13/07/1923

15th 35.6 13/08/1911

16th 35.6 02/09/1906

17th 35.5 27/06/1976

18th 35.4 26/06/1976

19th 35.2 01/08/1995

20th 35.2 02/08/1990

21st 35.2 04/08/1990

22nd 35.1 20/08/1900

23rd 35 29/06/1957

24th 35 12/07/1923

25th 35 15/07/1881

26th 35 28/08/1948

27th 35 14/08/1876

28th 35 18/08/1932

29th 35 01/09/1906

30th 34.9 31/08/1906

31st 34.8 01/07/1961

32nd 34.8 05/08/2003

33rd 34.8 02/09/1906

34th 34.7 11/08/2003

35th 34.7 18/08/1893

36th 34.6 08/09/1911

37th 34.4 03/06/1947

38th 34.4 05/07/1959

39th 34.4 11/07/1921

40th 34.4 16/08/1881

41st 34.4 27/08/1933

42nd 34.4 29/08/1948

43rd 34.4 29/08/1930

44th 34.3 22/06/1941

45th 34.3 06/07/1976

46th 34.3 22/08/1989

47th 34.2 08/08/1975

48th 34.2 03/09/1906

49th 34.1 04/07/1976

50th 34.1 08/07/1941

51st 34.1 16/08/1900

52nd 34.1 11/08/1884

53rd 34 21/08/1911

54th 34 07/08/1975

55th 33.9 17/06/1917

56th 33.9 22/06/1941

57th 33.9 01/07/1961

58th 33.9 10/07/1921

59th 33.9 08/01/1900

60th 33.9 31/08/1943

61st 33.9 12/08/1911

62nd 33.9 13/08/1911

63rd 33.9 16/08/1947

64th 33.9 17/08/1947

65th 33.9 22/08/1918

66th 33.9 27/08/1942

67th 33.9 28/08/1930

68th 33.8 30/06/1957

69th 33.7 12/08/1953

70th 33.6 15/08/1876

71st 33.6 22/08/1995

72nd 33.5 25/06/1976

73rd 33.4 23/08/1989

74th 33.4 07/09/1898

75th 33.3 02/06/1947

76th 33.3 06/06/1950

77th 33.3 07/07/1893

78th 33.3 07/07/2023

79th 33.3 18/08/2006

80th 33.3 19/08/1901

81st 33.3 26/08/1885

82nd 33.3 30/08/1948

83rd 33.3 29/08/1930

84th 33.3 07/09/1911

85th 33.1 07/06/1996

86th 33 21/08/1995

87th 32.8 09/06/1940

88th 32.8 19/06/2005

89th 32.8 07/07/1923

90th 32.8 26/08/1964

91st 32.8 05/09/1949

92nd 32.7 07/07/1976

93rd 32.7 17/08/2006

94th 32.6 24/01/1900

95th 32.5 25/08/1976

96th 32.4 24/06/1976

97th 32.3 14/07/1983

98th 32.3 20/08/1995

99th 32.3 04/09/1940

100th 32.2 08/06/1915

Edited June 29, 2015 by Sainsbo

[I Cumbria Marra I]

joint 75th

[Sainsbo]

With charts like these, I'm tempted to think somewhere in the top 50.

 

There again, I'm not quite sure if the chart is 2m temperatures or surface temperatures. If they're 2m temperatures then I think it might suggest something a little more notable than some people think!

[March Blizzard]

Here's a list from TORRO on the top 100 hottest days ever recorded in the UK. Unfortunately, it only shows the highest temp recorded in a day, and ignores the 2nd, 3rd, ect which may still be higher than others on the list.

 

 (Apologies, it's not very easy on the eye. I can't get the formatting right to get it in a table)

 

