Model output discussion 24/01/21

[MJB]

GEM does look good

[Griff]

Gem continues to tease, a theme of late

Edited January 25, 2021 by Griff

[Matt H]

I know it’s over a week away but the GEM 12z is showing the sort of snow event that I’m dreaming about having at the moment. One day!

Edited January 25, 2021 by Frosty Winter

[Allseasons-Si]

The GEM is a peach and disrupts the trough SE at 192 as i mentioned ^ about the gfs,this is what we want to happen here folks

 

Edited January 25, 2021 by Allseasons-si
typo

[Battleground Snow]

GFS OP heading for a big scandi high at 300.

 

[Griff]

♥ 

[Mr snowman 2018]

3 minutes ago, Griff said:

♥ 

That’s the GEM though and the GEM is quite unreliable in terms of models the gfs is totally different and unfortunately I think the gfs will be the correct outcome I’m afraid 

Edited January 25, 2021 by Mr snowman 2018
Spelling

[MJB]

2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

GFS OP heading for a big scandi high at 300.

 

Yes HUGE Scandi building 

[Allseasons-Si]

WHOAH!!!...

now that's a V cold pool of air to the NE.

[Mr snowman 2018]

4 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

GFS OP heading for a big scandi high at 300.

 

Again f.I model period always gets pushed back 

[Mr snowman 2018]

Just now, Allseasons-si said:

WHOAH!!!...

now that's a V cold pool of air to the NE.

Long long way off and in a very unreliable time frame !

[ALL ABOARD]

Well this would be a turn out for the books... 

[topo]

Finally a real Beast showing...

[Griff]

2 minutes ago, Mr snowman 2018 said:

That’s the GEM though and the GEM is quite unreliable in terms of models the gfs is totally different and unfortunately I think the gfs will be the correct outcome I’m afraid 

Verification stats?... and we're back in a loop! 

850s anyone?

[MJB]

Just now, Mr snowman 2018 said:

Long long way off and in a very unreliable time frame !

But worth mentioning for looking at trends 

[Battleground Snow]

1 minute ago, Mr snowman 2018 said:

Again f.I model period always gets pushed back 

If you read my post on the MJO earlier, I tried to give reasons for why this may keep happening in FI.

The ECM weekly update on the MJO later will be interesting.

[Allseasons-Si]

Just now, Mr snowman 2018 said:

Long long way off and in a very unreliable time frame !

Yes i am fully aware of that buddy but this is the MOD thread isn't it

[northwestsnow]

Yes that would be cold ...

We can but hope...

[Allseasons-Si]

Here she comes...

[Sweatyman]

5 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

WHOAH!!!...

now that's a V cold pool of air to the NE.

BOOMTOWN

[TSNWK]

11 minutes ago, Mr snowman 2018 said:

Long long way off and in a very unreliable time frame !

Yes and yes and yes! I think we know to your responses - however if the models serve it up we are going to discuss it, regardless of model reputation or how far out - more particular so when showing what we as coldies want - just the way it rolls here, it will be gone in 6 hours just go along with it  and enjoy its better that way 

Edited January 25, 2021 by TSNWK

[Day 10]

5 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

WHOAH!!!...

now that's a V cold pool of air to the NE.

Unfortunately though, somebody in Norway will sneeze and puff just like that Spain is frozen solid!

[Sweatyman]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Here she comes...

She bangs the drums..

[claret047]

To the more learned on here is there a way to calculate the temperature at ground level, should we ever be fortunate enough to have -24 @ 850 as currently shown on the charts to our northeast well into FI? I like to dream!

Many thanks

Kind Regards

Dave

 

[Allseasons-Si]

The Parra froze for a bit but it is running again,...trough disruption at 144...