May 2022 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[DR(S)NO]

12.4c and 64mm

thank you please

[reef]

Slightly warmer and wetter than average:

12.5C and 70mm

[Norrance]

11.9C and 30 mms please.

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

10.6C and 68.8mm please

[Mr Maunder]

12.0c and 55mm for me please.

MM

[summer blizzard]

A rare month where both of my forecast methods agree with each other.

11.9C, 30mm.

Much like April I expect a dry, largely settled month with an Azores Ridge nearby but primarily to our south or west so settled but westerly.

[Summer8906]

My April forecast was a big bust as I expected it to be much wetter and cooler than it was - based on what I saw as a similarity in the evolution at the end of March to what occurred at a similar time in 2000 and 2012.

This time, based mostly on what the models are currently showing, I'll go with 12.2 and 64mm. Similar to May 2011. Unusually high frequency of westerlies, cloudier than average everywhere, wet in the north, somewhat drier than average in the south but with relatively frequent days of light rain. A "boring" month, sadly - hoping we don't get locked into Atlantic influence until September now!

Few really warm days but a high frequency of days which reach the high teens coupled with a lack of really cold days.

Edited April 30, 2022 by Summer8906

[Summer Sun]

12.2c for me please

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Think we'll have to pay for the dry April, troughs dominating the UK whole month, winds mostly from the E/SE

13.0C, 97mm

[Stationary Front]

12.4 with 54mm please 

[Roger J Smith]

14.5 and 40.5 mm. 

Sooner or later a May will fill in that big gap between 1st and 2nd (which is 15.1 to 13.9). 

[Earthshine]

21 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

14.5 and 40.5 mm. 

Sooner or later a May will fill in that big gap between 1st and 2nd (which is 15.1 to 13.9). 

That would be fantastic.  Would blow 1992 out of the water.

[Frigid]

On 20/04/2022 at 09:17, Frigid said:

May will see a pattern change I reckon, with bouts of rain and cooler days. 

11.3c and 85mm rain 

Changing it to 12.3c and 55mm rain. Thanks

[Mark Bayley]

13.2c please 

[mulzy]

11.7C and 47mm please

[Kentish Man]

10.9C thanks

[Weather26]

Hoping that i'm not too late, 13.6C and 88mm please?

[damianslaw]

We've had three very warm May's recently 2017, 2018 and 2020. Last May was much cooler and wet.

May is my favourite month. Homegrown warmth can surface when.high pressure sticks overhead. It isn't often particularly humid just yet unless a long drawn southerly occurs, easterly airstreams often happen and away from east coast they are warm, there is a west bias here..  indeed the Atlantic typically remains dormant. Cold northerlies can often occur though and north westerlies remain chilly.

Can't see us breaking out of this very long warm period..  I'll go 12.2 degrees.

[noname_weather]

12.7C and 56mm

[Midlands Ice Age]

12.3C and 51mms please.

MIA

 

[Freeze]

13.1c and 50mm 

[davehsug]

12.8C & 47mm please

Edited April 30, 2022 by davehsug

[J10]

12.7c and 75mm

[Don]

13.0C and 60mm please.

[Duncan McAlister]

12.1 for me please

3 hours ago, Weather26 said:

Hoping that i'm not too late, 13.6C and 88mm please?

Late penalties are only after midnight and I’ve had many over the years