It'll be interesting to see where Wednesday lands on this list

1st 38.5 10/08/2003

2nd 37.1 03/08/1990

3rd 36.7 09/08/1911

4th 36.6 02/08/1990

5th 36.5 19/08/2006

6th 36.4 05/08/2003

7th 36.1 06/08/2003

8th 36.1 19/08/1932

9th 36 22/08/1911

10th 35.9 03/07/1976

11th 35.7 02/07/1976

12th 35.6 28/06/1976

13th 35.6 29/06/1957

14th 35.6 13/07/1923

15th 35.6 13/08/1911

16th 35.6 02/09/1906

17th 35.5 27/06/1976

18th 35.4 26/06/1976

19th 35.2 01/08/1995

20th 35.2 02/08/1990

21st 35.2 04/08/1990

22nd 35.1 20/08/1900

23rd 35 29/06/1957

24th 35 12/07/1923

25th 35 15/07/1881

26th 35 28/08/1948

27th 35 14/08/1876

28th 35 18/08/1932

29th 35 01/09/1906

30th 34.9 31/08/1906

31st 34.8 01/07/1961

32nd 34.8 05/08/2003

33rd 34.8 02/09/1906

34th 34.7 11/08/2003

35th 34.7 18/08/1893

36th 34.6 08/09/1911

37th 34.4 03/06/1947

38th 34.4 05/07/1959

39th 34.4 11/07/1921

40th 34.4 16/08/1881

41st 34.4 27/08/1933

42nd 34.4 29/08/1948

43rd 34.4 29/08/1930

44th 34.3 22/06/1941

45th 34.3 06/07/1976

46th 34.3 22/08/1989

47th 34.2 08/08/1975

48th 34.2 03/09/1906

49th 34.1 04/07/1976

50th 34.1 08/07/1941

51st 34.1 16/08/1900

52nd 34.1 11/08/1884

53rd 34 21/08/1911

54th 34 07/08/1975

55th 33.9 17/06/1917

56th 33.9 22/06/1941

57th 33.9 01/07/1961

58th 33.9 10/07/1921

59th 33.9 08/01/1900

60th 33.9 31/08/1943

61st 33.9 12/08/1911

62nd 33.9 13/08/1911

63rd 33.9 16/08/1947

64th 33.9 17/08/1947

65th 33.9 22/08/1918

66th 33.9 27/08/1942

67th 33.9 28/08/1930

68th 33.8 30/06/1957

69th 33.7 12/08/1953

70th 33.6 15/08/1876

71st 33.6 22/08/1995

72nd 33.5 25/06/1976

73rd 33.4 23/08/1989

74th 33.4 07/09/1898

75th 33.3 02/06/1947

76th 33.3 06/06/1950

77th 33.3 07/07/1893

78th 33.3 07/07/2023

79th 33.3 18/08/2006

80th 33.3 19/08/1901

81st 33.3 26/08/1885

82nd 33.3 30/08/1948

83rd 33.3 29/08/1930

84th 33.3 07/09/1911

85th 33.1 07/06/1996

86th 33 21/08/1995

87th 32.8 09/06/1940

88th 32.8 19/06/2005

89th 32.8 07/07/1923

90th 32.8 26/08/1964

91st 32.8 05/09/1949

92nd 32.7 07/07/1976

93rd 32.7 17/08/2006

94th 32.6 24/01/1900

95th 32.5 25/08/1976

96th 32.4 24/06/1976

97th 32.3 14/07/1983

98th 32.3 20/08/1995

99th 32.3 04/09/1940

100th 32.2 08/06/1915

Early August is the King of warm, going off that. Although I'm pretty sure that 36.5C temp was actually July 2006, not August.

I also didn't realise it got so warm in January 1900...

[Weather-history]

Here's a list from TORRO on the top 100 hottest days ever recorded in the UK. Unfortunately, it only shows the highest temp recorded in a day, and ignores the 2nd, 3rd, ect which may still be higher than others on the list.

(Apologies, it's not very easy on the eye. I can't get the formatting right to get it in a table)

