South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year

[Kent Blizzard]

I think also for the SE what many forget is from a dry continental SE'ly mixing with the flow from the SW then the frontal stuff can fall when the 850Hpa's are as high as -1 and up to dam thicknesses 537-539.

...just worth keeping in mind when looking at charts and dismissing!

Edited January 13, 2016 by Kent Blizzard

[Dami]

So..My little one as I have said in my status, is going for a walk to the pond tomorrow and I get a note ;-

Please could parents insure children have waterproof coats, hat scarf and gloves as we expect it be cold with light rain.

 

LIGHT RAIN....

[Daniel*]

Upgrades on la GFS 12z -

Monday will be bitterly cold, -10C 850s into East Anglia 200 odd miles further west than 6z.

[Methuselah]

6 minutes ago, Earnest Easterly* said:

Upgrades on la GFS 12z -

Monday will be bitterly cold, -10C 850s into East Anglia 200 odd miles further west than 6z.

Which, unless I am mistaken (stranger things have happened!) adds credence to Nick L's suggestion that -20C might be achieved, somewhere?

[Daniel*]

7 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Which, unless I am mistaken (stranger things have happened!) adds credence to Nick L's suggestion that -20C might be achieved, somewhere?

I suppose so but I think he was alluding to Highlands..

Exceptionally cold night if there was snow cover in I would expect minima in the region of -10C around Norwich area widely in that part of the world, outside chance of -15C?

Very slack continental flow, temperature would plummet!

[Rain123]

Been a cold one today, and I hope it stays!

[lawrenk]

Notable update on the long range MO Forecast today suggesting the SE will stay cold or below average for the foreseeable. Looks pretty dry but I guess things can pop up at fairly short notice and at least the ground will be getting a lot colder. Will be nice to see some proper frosts.

As far as snow is concerned, I seem to remember the epic spell in Jan 10 was proceeded by a period of quiet cold weather under high pressure so hopefully something similar occurs!

[Captain Shortwave]

Mostly fine and sunny until the late afternoon here. It did feel chilly outside though there wasn't a frost here to start.

As for the next few days, my thinking about late Thursday and Saturday offering chances for snow for our region still stands if strengthens in potential in my view.

[steveinsussex]

Ah the memories!!

 

 

[Froze were the Days]

2 hours ago, lawrenk said:

Notable update on the long range MO Forecast today suggesting the SE will stay cold or below average for the foreseeable. Looks pretty dry but I guess things can pop up at fairly short notice and at least the ground will be getting a lot colder. Will be nice to see some proper frosts.

As far as snow is concerned, I seem to remember the epic spell in Jan 10 was proceeded by a period of quiet cold weather under high pressure so hopefully something similar occurs!

Only becasue we'll have an area of high pressure over the south east the longest with a lot of surface cold - so chilly days, frosty nights and maybe some freezing fog later...today certainly 'felt' colder and was the coldest day of the winter in my location at 6.4c max but that's not far from average for the time of year, which says it all!

[ReindeerMarmalade]

Felt chilly today, despite the literal temperature (all relative compared to December's sauna), but now pelting it down. 

This isn't the precipitation I ordered. Waiter!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

A lot of showers coming into the region now, some could be thundery 

[steveinsussex]

@fergieweather: W COUNTRY By weekend we see the coldest spell nationwide since March 2013: Atlantic mobility & mildness "not expected anytime soon" say UKMO

 

 

oooooh 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Erm.. There is something wintry in the shower I'm currently experiencing think it's hail o.o

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Its sleet o:

[Captain Shortwave]

So potential for snow.

Tomorrow

 

We still have that wrap around front pushing across us as the low clears into the north sea.

A good suggestion of quite a lot of precipitation running along this.

     

There is the suggestion that the precipitation could turn wintry, especially later on as the 850s drop and we import some drier air. The precipitation clears during the early hours off the east coast.

Friday looks fine and sunny with a cold north westerly flow.

So moving onto Saturday.

        

A shallow low is modelled to our north east, there is disagreement on this from the models but there are some showery troughs moving south down the east coast which will bring some sleet and snow showers. 

The ECM shows a more potent feature.

A chance of showers onto coasts and potentially inland if we get some organisation with these showers. A long way off for this though.

Edited January 13, 2016 by Captain Shortwave

[Hammer]

1 hour ago, steveinsussex said:

Ah the memories!!

 

 

You probably still moaned that it wasn't cold enough, snow not deep enough mate. ;-)

[Jo S]

Boring weather here, but at least no rain, just a bit nippy

[tinybill]

well it  could  be all eyes  east soon !!

[tinybill]

it will be interesting to see what come  out  of  the showers its  a  bit nippy outside  to-night

[Mark Neal.]

1 hour ago, steveinsussex said:

Ah the memories!!

 

 

The front stalled here and then pivoted around eventually, ended up with 20cm. 

[Daniel*]

T - 5*C DP - 2*C

[NO LONGER POSTING]

6 minutes ago, Earnest Easterly* said:

T - 5*C DP - 2*C

Just had a mental shower here proper one you can hear when inside, looked out and it was hail with a bit sleet mixed in 

[Sparky68]

Snowing at the Liverpool game, winter is here!

 

[Daniel*]

32 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Just had a mental shower here proper one you can hear when inside, looked out and it was hail with a bit sleet mixed in 

Evaporative cooling bringing down wet bulb freezing level. Yep snow at Anfield 57M ASL.