Yorkshire and E England regional discussion

[joggs]

I'd take the pub run for our region. Alot of interest nonetheless.....

[Empire Of Snow]

Just had the first few flurries of this winter season. Meanwhile there's a 50% meltdown in the MOD thread but I can't really figure out why. Probably because of the low near Azores some people were chasing in FI and now some models decided to send it somewhere else.

[winterof79]

Bosh.

Edited December 6, 2022 by winterof79

[Scott Ingham]

5 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Bosh.

Ive been going back through pressure patterns and this disturbance is the same one modelled for the early afternoon pushed back 6 hours. Models firming up on timings but good to see placement in the same areas all the same

[Rexx]

53 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Bosh.

I don't see Arpege mentioned a great deal in the mod thread. How reliable does it tend to be?

[Light Without Heat]

This would be interesting. If this came off it would be early start to the Xmas holidays

[mike57]

First bits of sleety stuff at the coast...

[Jeremy Shockey]

just now on the North York Moors near Fylingdales

[Light Without Heat]

1 minute ago, Jeremy Shockey said:

just now on the North York Moors near Fylingdales

Nice -  It think we should do ok out of this spell

[Kentish Snowman in Yorks]

Met office app is starting to show a little light snow for tomorrow evening now (South Yorkshire).   

[cheese]

13 minutes ago, Kentish Snowman in Yorks said:

Met office app is starting to show a little light snow for tomorrow evening now (South Yorkshire).   

Ditto:

[A Face like Thunder]

2 hours ago, Light Without Heat said:

Nice -  It think we should do ok out of this spell

I know it well but normally not in the winter months. I've only been past the Hole of Horcum once when the main road across the Moors has been tricky because of snow and that was the very early and cold, snowy Easter of 2008.

[Snowing offshore]

No snow but cold definitely here now. Only dropped to 1C last night but only up to 2.6C at noon today and it has been bright all morning (couple of very light showers). Take that at the start of an at least week long cold spell. Very interesting times ahead and im hopeful we will get snow at some point.

really want kids to be able to go on a Christmas lights walk when its snowing. Takes it all to another level in my humble opinion.

[Empire Of Snow]

There are signals of freezing spray from Sunday onwards. I hope they'll spot these at METO and issue a warning. 

[Tim A]

Small disturbance tomorrow evening could bring some showers inland, best for NE parts. 

But unfortunately there is a warm air sector, so would think sleet or wet non-settling snow below 200m.

 

Edited December 7, 2022 by Tim A

[Empire Of Snow]

It looks like METO just updated their short term outlook and they're now mentioning freezing spray/fog. Most probably they will issue a warning on Friday or Saturday. I reckon it's going to be a yellow warning but I wouldn't rule out an amber one. 

[Jeremy Shockey]

Arome 12z looks good for Thur night / Fri morning

[The PIT]

Nothing forecast here in the forecasts although GFS has another twitch for Sunday otherwise dry all the way.

[winterof79]

1 hour ago, Jeremy Shockey said:

Arome 12z looks good for Thur night / Fri morning

Yes get the cold in first

 

[blizzard81]

Well, this is a start

[Harsh Climate]

1 hour ago, blizzard81 said:

Well, this is a start

Be interesting to see how this plays out, I seen a few models/precipitation charts having bulk of precipitation to the far East and feeding in off the North Sea. Yet a few others including look north more keen on heavier precipitation for those more to the west. 

Wouldn't be surprised if either we end up with no more than an odd furry or a dreaded mild sector bedded in hampering snow accumulations away from high ground  

[RebsAbbo]

Programme just started on BBC4 now - Winterwatch 1963:The Big Freeze…claims was the “worst winter of the 20th century”…..probably being shown to tell us to stop being wusses & just get on with this week

[blizzard81]

51 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

Be interesting to see how this plays out, I seen a few models/precipitation charts having bulk of precipitation to the far East and feeding in off the North Sea. Yet a few others including look north more keen on heavier precipitation for those more to the west. 

Wouldn't be surprised if either we end up with no more than an odd furry or a dreaded mild sector bedded in hampering snow accumulations away from high ground  

Met now shows just dry lol.

[Harsh Climate]

13 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:

Met now shows just dry lol.

If I was a betting man that is what I'd go for lol

[blizzard81]

17 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

If I was a betting man that is what I'd go for lol

Same here mate. Although, it's reverted back to a few hours of light snow now lol