White Christmas

[stormchaser1]

Off topic with this one, { i will place this in the Moon Phase thread later}

Personally im looking at a cold period between 9th December and the 17th December , probably lasting until the 23rd december, then turning unfortunately mild, (full Moon on the 23rd usually sees mild and windy weather] There could be rain aound the 23rd/ 24th or 25th/ . In Decmeber over the last two years we have had temps between 6c to 11c around the Full Moon, so like i say ,, i would expect to see it stay mild until the early part of the new year , (until around the 8th New Moon 15th first quarter}Then very cold

nigel

[dogs32]

The chances must be extremely slim as we havent had many white xams...In fact I think I can remember only one,but not sure it was so long ago..

more chance of a mild heat wave in the current conditions of our climate

[stormforce 10]

The chances must be extremely slim as we havent had many white xams...In fact I think I can remember only one,but not sure it was so long ago..

more chance of a mild heat wave in the current conditions of our climate

well bbqs are quite good on xmas, turkey cooks quite well on bbqs. :lol:

[Snowyowl9]

Those dates reminds me of a few past christmases when we had snow either side of christmas and a mild xmas followed by a cold near year with snow in the 90`s

Last 2 mild ones were actually only 2002/03 as all the others in the 00`s were cold days here. :lol:

2000/0c

2001/2c

2002/8c

2003/8c

2004/0c

2005/3c

2006/3c

2007/??????

[noggin]

About 5 or 6 (I think) years ago we had a snowfall a few days before Christmas and it actually stayed on the ground for a few days. Up the road from me is a half-timbered pub and it always has a decorated and lit Christmas tree outside (at Christmas, I mean!). I was walking past it and the sky had cleared and was a brilliant blue. As a true snow lover, I had my camera with me and was able to take a fabulous picture.......the half-timbered pub, the tree, the lights, the snow.....oh it was just so beautiful!

It is my intention to try and invoke Sod's Law (although said law was disproved in a QED or Horizon programme some years ago, with the aid of a slice of buttered toast and a carpet) and "predict" that this Christmas will be mild and damp!

So.......this Christmas will be mild and damp.

[Paul]

Xmas forecast is updated!

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=...type=xmas;sess=

[Shiny_Bottom_1]

Xmas forecast is updated!

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=...type=xmas;sess=

Jeez Paul...Thats a bigger tease than waiting for that Gemma whatshername in I'm a Celebrity to get in her Bikini.

[Stuart]

not much change in the forecast so i hope to see a White Christmas this year <_<

[johnholmes]

ref the % chance.

the run Paul has quoted does in fact give a 528 well down over the country 24-26 December.

The bad news is that only 2 out of the last 5 have given a 528 line somewhere over the UK. Taking it back further then 7 out of the 14 last runs have shown this, so, yes on the basis of 00z runs by CFS from 21/10 the odds are about even for some part of the country to have the 528 line over them. That is NOT to say it will snow on Xmas Day.

[damianslaw]

One notable aspect of the weather during the last few christmases is for cold air to be very close to the UK on the big day itself.

In fact since 2000, there has only been 1 christmas where the entire christmas period 24th-26th could be classed as mild that being 2002 a thoroughly unseasonal christmas spell of weather.

Christmas 2000, 2001, 2004 and 2005 I would all class as average or cold, 2003 became cool on boxing day and even last year we were under the influence of high pressure so it was average conditions.

Yes the odds of a white christmas are usually always quite low, but the oods of a cold christmas perhaps shouldn;t be if you factor in the trends of recent christmas's.

[stormforce 10]

well if the cfs model keeps throwing charts up like that, im gonna stick my whole wages on for a white xmas.

[mezzacyclone]

well if the cfs model keeps throwing charts up like that, im gonna stick my whole wages on for a white xmas.

Still licking my wounds from xmas 05 where Norwich paid out (6-1?) but London(8-1?) didnt

Promised not to get so excited and blow the rent again!

but alas,,, teleconnections of late n all that

[xxsnowflakexx]

What a great question!

...and I love the Netweather santa shaker!! <3

[andy_leics22]

The current chart for christmas day looks awesome. 528 dam line all the way down to north France and looks like a cold northerly for the UK. But you watch, it will all go belly up with about 2 weeks to go

Zonality will scream in I think!

[Stuart]

do any one know what the odds are for a White Christmas

Edited November 15, 2007 by Stuart H

[mezzacyclone]

best latest odds:

london 7/1

Exeter,liverpool, cardiff,leeds, dublin & manchester 6/1

birmingham 9/2 ???

Aberdeen 9/4

theyv got wind ov summat as odds have certainly shortended of late!

[jemtom]

best latest odds:

london 7/1

Exeter,liverpool, cardiff,leeds, dublin & manchester 6/1

birmingham 9/2 ???

Aberdeen 9/4

theyv got wind ov summat as odds have certainly shortended of late!

Where did you see these odds mate?

[Stuart]

look like they are good odds

[Hairy Celt]

still reckon i've got a better chance of a good shag than seeing snow.

[stormforce 10]

best latest odds:

london 7/1

Exeter,liverpool, cardiff,leeds, dublin & manchester 6/1

birmingham 9/2 ???

Aberdeen 9/4

theyv got wind ov summat as odds have certainly shortended of late!

6/1 pretty good odds still for dublin.

[mezzacyclone]

Where did you see these odds mate?

Here ye go jt!

Clicky

[Stuart]

the odds a lot better then last year

[WINTERWONDERLAND]

We had the first flakes of snow this winter on the 3/11/07 in Whitehaven in Cumbria not much and it only lasted for around 90 seconds, But the thing is it was enough to win the bet. Looking good for a white one me thinks?

Edited November 15, 2007 by WINTERWONDERLAND

[Zenarcher]

Ive just been looking at the charts for snow risk and nothing. It gose up 1st december. But you never know.

[ANYWEATHER]

still reckon i've got a better chance of a good shag than seeing snow.

You want to come to Evesham, theres a better chance of seeing snow!