July 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[Leo97t]

18.0c and 65mm

[Dancerwithwings]

17.4c & 59mm

Edited June 24, 2023 by Dancerwithwings

[Roger J Smith]

15.6 and 120.8 mm.

(for now, it currently looks rather dire)

(will go with this realizing 16.6 would be fairly cool nowadays) _ 30 June

Edited June 30, 2023 by Roger J Smith

[Earthshine]

4 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

15.6 and 120.8 mm. 

(for now, it currently looks rather dire)

Bloody hell, as bad as 2012? Not convinced by the longer range ECMWF anomalies?

[Weather26]

6 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

15.6 and 120.8 mm. 

(for now, it currently looks rather dire)

I know we need the rain but ouch if we ended up with 2007/2012 style summer.

[B87]

17.8c and 50mm. Cool and very wet first week, a continuation of June for the rest of the month.

[Shillitocettwo]

20.1.C and 76mm. A record breaker although it will only squeak itself into the 20.0.C or above club.

  After what will be a really quite poor start, with average at best temperatures and a polar maritime flow, the winds will switch back to southerleys and essentially give us 2 heatwaves.

  The first will be typical Spanish plume fayre, low 30.Cs temps, nothing too extreme, but after an Atlantic pause, the second will linger and ratchet up the temperatures day by day, eventually giving us a second consecutive north of 40.C month, this time a nudge of 0.6.C to 40.9.C. Despite the CET languishing in the 15.Cs for the first 3 days the heat of the last 10 days will throw it over the line. 

[Summer Sun]

16.2c for me please

[Dancerwithwings]

On 24/06/2023 at 13:50, Dancerwithwings said:

17.4c & 59mm

Can I request a change to my CET guess

now ….16.4c, 59mm still stands,  cheers  

[StretfordEnd1996]

17.8 please

An averagish start but second half of the month will be more settled and it takes absolutely nothing these days for a hot plume to shoot up from the south bringing near 20'c uppers - this'll erase any average CET up until that point 

[Typhoon John]

17.5c please

[snowray]

16.6c and 89mm please.

[Wold Topper]

17.9c and 70mm please,

[JeffC]

17,6C and 68mm please

[The PIT]

After Junes unexpected warmth that caught me off guard going for 18.8C and 58mm of rain.

[summer blizzard]

 

1999

2022

2019

 

17.9, 48mm

 

Sadly i think high pressure will return.

[SteveB]

16.6c and 52mm please. 

[NeilN]

16.5c and 66mm please. 

[jonboy]

16.7 and 72mm

[sunny_vale]

A muggy 17.7C and 70mm for me please 

[syed2878]

F July I'M going 15.4C temp and precip 85MM. thank you.

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

16.9c and 81mm please.

[damianslaw]

I'll go for a warm 17.6 degrees. A cool start but probably a couple of shortlived plume events will produce strong heat at times.

Expecting the atlantic/euro to be quite influential, could be quite a wet month overall. Perhaps a fine dry warm middle-latter third, before a wet end. 

[reef]

Warm with average rainfall:

17.9C and 74.5mm

[Shillitocettwo]

I might end up regretting this but I'd like a revision please. I'm increasingly thinking no chance for a July 2023 record breaker!

  The sort of month that under normal sea temperatures would be cool, wet and quite poor and in the upper 15s, however with SST anomalies and some attempt at a 30 Cs heatwave by close of play will still manage to worm its way up to 18.0C with a wet 80mm.

 

Thanks

  

Edited June 30, 2023 by Shillitocettwo