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North West England Weather Discussion 14/11/15 Onwards

Liam J

By Liam J
in Regional

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

GFS18z shows snow showers by 21.00 over the region,followed by a more organised band of snow overnight :cold:

 

C.S

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted (edited)

The meto maps and warnings are not compatible with precipitation charts being shown by the BBC - all rather confusing. Cumbria is under the warning yet the map doesn't include any of the county apart from Pennine fringes yet the front is shown to bring snow to central parts of the county with the front moving through - how can it skip here yet deliver snow to southern parts of the region, it doesn't make sense..

 

Local microclimates caused by the fells tend to produce sudden developments here, and surprise snowfalls that the pros often fail to predict.. I'm keeping an open mind and won't be surprised either way to see no snow or a covering..

 

Its good to be talking about snow prospects on the back of a very lengthy exceptionally mild spell..

Edited by damianslaw
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Geordiesnow Accomplished

Geordiesnow

Posted
  • Location: Morecambe
  • Location: Morecambe
Posted

I guess if there is one good thing if any PPN is further West and looking at the kink in the isobars, its unlikely there will be any modification from the Irish sea as winds will be coming off shore, the question will be, how much of a mild sector will there be... It does appear, the further West you are, the colder the air will be. 

 

Got to say, looking at the set up now compared to what it was, its rather underwhelming and it has been shortened in duration, as I said last night, its the same old problem of not being able to sustain a ridge/heights in Greenland despite the PV being knocked out. 

 

Goes to show, even though the overall trend might be there, details will change right up to the last moment, something to bear in mind for the winter months and that goes with any set up really, the fact cold set ups get more attention leads to the false suggestion that its only cold that downgrades but its not the case at all. 

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

The day started of with a Hail shower. Nice start. :)

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dodge Accomplished

dodge

Posted
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
Posted (edited)

Might just see a few falling flakes in the air if the band of snow/sleet/rain makes it this far inland, but can't see it posing too many problems even for areas in the sweet spot. Saturday will feel like a proper wintry day...Should blow away the mild autumn cobwebs.

Edited by dodgeredee
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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

will be brisk on the fells too :)..

 

.....lovely.

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dodge Accomplished

dodge

Posted
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
Posted (edited)

Interesting.. a shift further west on the latest charts... the only problem is it's most likely to happen during the witching hour for most, and we could be dreaming through it...

 

 

post-12319-0-40805700-1448013207.png

Edited by dodgeredee
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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

It is sleeting here now.

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Author
Posted

Temps have fallen back a bit from earlier, now 6.9c but feels colder in the wind, had some rain showers as well. Surprised at the reports of sleet further south given temps are still generally 8-9c, the colder air & lower dew points haven't even moved over this far north yet. 

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

Temps have fallen back a bit from earlier, now 6.9c but feels colder in the wind, had some rain showers as well. Surprised at the reports of sleet further south given temps are still generally 8-9c, the colder air & lower dew points haven't even moved over this far north yet.

Almost Tropical here clear skies sun out feels quite warm.

C.S

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

The clouds are looking snowy here.

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dodge Accomplished

dodge

Posted
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
Posted

Conveyor belt of showers lining up to pepper the North West throughout the rest of today (hope we have this setup when temps are cold enough to produce snow, because we'd get copious amounts of the stuff).  Had some quite heavy showers so far already with sleet mixed in. 

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

More heavy showers coming in here now.

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Author
Posted

Some heavy showers and a cold wind, temp 5.6c.

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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted

surprised the showers aren't a touch wintry, just plain rain so far

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

Gone clear here now. :-(

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Jan Rising Star

Jan

Posted
  • Location: North Liverpool & Huertas Bajas de Cabra Cordoba S
  • Weather Preferences: Any extreme weather conditions
  • Location: North Liverpool & Huertas Bajas de Cabra Cordoba S
Posted

Had a really beefy shower about half an hour ago, hail mix. It absolutely battered

down for about 10-15 minutes

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Miamay Experienced

Miamay

Posted
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy weather
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
Posted

Cold windy day with hail showers some heavy. My parents in Co Donegal rang earlier to say it had started snowing there !!

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Geordiesnow Accomplished

Geordiesnow

Posted
  • Location: Morecambe
  • Location: Morecambe
Posted

Dew temps are lowering now in Northern Ireland with most stations reporting 0 or below dew points so the colder air is filtering in and dew temps around this region should start dropping soon also. 

 

Unfortunately, the more organised does have a mild sector in but as long as winds are off shore(winds are forecast to veer more Northerly) then for some areas, snowfall is a real possibility. 

 

As per ever, its radar watching and not get too drawn up with those BBC graphics! 

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Had a really beefy shower about half an hour ago, hail mix. It absolutely battered

down for about 10-15 minutes

yes I was out in that. Took my radio in case of any sferics. Dropped the temperature nicely as well from 8.2 to 6.9°C

Let's see what happens tonight.

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