Jump to content
Will it thunder? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Winter
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Hot?
IGNORED

August 2022 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

Roger J Smith
 Share

Recommended Posts

Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
    • Location: Rossland BC Canada
    Posted

    C.E.T. averages and extremes

     

    The averages are shown for the past forty-one years 1981-2021, and the warmest third are bold type, middle third italic and coolest third underlined. All temperature data in this post have been converted to v2.0 which may explain any slightly unfamiliar looking numbers you see. Note also monthly rankings are separated by second decimal which is not listed here.

     

    25.2 ... warmest August day (12th, 2020)

    24.8 ... previous warmest August day (1st, 1995)

    19.1 ... warmest August, 1995

    19.0 ... second warmest August, 1997

    18.6 ... third warmest August, 1975

    18.6 ... fourth warmest August, 1947

    18.3 ... fifth and sixth warmest Augusts (2003, 1747)

    18.2 ... seventh warmest August, 1911

    18.1 ... eighth warmest August, 1955

    18.0 ... ninth warmest August, 1990

    17.8 ... 10th, 11th warmest 1736, 1899

    17.7 ... 12th and 13th warmest August 2020, 1984

    17.6 ... 15th warmest (tied one decimal with 1976 and earlier years)  2004 

    17.4 ... 1983

    17.2 ... 2019 

    17.1 ... 1991, 2016

    17.0 ... 2002, 2013 

    16.9 ... 

    16.8 ... 2001, 2018 

    16.7 ... 2000, 2009, 2012

    16.6 ... average of 1991-2020 and 1989, 1996

    16.5 ... average of 1992-2021, and 2001-2021

    16.45 ... average of 1981-2010 (16.450) _ round as you wish

    16.3 ... 2008

    16.2 ... average of 1971-2000, 1999, 2005, 2006

    16.1 ... 

    16.0 ... 1994, 1998, 2015, 2021 

    15.9 ... 1998, 2015 

    15.8 ... average of 1961-1990, and 1701-1800, and 1901-2000

    15.7 ... average of 1659-2020 (15.66) and 1982, 2017

    15.6 ... 1987

    15.5 ... 2007, 2011

    15.4 ... average of 1801-1900, 2010

    15.3 ... 1992

    15.2 ... 1988

    15.1 ... average of 1659-1700, 2014

    14.7 ... 1985 

    14.6 ... 1993

    13.7 ... coldest August since 1956 (1986) -- 17th coldest

    13.6 ... 10th to 15th coldest (six years ... 1817, 1848, 1860, 1885, 1920, 1922)

    13.5 ... coldest August since 1912 (1956) -- tied (one dec) 5th coldest with 1674, 1683, 1844, 1845

    13.3 ... fourth coldest August (1725)

    13.0 ... second coldest Augusts (tie) (1694,1695)

    12.9 ... coldest August, 1912

     9.9 ... coldest day to 16th (16th, 1810) ... earliest sub-10 mean value in August (legacy was 9.5 1888 same date)

     8.8 ... coldest August day (26th, 1864) ... although it was 7.1 C on 1 Sept of 1816 (unchanged from CET legacy)

    _________________________________________________________

    Enter your CET forecasts by end of the day Sunday, 31st July, or with increasing late penalties, up to end of Wednesday, 3rd of August.

    =======================================================================================

     

    EWP forecasts

     

    192.9 mm __ wettest August 1766 to 2021 (1912) -- (192.1 mm in 1799 a close second)

    156.5 mm __ wettest August 1981 to 2021 (2004) 

    125.2 mm __ August 2020

     83.1 mm ___ average for 1992-2021

     83.0 mm ___ average for all years 1766 to 2021

     82.3 mm ___ average for 1991-2020

     75.6 mm ___ average for 1981-2010

     14.4 mm ___ second driest August (1947)

     _ 9.1 mm ___ driest August 1766 to 2021 (1995) 

    _____________________________________________________________________

    Recent years: 2021 _ 54.3 mm ... ... 2020 _125.2 mm ... ... 2019 _ 86.8 mm ... ... 2018 _ 76.7 mm ... ... 2017 _ 83.8 mm ... ... 2016 _ 67.5 mm

    ... ... ... 2015 _ 109.1 mm ... ... 2014 _ 118.9 mm ... ... 2013 _ 66.1 mm ... ... 2012 _ 94.2 mm ... ... 2011 _ 91.4 mm ... ... 2010 _ 107.2 mm

    ... ... ... 2009 _ 60.5 mm ... ... 2008 _ 116.5 mm ... ... 2007 _ 60.7 mm ... ... 2006 _ 89.2 mm ... ... 2005 _ 62.5 mm ... ... 2004 _ 156.5 mm

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Hadley EWP is used for contest scoring. Deadlines are the same as for CET contest. Add your EWP forecast to your CET forecast for one combined entry. You can enter either contest without making a forecast in the other category.

    Good luck !! 

    • Thanks 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    • Replies 274
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Days

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Days

    Bobd29 Enthusiast

    Bobd29

    Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
    • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
    Posted

    Hi 17.5C and 90mm for me plse

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    Polar Gael Rising Star

    Polar Gael

    Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
    • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
    Posted

    17.0°C and 92.5mm for me please. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    Shillitocettwo Apprentice

    Shillitocettwo

    Posted
    Posted

       The heat will return, not to quite the record breaking values of July but this will be a more consistent 1976ish heatwave, although it will end spectacularly with thunderstorms which will cause major disruption  to Reading Festival. CET 18.9.C (despite the fact I had a feeling August will be record breaking , think we've had enough records for one year....

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    Dancerwithwings Maestro

    Dancerwithwings

    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
    • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
    Posted (edited)

    17.3c & 49mm 👍

    Edited by Dancerwithwings
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    Wold Topper Veteran

    Wold Topper

    Posted
  • Location: East coast side of the Yorkshire Wolds, 66m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Storms, and plenty of warm sunny days!
    • Location: East coast side of the Yorkshire Wolds, 66m ASL
    Posted

    17.9°c and 53mm please!

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    Met. Rising Star

    Met.

    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and dry, thunderstorms, mild temps (13-22°C).
    • Location: Sheffield
    Posted

    15.32 and 140mm. Another dreadful august.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    snowray Veteran

    snowray

    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
    • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
    Posted

    16.8c and 62mm please.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    The PIT Maestro

    The PIT

    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
    • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
    Posted

    Going for 18.2C and 32mm of rain.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    Polar Maritime Maestro

    Polar Maritime

    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
    • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
    Posted

    Going for 17.9c and 41.2mm. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    sunny_vale Contributor

    sunny_vale

    Posted
  • Location: Stratford, East London
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, cosy and stormy, cold and frosty, some snow
    • Location: Stratford, East London
    Posted

    17.9C and 60mm please

    Feel like there will be a continuation of the sunny, warm/hot and dry conditions until around the last third of the month where it all breaks down.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites
    SteveB Veteran

    SteveB

    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
    • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
    Posted

    18.2C and 80mm please.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
     Share
    Go to topic listing
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...