METO UK Further Outlook

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 9 May 2008 to Sunday 18 May 2008:

High pressure to the north of the United Kingdom dominates at first, with lower pressure away to the south and west. Through the period the high slowly drifts further away towards Greenland, allowing low pressure to move into southern areas, and the easterly flow to eventually turn northeasterly. Although dry weather dominates, with some decent spells of sunshine, there is always the risk of thundery showers developing. There will be some over the weekend, especially across southern areas, and this threat of thundery rain or showers may extend a little northeastwards into central areas during the week. The other change will be in temperatures, generally warm or very warm at first across southern and western Britain, but expected to slowly return towards nearer normal values later.

Updated: 1130 on Sun 4 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[johnholmes]

sticking with their view regardless of what GFS is showing in the past day or so.

mind you post 228 to 348 it has temps around or even somewhat below average for much of the country.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 10 May 2008 to Monday 19 May 2008:

Eastern parts of England and Scotland should be largely dry with sunny spells this weekend, although isolated showers may develop. Some mist or fog is likely across northeastern coasts too. In the west, a mixture of sunny spells and showers is expected, perhaps with some longer spells of rain at times. During next week, those more showery conditions are likely to spread across the whole UK. There is an increasing risk of heavy and thundery downpours, most especially over central and southern parts, as the week goes on. Further areas of low cloud and fog are still possible over northeastern coasts as well. Most parts will be warm, locally very warm, with light winds during this period, although it will cooler in any persistent fog and down the east coast.

Updated: 1109 on Mon 5 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[johnholmes]

essentially backing away from the cooler spell and making more of the showery set up early in the period; also not such a good prospect for east coast areas.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 11 May 2008 to Tuesday 20 May 2008:

Eastern areas should be largely dry with sunny spells at first, with any remaining showers or longer spells of rain in the west dying out. Fog and low cloud may affect some northeast coasts. Next week, generally dry at first, but with showers developing again over western areas while most eastern parts stay dry. Showers could become heavy and thundery especially in the south. Further areas of low cloud and fog are likely over northeastern coasts. Beyond next week, showers, some heavy and thundery, may begin to affect some eastern areas as well Most parts will be warm, locally very warm, although it will be somewhat cooler on east coasts, especially in any fog or low cloud in the northeast.

Updated: 1200 on Tue 6 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 12 May 2008 to Wednesday 21 May 2008:

Apart from some showery rain in Scotland at first, most areas will stay dry and warm with spells of sunshine at first next week. North Sea coasts are likely to be cooler with some low cloud and mist around. From Wednesday onwards the weather is expected to become more unsettled with an increasing threat of showers developing, more especially in the north and west. Staying warm across most parts of the UK except for the areas prone to any prolonged showers. From next weekend until the end of the period the weather still looks like staying warm or rather warm but with showers around. These showers could merge at times to give some longer spells of rain and some of the rain could be heavy and possibly thundery.

Updated: 1122 on Wed 7 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 13 May 2008 to Thursday 22 May 2008:

Largely dry with sunny spells and light winds next Tuesday, although east coasts will see some mist and low cloud. However, southern England will be rather cloudy with some showers. Those more cloudy, showery conditions are expected to become widespread during next Wednesday, but still with occasional sunny spells. Later next week, it is likely to turn increasingly unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain spreading eastwards across all parts and it will also turn more windy. Any rain is likely to be most frequent over western parts of the UK. The following week is likely to be rather mixed with some drier, sunnier weather, but also some showers. Rather warm or warm conditions are expected next week, although temperatures may drop to nearer normal during the second week.

Updated: 1151 on Thu 8 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 14 May 2008 to Friday 23 May 2008:

The middle of next week will start dry and warm in many places, though a few sharp showers are likely to bubble up again in the afternoons, more especially in central, western and southern parts. Late next week or early the week after, it is likely to turn increasingly unsettled across the country with some showers or longer spells of rain spreading eastwards across all parts. Any rain is likely to be most frequent over western parts of the UK. The latter part of the period is likely to be rather mixed with some drier, sunnier weather, but also some showers. Rather warm or warm conditions are expected to last through next week and into the weekend, although temperatures may drop to nearer normal during the second week.

Updated: 1201 on Fri 9 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 15 May 2008 to Saturday 24 May 2008:

A warm end to the week for most parts with some good dry and sunny spells in Central and Northern parts of the country. However, eastern and southern coasts could be cooler, cloudier and misty at times. There is an increasing risk of showers for the end of the week and over the weekend, which could be heavy and thundery in places, especially in the south where some longer spells of rain are possible. Temperatures are likely to return to near normal next week with a mixture of sunshine and showers for all parts. Again these could be heavy at times with a risk of thunder, although the main focus of the heavier showers is likely to shift to the north and west later.

