Hurricane Rita.

[D KARLSON]

There used to be The Weather Channel on analogue satellite some time ago in the UK.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Glad your one of those that can remember the weather channel 95 wasnt it it lasted all of about six months then died on its proverbial, " why you ask "our crappy limey climate as the yanks would put it.just not enough material to work wiyth which is a shame but thats our climate. :blink:

[Gray-Wolf]

The worse case scenario for N.O.,in my opinion is for the eye to come inland just to the west (TX/L.A. border?) allowing the highest storm surge to push up from the SE whilst the heaviest bands of rain trawl over her. That would place Katrina as a warning shot and Rita the real thing (instead of post event flooding it'd be realtime flooding amidst the full fury of the Hurricane force winds and luckily all those who would have perished are all outa there :blink: )

[SnowBear]

Glad your one of those that can remember the weather channel 95 wasnt it it

Yep, some days they just seemed to kick around and pick their nose, trying to make a fine day, warm, light breeze UK wide sound dramatic and exciting lol

[Snow Queen one]

Yep, some days they just seemed to kick around and pick their nose, trying to make a fine day, warm, light breeze UK wide sound dramatic and exciting  lol

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

We have caddy here and i think that she would make any weather forcast fun. :lol: Maybe they should relaunch the weather channel and put her in charge. Maybe other area's have a caddy preston too?

Anyway back to the thread....... Good work to all those who have posted links thanks. :blink:

[Weatherwatcher]

Pressure down to 914, from 915mb after the EWR. Eye looks to be clearing and intensity estimates are increasing.

She could be setting herself for round two, an even bigger shot at taking the no1 spot rather than settling for no3, with an even greater windfield this time.

Edited September 22, 2005 by Weatherwatcher

[MAF]

listening to some of the US news channels earlier, the guy in N. O. said that just 3 inches of rain over 6 hours will be enough to flood the low lying areas again. so even if landfall is more west of N.O than the rain will still cause havoc.

Edited September 22, 2005 by sesnow1

[Mondy]

Been away for a bit, and checking through the last two pages, "excitment" almost is occuring in the typing. Rita is well within the cone and maybe some nitpicking now :blink:

So to continue the trend this is now Rita picking her spot :lol:

[Weatherwatcher]

000

URNT12 KNHC 221948Z

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE

A. 22/1913Z

B. 25 DEG 44 MIN N

89 DEG 13 MIN W

C. 700 MB 2329 M

D. NA

E. NA

F. 43 DEG 133 KT

G. 309 DEG 10 NM

H. 913 MB

I. 13 C/ 3059 M

J. 20 C/ 3044 M

K. 16 C/ NA

L. OPEN NE-SE

M. C018-48

N. 12345/7

O. 1/1 NM

P. NOAA3 1818A RITA OB 37

MAX FL WIND 133 KT NW QUAD 1910Z

EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION

[Snow Queen one]

According to someone in the recent press office they do not have sufficient resourses avaiable to put contra flow on I 59

[kold weather]

Thats probably do-able in just a few hours,thats most likely to occur over the next few hours as the intense feeder bands with violent convective systems swing into the region with large rainfall totals.Surge of 4-8ft on top of that and you've got some more flooding likely,still a good 40 miles east of the latest NHC point,they are just to far west with this one and the TS squalls are already pushing into LA now.

Pressure is indeed down in response to improved western quadrant and lessening of dry air to the west,Rita is winning the battle that weakened it during this afternoon which is not good news for thos ein the path of it,expect pressure to go sub-910mbs again,probably not as low as last time but still below Ivan of last year again.

As for track it has definatly started the turn early,looks like there is a weakness over La which the storm is responding to and witha much stronger poleward effect system should start to turn to the NW in the next few hours insted of just wobbling in that direction and eventually turn itslef north-wards,probably right over the top of that warm eddy where the best Oceanic heat content in the W GOM is at present which is bad news because the NHc was banking on it going over a colder heat area and it'd weaken due to that but Rita isn't playing ball and both NHc track and strength is probably gonig to be wrong because of this,indeed al lthe signs are that its getting better organised again,with the worst thing being it seems to have slowed a heck of alot,which means more time to get stronger over that heat bubble so to speak,has another shot at tring to go sub-900mbs again tonight.

