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August 2022 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests


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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

    C.E.T. averages and extremes

     

    The averages are shown for the past forty-one years 1981-2021, and the warmest third are bold type, middle third italic and coolest third underlined. All temperature data in this post have been converted to v2.0 which may explain any slightly unfamiliar looking numbers you see. Note also monthly rankings are separated by second decimal which is not listed here.

     

    25.2 ... warmest August day (12th, 2020)

    24.8 ... previous warmest August day (1st, 1995)

    19.1 ... warmest August, 1995

    19.0 ... second warmest August, 1997

    18.6 ... third warmest August, 1975

    18.6 ... fourth warmest August, 1947

    18.3 ... fifth and sixth warmest Augusts (2003, 1747)

    18.2 ... seventh warmest August, 1911

    18.1 ... eighth warmest August, 1955

    18.0 ... ninth warmest August, 1990

    17.8 ... 10th, 11th warmest 1736, 1899

    17.7 ... 12th and 13th warmest August 2020, 1984

    17.6 ... 15th warmest (tied one decimal with 1976 and earlier years)  2004 

    17.4 ... 1983

    17.2 ... 2019 

    17.1 ... 1991, 2016

    17.0 ... 2002, 2013 

    16.9 ... 

    16.8 ... 2001, 2018 

    16.7 ... 2000, 2009, 2012

    16.6 ... average of 1991-2020 and 1989, 1996

    16.5 ... average of 1992-2021, and 2001-2021

    16.45 ... average of 1981-2010 (16.450) _ round as you wish

    16.3 ... 2008

    16.2 ... average of 1971-2000, 1999, 2005, 2006

    16.1 ... 

    16.0 ... 1994, 1998, 2015, 2021 

    15.9 ... 1998, 2015 

    15.8 ... average of 1961-1990, and 1701-1800, and 1901-2000

    15.7 ... average of 1659-2020 (15.66) and 1982, 2017

    15.6 ... 1987

    15.5 ... 2007, 2011

    15.4 ... average of 1801-1900, 2010

    15.3 ... 1992

    15.2 ... 1988

    15.1 ... average of 1659-1700, 2014

    14.7 ... 1985 

    14.6 ... 1993

    13.7 ... coldest August since 1956 (1986) -- 17th coldest

    13.6 ... 10th to 15th coldest (six years ... 1817, 1848, 1860, 1885, 1920, 1922)

    13.5 ... coldest August since 1912 (1956) -- tied (one dec) 5th coldest with 1674, 1683, 1844, 1845

    13.3 ... fourth coldest August (1725)

    13.0 ... second coldest Augusts (tie) (1694,1695)

    12.9 ... coldest August, 1912

     9.9 ... coldest day to 16th (16th, 1810) ... earliest sub-10 mean value in August (legacy was 9.5 1888 same date)

     8.8 ... coldest August day (26th, 1864) ... although it was 7.1 C on 1 Sept of 1816 (unchanged from CET legacy)

    _________________________________________________________

    Enter your CET forecasts by end of the day Sunday, 31st July, or with increasing late penalties, up to end of Wednesday, 3rd of August.

    =======================================================================================

     

    EWP forecasts

     

    192.9 mm __ wettest August 1766 to 2021 (1912) -- (192.1 mm in 1799 a close second)

    156.5 mm __ wettest August 1981 to 2021 (2004) 

    125.2 mm __ August 2020

     83.1 mm ___ average for 1992-2021

     83.0 mm ___ average for all years 1766 to 2021

     82.3 mm ___ average for 1991-2020

     75.6 mm ___ average for 1981-2010

     14.4 mm ___ second driest August (1947)

     _ 9.1 mm ___ driest August 1766 to 2021 (1995) 

    _____________________________________________________________________

    Recent years: 2021 _ 54.3 mm ... ... 2020 _125.2 mm ... ... 2019 _ 86.8 mm ... ... 2018 _ 76.7 mm ... ... 2017 _ 83.8 mm ... ... 2016 _ 67.5 mm

    ... ... ... 2015 _ 109.1 mm ... ... 2014 _ 118.9 mm ... ... 2013 _ 66.1 mm ... ... 2012 _ 94.2 mm ... ... 2011 _ 91.4 mm ... ... 2010 _ 107.2 mm

    ... ... ... 2009 _ 60.5 mm ... ... 2008 _ 116.5 mm ... ... 2007 _ 60.7 mm ... ... 2006 _ 89.2 mm ... ... 2005 _ 62.5 mm ... ... 2004 _ 156.5 mm

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Hadley EWP is used for contest scoring. Deadlines are the same as for CET contest. Add your EWP forecast to your CET forecast for one combined entry. You can enter either contest without making a forecast in the other category.

    Good luck !! 

    • Thanks 2
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    Posted
  • Location: Hounslow, London
  • Weather Preferences: Csa/Csb
  • Location: Hounslow, London

    18.3c and 45mm

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Location: Sheffield

    Surely August to be the month where it all breaks down properly!

    15.8C and 124MM please-and yes we really do need the rain! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts

    Hi 17.5C and 90mm for me plse

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    Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

    17.0°C and 92.5mm for me please. 

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       The heat will return, not to quite the record breaking values of July but this will be a more consistent 1976ish heatwave, although it will end spectacularly with thunderstorms which will cause major disruption  to Reading Festival. CET 18.9.C (despite the fact I had a feeling August will be record breaking , think we've had enough records for one year....

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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

    17.3c & 49mm 👍

    Edited by Dancerwithwings
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    Posted
  • Location: East coast side of the Yorkshire Wolds, 66m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Storms, and plenty of warm sunny days!
  • Location: East coast side of the Yorkshire Wolds, 66m ASL

    17.9°c and 53mm please!

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and dry, thunderstorms, mild temps (13-22°C).
  • Location: Sheffield

    15.32 and 140mm. Another dreadful august.

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    16.8c and 62mm please.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Going for 18.2C and 32mm of rain.

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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

    Going for 17.9c and 41.2mm. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Stratford, East London
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, cosy and stormy, cold and frosty, some snow
  • Location: Stratford, East London

    17.9C and 60mm please

    Feel like there will be a continuation of the sunny, warm/hot and dry conditions until around the last third of the month where it all breaks down.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    18.2C and 80mm please.

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    Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

    17.7C and 70mm.

    Warm and slightly drier than average.

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