It'll be interesting to see where Wednesday lands on this list

1st 38.5 10/08/2003

2nd 37.1 03/08/1990

3rd 36.7 09/08/1911

4th 36.6 02/08/1990

5th 36.5 19/08/2006

6th 36.4 05/08/2003

7th 36.1 06/08/2003

8th 36.1 19/08/1932

9th 36 22/08/1911

10th 35.9 03/07/1976

11th 35.7 02/07/1976

12th 35.6 28/06/1976

13th 35.6 29/06/1957

14th 35.6 13/07/1923

15th 35.6 13/08/1911

16th 35.6 02/09/1906

17th 35.5 27/06/1976

18th 35.4 26/06/1976

19th 35.2 01/08/1995

20th 35.2 02/08/1990

21st 35.2 04/08/1990

22nd 35.1 20/08/1900

23rd 35 29/06/1957

24th 35 12/07/1923

25th 35 15/07/1881

26th 35 28/08/1948

27th 35 14/08/1876

28th 35 18/08/1932

29th 35 01/09/1906

30th 34.9 31/08/1906

31st 34.8 01/07/1961

32nd 34.8 05/08/2003

33rd 34.8 02/09/1906

34th 34.7 11/08/2003

35th 34.7 18/08/1893

36th 34.6 08/09/1911

37th 34.4 03/06/1947

38th 34.4 05/07/1959

39th 34.4 11/07/1921

40th 34.4 16/08/1881

41st 34.4 27/08/1933

42nd 34.4 29/08/1948

43rd 34.4 29/08/1930

44th 34.3 22/06/1941

45th 34.3 06/07/1976

46th 34.3 22/08/1989

47th 34.2 08/08/1975

48th 34.2 03/09/1906

49th 34.1 04/07/1976

50th 34.1 08/07/1941

51st 34.1 16/08/1900

52nd 34.1 11/08/1884

53rd 34 21/08/1911

54th 34 07/08/1975

55th 33.9 17/06/1917

56th 33.9 22/06/1941

57th 33.9 01/07/1961

58th 33.9 10/07/1921

59th 33.9 08/01/1900

60th 33.9 31/08/1943

61st 33.9 12/08/1911

62nd 33.9 13/08/1911

63rd 33.9 16/08/1947

64th 33.9 17/08/1947

65th 33.9 22/08/1918

66th 33.9 27/08/1942

67th 33.9 28/08/1930

68th 33.8 30/06/1957

69th 33.7 12/08/1953

70th 33.6 15/08/1876

71st 33.6 22/08/1995

72nd 33.5 25/06/1976

73rd 33.4 23/08/1989

74th 33.4 07/09/1898

75th 33.3 02/06/1947

76th 33.3 06/06/1950

77th 33.3 07/07/1893

78th 33.3 07/07/2023

79th 33.3 18/08/2006

80th 33.3 19/08/1901

81st 33.3 26/08/1885

82nd 33.3 30/08/1948

83rd 33.3 29/08/1930

84th 33.3 07/09/1911

85th 33.1 07/06/1996

86th 33 21/08/1995

87th 32.8 09/06/1940

88th 32.8 19/06/2005

89th 32.8 07/07/1923

90th 32.8 26/08/1964

91st 32.8 05/09/1949

92nd 32.7 07/07/1976

93rd 32.7 17/08/2006

94th 32.6 24/01/1900

95th 32.5 25/08/1976

96th 32.4 24/06/1976

97th 32.3 14/07/1983

98th 32.3 20/08/1995

99th 32.3 04/09/1940

100th 32.2 08/06/1915

Just looking at that list, you can imagine how far 13th June maximum record will be down on a complete list including runner ups, third positions etc. Miles down it!

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/38588-the-13th-of-june-enigma/

Edited June 30, 2015 by Weather-history

[richie3846]

The problem is with the torro site, is that it's not been updated for years. The October record of 29.9c set a few years back is nowhere to be seen. Does anyone know of a similar site which is updated regularly?

[Relativistic]

Early August is the King of warm, going off that. Although I'm pretty sure that 36.5C temp was actually July 2006, not August.

I also didn't realise it got so warm in January 1900...

The Summer of 2023 looks like it might be a warm one (see 78th place). Edited June 30, 2015 by 22nov10blast

[I remember Atlantic 252]

around 22nd, that shows 33C at midday, hottest time is 5-6pm, and GFS under does temps anyway

 

all top ones in August, nowadays Aug seems cooler than july

Edited June 30, 2015 by Ilovethesnow

[Man With Beard]

I always find the weather online maximums to be highly accurate in summer - for instance, they got the 27C correct for last Friday when the Met forecasted 22C. Well, currently they show 36C for Gravesend tomorrow:

www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?LANG=en&CEL=C&SI=mph&CONT=ukuk&LAND=SOU&REGION=0003&WMO=03784&LEVEL=52&R=0&NOREGION=0

Not far off the July record

[Evening thunder]

The 10am forecast on News 24 was pushing for the chance of 35C in the SE tomorrow, depending on how clear the sky is (and 40C around the Paris area!)

 

[Nick L]

The 10am forecast on News 24 was pushing for the chance of 35C in the SE tomorrow, depending on how clear the sky is (and 40C around the Paris area!)

 

35C bbc.png

 

Judging by how rapidly the temperatures are rising today compared to forecast, I wouldn't rule out the July record being under threat. I think we'll see a few 30s today.

Edited June 30, 2015 by Nick L

[Sainsbo]

The 10am forecast on News 24 was pushing for the chance of 35C in the SE tomorrow, depending on how clear the sky is (and 40C around the Paris area!)

 

35C bbc.png

 

Indeed, I was quite surprised to see a 35C on the map.

 

He also used the words 35C or so - Maybe a little hotter than that if there is little cloud cover?

 

Maybe the July record isn't as safe as we thought!

[Summer Sun]

â€@bbcweather

 

We could hit 35C on Weds! If so, it'll be only the 18th day since 1959 that we'll have been that hot! #heatwave MattT

[Sainsbo]

Just to add to the other tweet above

 

@bbcweather

 

Update: Chance of 35C tomorrow in the London area has now increased. Considered a 60% probability. John H

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Evening thunder]

It's certainly going to be an interesting one to watch!

 

I have not actually experienced 35C before.. though I may not quite be in the very hottest area I'm not quite sure how I will deal with it being in a top floor room that can get warm even in normal weather.

[Polar Maritime]

34c showing on the GFS 6z, Very possible.

 

[Summer Sun]

25c and rising in London

 

@bbcweather

 

Now 25C in London and up to 22 as far north as Inverness. #heatwave John H

[Sainsbo]

Already the warmest day of the year in Wales and it's not even midday.

 

24.8C in Rhyll at 11AM.

[Summer Sun]

Very warm but a fair bit of cloud here in Darlington

[simshady]

25,8 here. Horridly warm at the moment. Already hoping for some cooler air to return as soon as possible.