[Mondy]

Jeezus. This buoy is taking a hammering. 97kts! http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001

I'd be surprised if the readings continue...

Edit: Just read your last posting Kw. That's grim.

[rixxxgolf]

There is major moisture drag to the NE of the storm, I wonder if Phillipe the puff is having an effect on Rita.

[MAF]

Been away for a bit, and checking through the last two pages, "excitment" almost is occuring in the typing. Rita is well within the cone and maybe some  nitpicking now :blink:

So to continue the trend this is now Rita picking her spot :lol:

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

and this pic is great (IMO)

oops, sorry Adi, courtesy of NOAA

Edited September 22, 2005 by sesnow1

[matmilne]

And if rita wasn't bad enough there are 2 more potential hurricanes waiting to the east, one should deffinately track in. When do gulf temps peak incidentally, after that we should see a decrease in intensities. The question of course is, how many more are there to come and how intense will they be. doesn't the season last another 2 months. I wonder if they're considdering evacuating the south coast completely.

For a period that is suposed to be part of "well known cycles" the us certainly seems to have been caught sitting pretty. That's one bush and fema will have a hard time answering for.

After rita, we've to worry about stan and his little friend not to mention any new cousins that develop between now and then. Could we see yet another us landfall ex-cat 5 hurricane by oct 27th? Place your bets. These are exciting and devastating times. Active seasons give a wealth of information to scientists and can lead to new technology and understanding that will save millions of lives, but at the same time they bring powerful and devastating storms that will kill thousands. Irony, the law of human situations.

[Mondy]

Cracking pic, Mick. That was her before eyewall recplacement though.

She took a dip in form, but now, according to the latest data is getting a grip and spiralling..

Rixx, posted last night about Phillipe. A couple of models dragged him south again..i wonder??

[rixxxgolf]

Mondy, Phillipe and Rita are interacting in my book, very slightly, but enough to spell disaster for N.O.

That big swathe of cloud from Rita, over the top of florida, thats being drawn in by Phillipe.

This is very very interesting, Rita is possibly being PULLED by Phillipe.

[SMU]

Im off out all-

Concentric eye wall complete- watch for re-intensification from next advisory-

Possibly back to Cat 5 in the next few hours.....

Steve

[i luv snow]

i will certainly be watching to see just how much she reintensifies!!

and rixx, i thought you were saying Mondy was interacting with the hurricanes there! was gonna say i didnt think he was that powerful :blink: :lol:

Edited September 22, 2005 by i luv snow

[rixxxgolf]

This is whats happening to me...

Spin a ball on a table top.

now wrap your arm over it, it will then spin into the arm and up...

Rita is doing this...

[Mondy]

New Orleans now more and more featuring..this is a nightmare for that city:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR

NORTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE

PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE

PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE

SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF

THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

Edited September 22, 2005 by Mondy

[MAF]

i will certainly be watching to see just how much she reintensifies!!

and rixx, i thought you were saying Mondy was interacting with the hurricanes there! was gonna say i didnt think he was that powerful :blink: :lol:

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

yeah but he can blow hot and cold sometimes! :o :o :o

[pinball wizard]

New Orleans now more and more featuring..this is a nightmare for that city:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR

NORTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE

PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE

PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE

SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF

THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Where abouts is Phillipe and what strength is he? Are those clouds over western florida visible on radar all thunderstorms part of the Rita system?

[rixxxgolf]

Rita and philllipe..

[Marcus_surfer]

42001 Buoy Picking up waves as high as 34.1FT out there at 19GMT

19 GMT 34.1ft

Period - 12secs

Swell Speed - 20.9mph

Wind Speed - 71.4mph Gusting 173mph

Direction - N

Water - 28degC

Air - 26degC

[summer blizzard]

One thing that may have been missed with Hurricane Rita is the flooding in Florida, the outer rainbands have not yet left Florida, must be a lot of flooding.