Updated: 1151 on Sat 10 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 16 May 2008 to Sunday 25 May 2008:

Although still very warm and mostly sunny at the start of this forecast period, there will be a risk of showers affecting some parts during Friday and over the weekend, which could be heavy and thundery. The main areas at risk are the more southern parts of England and Wales at first, the risk extending at times to other central and southern areas of Britain early next week. Northern Britain continues mostly fine and sunny. The rest of the following week looks like it will be less settled generally, with some rain or showers spreading to all parts of the United Kingdom. Temperatures are likely to return to nearer normal by this time, although some of the brighter, sunnier locations will still be rather warm.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 18 May 2008 to Tuesday 27 May 2008:

This Sunday is likely to see some fine, dry conditions with sunny spells, especially across eastern parts, but daytime showers are expected to develop with some heavy bursts. Showers or longer spells of rain are then likely to spread in from the west or southwest next Monday and Tuesday. Rather unsettled conditions are then expected through the rest of the outlook period, with the heaviest and most persistent rain likely across western parts of the UK, perhaps with some strong winds across western Scotland. The driest conditions are likely in east, but these parts are more at risk of any thundery outbreaks developing. Temperatures will largely be around normal at the start of the period, but it should turn rather warm generally during next week.

Updated: 1159 on Tue 13 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 19 May 2008 to Wednesday 28 May 2008:

Most places are likely to see some fine, dry conditions with sunny spells to start with next week, however there is a risk of scattered daytime showers developing. Some heavy showers are possible over southern England, perhaps with more persistent rain in the far southeast. Northern Scotland and perhaps some eastern parts of Britain should remain fine, but from midweek showers or longer spells of rain are forecast to spread eastwards across the rest of the UK, bringing an unsettled end to next week and start to the following one. Temperatures will largely be around normal at the start of the period and cool on North Sea coasts, however it should turn rather warm generally during next week and perhaps warm in the south later on.

Updated: 1152 on Wed 14 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 20 May 2008 to Thursday 29 May 2008:

Most parts are likely to start fine with sunny spells, but it will also be cool with a risk of overnight frost in Central and Northern parts. There is the risk of a few showers breaking out, particularly in the south . The weather is expected to gradually become more unsettled from the west during the second half of the week, with showers or longer spells of rain. The rain is likely to be heaviest and most persistent in the west, with some drier and brighter interludes in the southeast. Temperatures should return to near normal, perhaps warm in the southeast. Unsettled weather is likely to continue over the weekend and into next week, with the wettest conditions probably in the west.

Updated: 1238 on Thu 15 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 21 May 2008 to Friday 30 May 2008:

Most parts are likely to be dry around the mid week with some good sunny spells. However, cloud and rain are expected to spread into the far west later on Wednesday, before spreading slowly to other western parts. Temperatures will be near normal, perhaps warm in the east. The weekend should start much the same although there is an increasing risk of rain reaching the east later. Unsettled weather is expected to continue into the next week although the heaviest and most persistent rain should be biased towards the west with the best of the drier and brighter conditions in the east. Later in the week there should be a tendency for the weather to become more settled in all parts as high pressure starts to build.

Updated: 1154 on Fri 16 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 22 May 2008 to Saturday 31 May 2008:

Central and eastern parts are expected to start the period dry with some good sunny spells. However, cloud and rain already into the west will spread slowly eastwards through Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will be near normal, perhaps warm in the east at first. The weekend will remain unsettled generally. Risk of some heavy, possibly thundery rain in the south and southeast. Temperatures near normal but may be on the cool side along the North Sea coast. During next week there should be a tendency towards more settled weather generally. The North already seeing a good deal of dry, fine weather but the South a little slower to improve through the week. Temperatures generally near normal and may become rather warm in places later.

Updated: 1210 on Sat 17 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 23 May 2008 to Sunday 1 Jun 2008:

The south and west of the UK will be unsettled with rain at times, locally heavy and even thundery. The North and East remaining generally dry and more settled through into next weekend. Even through the rest of the bank holiday weekend and into next week the north and east will enjoy the quietest weather, although even here outbreaks of rain cannot be ruled out at times. The south and west are expected to remain more unsettled into next week with further rain, some heavy at times. Though there is a hint of a reversal of fortunes later in the week with the more unsettled weather with showers over the north and quieter weather in the south. Temperatures generally near the normal.

Updated: 1203 on Sun 18 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 24 May 2008 to Monday 2 Jun 2008:

On Saturday and Sunday most areas dry with sunny spells, but rather more cloud in the southwest of England and South Wales with some outbreaks of rain, although even here there should be some brighter periods. The first half of the following week will be largely dry and bright in the north and east with increasing cloud and some outbreaks of showery rain in the south and west, perhaps extending to the northwest and southeast of England on Wednesday although with low confidence. Temperatures generally near normal or slightly above, but with sometimes brisk east or southeasterly winds. Low confidence towards the end of the period, but winds generally southeasterly, therefore warm and bright in the southeast with risk of thundery showers. Becoming cooler and more unsettled in the west.

