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Storm & Convective Discussion - 01/06/15 onwards

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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted (edited)

Reminding me of July 17th this is. Hi-res models have failed to predict the eastward shift on this. Looks like the band is feeding off the juice to the East as it is tapping into it. Another storm going wild over Chartres, just west of Paris. Looking good for those in the IOW area towards Sussex now! Hampshire + Wiltshire and parts of Somerset should do well also :)

 

Yes looking again at hi-res that is a bit of a shift east... if that happens again tomorrow in a similar way the main focus will move from S Wales/N Devon & W country to C/S England regions instead.

 

Shows why not to follow the models too much at such close range. Now-cast all the way.

Edited by Chris K
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poseidon Community Regular

poseidon

Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
Posted

Some interesting reading over on UKWW convective outlook.... http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/108340-convective-outlook-fri-12th-june-2015/

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Enjoy the el south coastio storms you all

 

goodnightio

 

don't forget to record.

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ChezWeather Experienced

ChezWeather

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
Posted

This is the UKMO rainfall graphic for 19:00 on Friday

 

Looking very good for the midlands and chances not ruled out for anyone further North as this precip moves North during the night and into Saturday

 

 

post-17481-0-71400600-1434057466_thumb.p

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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted

This is the UKMO rainfall graphic for 19:00 on Friday

 

Looking very good for the midlands and chances not ruled out for anyone further North as this precip moves North during the night and into Saturday

 

hah the gap in-between - Bristol written all over it :laugh: Got to laugh.

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Spikecollie Accomplished

Spikecollie

Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
Posted (edited)

Cells now nearing the IOW - where are you guys, our storms are MAKING it across the channel! We;re doing our best to export..express your enjoyment!

Edited by Spikecollie
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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted

I wonder how far north these are going to get, not sure if I should go for a little chase or stay here.

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shaky Veteran

shaky

Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester
Posted

jesus talk about hi resolution models being wrong at just a few hours out!!!wouldnt surprise me if more of southern england see storms tonight!!meto radar looks good for midlands tomorrow evening aswell!!lets hope we get some hot temps if 25/26 degrees to boot!!

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Bolt from the Blue Enthusiast

Bolt from the Blue

Posted
  • Location: Sturminster Newton (N. Dorset)
  • Weather Preferences: Fair Weather, Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Sturminster Newton (N. Dorset)
Posted

Don't feel confident we'll get much here tonight, so off to bed now. Then I'll be fresh for tomorrow's action!

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Spikecollie Accomplished

Spikecollie

Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
Posted

Enjoy the el south coastio storms you all

 

goodnightio

 

don't forget to record.

Disfruta de las tormentas de la costa sur...

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nick sussex Maestro

nick sussex

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
Posted

Happy to say that the dire warnings from Meteo France didn't meet the reality here. After going into my headless chicken routine with lots of pacing around, obsessively checking the updated radar and wondering what carnage I'd have to deal with, the sum total was 15 minutes of torrential rain.

 

Their original warning mentioned gusts of wind exceeding 100 km/h, hailstones and some ridiculous amounts of rain over a short period of time.

 

Thunderstorms are however expected over the weekend so I'll likely need to sedate myself to cope.

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

hah the gap in-between - Bristol written all over it :laugh: Got to laugh.

Oh I've never heard of that before! :sorry:

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted

Very interesting! Could be some rather severe weather IF we can get some decent sunny spells and not too much 'crud' hanging around for too long...

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TropicThunder Aficionado

TropicThunder

Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Weather Preferences: Heat and thunderstorms, snow in winter
  • Location: Southampton
Posted

Can see distant flashes but too far away to hear thunder yet. Gotta go to bed now to be up for work in four hours grrr.

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted

Just checked estofex South Wales is under a level 2 warning whilst the southern half of England is under a level 1 with 50% chance of lightning

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Disfruta de las tormentas de la costa sur...

uh!!

 

translate please :D

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Nick123 Aficionado

Nick123

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind, storms
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne
Posted

Can see flashes here now :D

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Spikecollie Accomplished

Spikecollie

Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
Posted (edited)

Happy to say that the dire warnings from Meteo France didn't meet the reality here. After going into my headless chicken routine with lots of pacing around, obsessively checking the updated radar and wondering what carnage I'd have to deal with, the sum total was 15 minutes of torrential rain.

 

Their original warning mentioned gusts of wind exceeding 100 km/h, hailstones and some ridiculous amounts of rain over a short period of time.

 

Thunderstorms are however expected o ver the weekend so I'll likely need to sedate myself to cope.

Some lovely lightning though, and impressive clouds. It' not over yet either. We are not Kansas over here you know, but we do know how to do a storm. Be careful what you wish for...

Edited by Spikecollie
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Spikecollie Accomplished

Spikecollie

Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
Posted (edited)

uh!!

 

translate please :D

Just did! OK then I'll be nice - enjoy the storms on the south coast! Keep saying it...English and Spanish

Edited by Spikecollie
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