Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards

[Turquoise]

very frustrating that despite being in the warning area once again absolutely nothing whereas Lincoln and the South East hog all the storms...just like all last summer.....

[TJS1998Tom]

Picking up as it moves more East now, few miles away from me

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Just on the way back from the Netherlands and witnessed some CG’s to the East heading South towards Rotterdam! Typical everything fires up as I head back. 
Good to be heading back into a convective UK nevertheless! 

[Poppybee15]

Just got a thunderstorm but my dog is scared of it flash lighting but loads of thunder than lighting

[Eagle Eye]

14 minutes ago, Azuremoon2 said:

very frustrating that despite being in the warning area once again absolutely nothing whereas Lincoln and the South East hog all the storms...just like all last summer.....

I would hardly say that the SE are hogging the Storms today most of it is North of the actual SE and most of us have only had 1 or 2 light showers at the moment.

[Dami]

storm over MK so about half an hour from me but missing me.

Edited May 31, 2022 by Dami

[matty40s]

This is the one that sparked over Wolverhampton, now heading just north of Stratford.

[lassie23]

4 minutes ago, Dami said:

storm over MK so about half an hour from me but missing me.

Got thunder Dami IMBY

[lassie23]

IMBY thunder is the best

[The Tall Weatherman]

Hopefully I see something in the next hour

[Methuselah]

Thunder is heard. In the Triangle! And blue lightning seen -- the cat couldn't give a sheet!

Edited May 31, 2022 by Ed Stone

[Allseasons-Si]

Was watching this develop on my break (10:30-1100am)

from this to this in no time...

hoping that line develops west of me around Manchester area but that is a cracking storm developing in Lincolnshire but sadly i am not chasing that one as i have got errands to run today

good luck all,..heres the CW's forecast...

Day 1 Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 31 May 2022 - 05:59 UTC Wed 01 Jun 2022

ISSUED 06:38 UTC Tue 31 May 2022

ISSUED BY: Dan

A broad upper trough covers the British Isles on Tuesday, its orientation changing from NNW-SSE at 06z to become almost W-E by 06z Wednesday. Cooler air in the mid-levels will advect further south than on Monday, and the net result is a deeper convective layer yielding 400-700 J/kg CAPE in response to modest surface heating and cloud tops potentially around 20,000-25,000ft. While CAPE is higher than Monday, and encompasses more of the mixed phase region, it is also stretched over a much deeper layer. Areas of showery rain will already be present in the morning, these turning more convective through the day with numerous other showers developing with time. By the afternoon showers will become widespread with a few thunderstorms likely too, although fewer showers across much of southern Ireland, south Wales and SW England as profiles here become increasingly subsided. The greatest risk of lightning, which is likely to be more widespread than the past couple of days, will be associated with the belt of steep mid-level lapse rates from western Scotland southeastwards to SE England - as broadly depicted by the SLGT issued. However, shear will be fairly weak in this region within the upper trough axis, and the tall skinny CAPE profiles will likely lead to slow-moving heavy showers with locally high rainfall totals, but perhaps limited lightning/morphing into areas of showery rain.

Strong northwesterly flow aloft, around the west/southwest flank of the upper trough, will edge slowly eastwards across the Midlands and southern England during the afternoon, and so the best overlap of CAPE/shear is likely in a zone broadly from Birmingham to London during the mid-late afternoon - and here the better potential of some organisation/longevity of cells. Any further west, and convection becomes increasingly restricted in depth due to warming aloft. The strongest cells could produce hail up to 1.0cm in diameter and wind gusts 35-45mph. The slack flow with areas of low-level convergence will create a favourable environment for a few funnel clouds. Where several showers occur, rainfall accumulations could locally exceed 30mm bringing the risk of some surface water flooding. Showers will weaken in intensity during the evening hours as nocturnal cooling of the boundary layer commences.

Convective Weather

WWW.CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK

---

Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.

 

[Harry]

This is currently spitting out some lightning over W/C London - not heard or seen anything however as it’s still a little too far away.

Teeny bit of shear evident as the Cb itself moves ESE and low level clouds move NE, but clearly not sufficient to organise the storm more generally it seems

Edited May 31, 2022 by Harry

[TJS1998Tom]

Looks like Coningsby/Boston had the majority of it in the end, guessing that's likely it for today

[JoeShmoe]

Thunder now central london and gone really dark !

 

[The Tall Weatherman]

The Northants storm sheild has been turned on today and anyone who has clues please come forward.

[Allseasons-Si]

Big storm going up over "Alton,...towers" going up,...parden the pun

 

P.S need to change my Avatar don't you think,...it's a bit out of season.

Edited May 31, 2022 by Allseasons-si

[Harry]

Just heard thunder

Edited May 31, 2022 by Harry

[minus10]

Well jnteresting skies this pm..

[James1979]

Another fantastic storm and proper hail. New house, new weather. 4 storms already this year.

[Allseasons-Si]

7 minutes ago, Harry said:

Just heard thunder

The heaviest part of the storm may just slip south of you Harry,looks intense on that southern arm.

[Dami]

56 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

Got thunder Dami IMBY

share.

BUT!

There was strikes close enough for me to have heard some rumbles but i have my headphones on.

Edited May 31, 2022 by Dami

[Allseasons-Si]

Sferics being picked up in between Stoke and Sheffield now,SW of me though.

 

[Zak M]

Just had a fantastic storm here. It wasn't a direct hit but it was close enough for me to see some awesome CGs.

[Allseasons-Si]

Just now, Zak M said:

Just had a fantastic storm here. It wasn't a direct hit but it was close enough for me to see some awesome CGs.

Nice one mate,looks to of slipped south of you,did you manage get any footage?

@East_England_Stormchaser91,there could be some developments to your west mate if you are at home.