Midlands Regional Weather Discussion

[Wingman Blue]

1 hour ago, chris pawsey said:

Very interesting weather coming up for us fellow midlanders! Friday looks, let's say active! Looking forward to the model roller coaster but in any case... Be prepared and stay safe 

 

 

Exactly!  Twenty miles south of you will it be rain or Snurr? Fingers crossed that 600 feet asl (our house is literally sat on the 600’ contour) will be the difference if ICON is to be believed.

Still, only 65 hours out, another 12 hours should bring it into the ‘likely’ scenario…

[shunthebartlett92]

4 hours ago, MattStoke said:

ICON is like a dog with a bone with the more southerly track and greater snow risk. Shame it’ll be wrong.

Never say never!

[Neil Harris]

Models are getting worse with each one. Looks like we are in for an absolute battering on Friday morning (around the rush hour time too)

[Snowy L]

Well looks like the North and Scotland gets all the snow while we just get rain and the risk to life. Cherry on top of this disgrace of a winter.

[MattStoke]

Got my eye on a swathe of particularly strong north west winds on the backside of Friday’s system. A few of the models have 80mph+ winds right across the North Midlands from that on Friday afternoon after the initial swathe of more widespread strong winds crosses the country. That could be particularly troublesome here.

I might be wrong but, that might be where the risk of a sting jet would be.

Edited February 16, 2022 by MattStoke

[davehsug]

Dudley is beginning to get a bit lively, some strong gusts starting to appear.

[shunthebartlett92]

Cant help but bemoan my luck when just last week i was in the north of scotland, now im back in the midlands and all we have is naff strong winds but no snow! Whilst it looks like inland areas with elevation will do very well out of this.

[MattStoke]

Winds touching 90mph+ in Stoke-on-Trent by Friday afternoon on the UKV.

Edited February 16, 2022 by MattStoke

[shunthebartlett92]

Literally trying to convince the girlfriend to go up to galashiels or moffat tomorrow night just to see some friggin snow and avoid this carnage. Have i lost it 

[Iceman2606]

16 February 2022 Time-Lapse

 

 

[nobble]

Dudley causing issues 

god knows what Eunice will do !

[phil b]

Highest gust today

that’s pretty high this this part of the world

[shunthebartlett92]

Just now, phil b said:

Highest gust today

that’s pretty high this this part of the world

Wow! That’s very high indeed, didn’t realise we were seeing gusts of that magnitude in the west mids. Was pretty breezy though!

[Arctic Hare]

Here in Bewdley, as expected Storm Dudley hasn't done anything out of the ordinary. (Will we one day get a Storm Bewdley that hits Dudley? ) It's pretty blustery out there, maybe gusts in the low 40s going on the sound outside my window, but no damage that I can see beyond a couple of empty flower planters blowing over. Eunice on Friday, now... that could be a very different matter. Can't say I'm too keen on this one, despite being a weather enthusiast, and I'll be happy to get to the weekend.

[Wingman Blue]

Interesting here.  The glass is climbing to changeable and wind from the nor’ west.

Suggest Eunice may be following a more southerly track.

[Barbmac]

Afternoon all. Eunice has brought me back here, a bit worried about how we'll get on as we're at 280 m ASL, and west-facing. Could get a bit hairy. Have spent an hour clearing up loose flower pots and making sure everything's secure as I can make it. Too many big trees around so fingers crossed. Hoping the power stays on but have got various power supplies and battery lights around the house just in case. 

To use that most overused phrase of 2020-21 - stay safe everyone!

Edited February 17, 2022 by Barbmac

[Polar Maritime]

I'm sure I just heard thunder?

[davehsug]

9 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

I'm sure I just heard thunder?

We've had a couple of very lively showers pass through PM, so I suppose with your height it's quite possible. Just checked lightning maps and seems you did. A few strikes around your area. Unusual for February. 

We certainly live in strange meteorological times!

[MattStoke]

That low crossing the country on Saturday looks interesting. Light winds to the north could allow enough evaporative cooling for rain to turn to snow. The GFS and UKMO both show exactly that across the North Midlands.

[Andypvfc]

7 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

That low crossing the country on Saturday looks interesting. Light winds to the north could allow enough evaporative cooling for rain to turn to snow. The GFS and UKMO both show exactly that across the North Midlands.

Yeah they picked up on that on the North West thread mate. As regards tomoz are we still looking at around 85mph gusts around here or has it moved slightly Southwards. I've quickly looked on the Eunice Thread but haven't got the time read through all the Southern based stuff. Lol

[Wingman Blue]

Just come off the Eunice Thread. A big flap on, you’d think it was Armageddon.

Glass still on 985, wind rairly moderate at moment.  Thinking it’ll be like the Fastnet Race tragedy in 1980 or whenever.  Expecting 65mph with sleet on the tail end here.

[sarafandjak]

3 hours ago, Polar Maritime said:

I'm sure I just heard thunder?

Me too at Bakewell wasn't expecting it.

[MattStoke]

3 hours ago, MattStoke said:

That low crossing the country on Saturday looks interesting. Light winds to the north could allow enough evaporative cooling for rain to turn to snow. The GFS and UKMO both show exactly that across the North Midlands.

UKV model too.

[Wingman Blue]

5.2•C here at the moment, deathly still and the gauge has barely moved.

Looking at the radar, cloud seems to be moving north east, at this rate it will be North Midlands up into Lancashire.

Strange.

[MattStoke]

5 hours ago, Andypvfc said:

Yeah they picked up on that on the North West thread mate. As regards tomoz are we still looking at around 85mph gusts around here or has it moved slightly Southwards. I've quickly looked on the Eunice Thread but haven't got the time read through all the Southern based stuff. Lol

I don’t think it’s looking as bad for us as the models were projecting 24 hours ago, but bad enough.