Updated: 1128 on Mon 19 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[johnholmes]

I have to say that wording has me foxed, dry on BH Monday seems to be the idea away from the w/sw and after that again I'm lost to which model they are following, or indeed the larger scale influences.

Edited May 19, 2008 by johnholmes

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 25 May 2008 to Tuesday 3 Jun 2008:

Initially, the southern half of the UK will be rather cloudy and breezy with showers or longer spells of rain, with the heaviest rain and perhaps some thunder across southern England. Further north, it should be largely dry with sunny spells, and probably sunniest across northwest Scotland. By midweek, drier, brighter weather should develop in the south. Meanwhile, some cloud and rain may spread into northwest Scotland. Then for the rest of this outlook period, a more southwesterly airstream will bring some fine weather in the south and east with more cloud and outbreaks of rain likely in the north and west. Mostly warm, locally very warm in the north at first and perhaps in the south later, but with temperatures around normal in the wetter spots.

Updated: 1129 on Tue 20 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 26 May 2008 to Wednesday 4 Jun 2008:

Initially, the southern half of the UK will be rather cloudy and windy with showers or longer spells of rain, with the heaviest rain and perhaps some thunder across southern England. Further north, it should be largely dry with sunny spells, and probably sunniest across northwest Scotland. By midweek, drier, brighter weather should spread across the south too, giving fine conditions generally. Some cloud and rain may spread into N.Ireland and northwest Scotland by next Friday giving a risk of more unsettled weather in the far northwest late in this forecast period, whilst most other parts should stay fine with sunny spells. Mostly warm, locally very warm in the north at first and then in the south later on, but with temperatures around normal in the wetter spots.

Updated: 1134 on Wed 21 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 27 May 2008 to Thursday 5 Jun 2008:

The beginning of this period will remain rather unsettled with bursts of heavy rain at times in southern parts, with northern areas seeing the driest and brightest weather. Throughout the rest of the period, as we end May and head into the first week of June, there are signs that the weather will remain rather changeable in all parts. Some sunshine is likely, perhaps more especially in coastal parts; though showers, and possibly some longer spells of rain are equally likely, which could well be heavy and thundery at times. Temperatures on the whole will be around or a little above average, and at times it will feel warm in the sunshine. Windward coasts, and areas which experience downpours not surprisingly will be cooler.

Updated: 1153 on Thu 22 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

Bank holiday deluge?

Low pressure looks likely to move up from the south towards the UK during the next few days leading to some very wet conditions for much of the UK during the Bank Holiday weekend. The more persistent rain looks likely to spread into southern areas during Saturday and it is likely to slowly push further north during the weekend. By Monday the longer spells of rain will probably be affecting northern regions, with the south seeing some brighter spells, but also some heavy showers. In the rain temperatures will be well down and below the seasonal average. The unsettled theme looks set to continue for much of the country during the first half of next week. So the last week of spring seems set to be rather a poor one for many. Will this be the theme for the summer? Find out our view during the next few days when we issue our summer forecast.

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/

ops can one of the team move this plz

Edited May 23, 2008 by Stuart

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 28 May 2008 to Friday 6 Jun 2008:

Central and Southern parts of the UK will be unsettled around the mid week with showers or longer outbreaks of rain. These could be heavy and thundery, particularly in the far south. Further north it should be mainly dry with sunny spells. Later in the week and over the weekend, the showery weather will spread into northern and western parts. It should become somewhat drier and brighter in the south with some good sunny spells later in the weekend, but still with the risk of showers. Generally unsettled weather will continue through next week with a risk of showers or longer outbreaks of rain, but also some dry and brighter interludes. Temperatures through the period will be near or a little above average, perhaps warm in the south at times.

Updated: 1131 on Fri 23 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 29 May 2008 to Saturday 7 Jun 2008:

Much of the country will end the week unsettled with showers, which could be heavy and thundery in places. Some more prolonged spells of rain are also likely, especially in the south of England. In the far north it should be drier and brighter with some sunshine. Winds will be mainly light with temperatures near or a little above average. Similar weather will continue over next weekend with further showers or longer spells of rain. The heaviest and most persistent rain probably occurring in central and southern parts. Drier and brighter weather is likely further north but still with the risk of a few showers. Unsettled weather will continue through the rest of the week with further showers or longer spells of rain, but also some dry and brighter intervals.

Updated: 1132 on Sat 24 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 30 May 2008 to Sunday 8 Jun 2008:

The coming week looks set to end on a much quieter note. The far northwest of Britain may be rather cloudy with some rain, and a few showers will bubble up elsewhere, but generally there will be a good deal of dry, bright and warm weather, and this will last into the coming weekend. The week after is set to see the arrival of the more traditional northwest-southeast split, often seen at this time of year. Many parts of England and Wales, particularly southern and eastern parts, are likely to experience some warm sunshine, and any rainbands are likely to be rather weak and short-lived; while further north and west, parts of NW Scotland in particular could see more in the way of rain, and stronger winds at times.

Updated: 1138 on Sun 25 May 2008

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...st_weather.html