Storm/convective Discussion

[Coast]

Also the cells east of Boulogne starting to creep towards the Kent and Sussex Border/Coastline now

Thunderstorm ID Q-1353 detected 09:15

Storm location bearing 94.0 dgr distance 160 mi

Last recorded activity 09:56

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 2/minute

Peak strikerate 12/minute

Total recorded strikes 78

Cloud-Ground strikes 32 - 41.03%

Intracloud strikes 46 - 58.97%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 5 - 6.41%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 27 - 34.62%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 36 - 46.15%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 10 - 12.82%

[SteveB]

Heavy rain here in Nailsea where I work.

No Thunder

[TornadoJo]

TORRO have a convective discussion going on.

[Joneseye]

I see the rollercoaster of emotions is in full throttle mode again this morning...

For those of you with cloud cover this morning, just remember that the sun is pretty much at it's strongest at this time of year.

[Coast]

TORRO have a convective discussion going on.

Ah yes!

A TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION has been issued at 08:30GMT on Friday 26th June 2009

Valid from/until: 0830-2100GMT on Friday 26th June 2009 for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Eire:

Central Eire Wales Merseyside Midlands E Anglia SE and Central southern England

THREATS

Isolated funnels/tornadoes, hail, CG lightning, torrential rainfall, gusty winds.

SYNOPSIS

Plume of high theta-w air is in place this morning. Showers/isol thunderstorms (elevated) are ongoing, especially around Wilts/Gloucs - this latter area is associated with a small vort max/MCV which is progressing WNW, and may well be the focus for further development across Wales this morning, and Eire this afternoon. In the wake of this, fairly cloudy skies are expected, which will limit heating somewhat. Even so, the atmosphere is uncapped and unstable, and any sunshine should allow showers/thunderstorms to quickly develop - in addition, storms over NE France may migrate into SE England this morning. The main threats will be torrential rain/flash flooding, and CG lightning. However, if surface based storms develop, and threat for isolated funnels/weak convergence zone tornadoes exists, along with gusty winds. In addition, more powerful cells could produce brief marginally-severe hail. With a fairly pronounced convergence zone in place, storms may become reasonably organised, despite weak upper flow. The flow is stronger across Wales/Eire, with the result than one or more small clusters may develop here.

The lack of strong shear/overall storm organisation means that any severe threat will be from pulse-type updraughts - thus a watch is not warranted ATTM.

Edited June 26, 2009 by Coast

[Wynn D Woo]

Its gone very dark here, i had hoped it would be delayed a little to try and get the temps up a bit more first 15.1C currently, so am just expecting rain rather than anything electrical

[Callie]

Well the storms made it quite a way East last night. Had a few close strikes around 4am this morning and heavy rain

Hoping for some more later.

Callie

[fromey]

conditions here at the mo is temp 16.0c humidity72% and the rain has stopped.

ummh not impressed

[dogs32]

Its gone very dark here, i had hoped it would be delayed a little to try and get the temps up a bit more first 15.1C currently, so am just expecting rain rather than anything electrical

large blobs of rain here now..yes its gone very dark.......nothing electrical on radar

[anvilhead]

I'm in brentford, london for the day - watching that cluster off the french coast at the moment - must be another vort max - seems to be makingits way towards the SE .. fingers crossed!

[Neilsouth]

I'm in brentford, london for the day - watching that cluster off the french coast at the moment - must be another vort max - seems to be makingits way towards the SE .. fingers crossed!

Yeh , they are starting to explode into life again!... Very intense radar echo's aswell

[03jtrickey]

Rain has just started in Cheltenham - and it's HEAVY!

[dogs32]

Torrentail rain here now

[JamieUK]

All I can say is, it isn't going the way the BBC has forecast hmmpth

[Jane Louise]

Very heavy downpour here

[Neilsouth]

All I can say is, it isn't going the way the BBC has forecast hmmpth

Not today it hasn't no , they do it get it more wrong than right...

But us south easterners should keep an eye on north east france

[snowfish]

Rain has just started in Cheltenham - and it's HEAVY!

Great! I am hoping for a wash out here in Kent this afternoon, what do you think?

[Jane Louise]

OOh I thought I heard thunder,but it's the blinkin bin men lol

very dark here street lights have come on.

[Glideslope]

Morning folks

Skies completely overcast here, hope that changes and some surface heating gets going.

Steve

[slinky1989]

That rain we had here was brilliant Even had a flash of lightning over here in west swindon too!

I await this evening with excitement! Can't wait to get out of work.

[PhilM1]

On NW radar looks like a small convergence line going up just north of London

[03jtrickey]

Interesting here - torro says we (Gloucestershire and Wiltshire) are currently under an "MCV".

"mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) --A low-pressure center within an MCS that pulls winds into a circling pattern, or vortex. With a core only 30 to 60 miles wide and 1 to 3 miles deep, an MCV is often overlooked in standard weather analyses. But an MCV can take on a life of its own, persisting for up to 12 hours after its parent MCS has dissipated. This orphaned MCV will sometimes then become the seed of the next thunderstorm outbreak. An MCV that moves into tropical waters, such as the Gulf of Mexico, can serve as the nucleus for a tropical storm or hurricane."

http://www.ucar.edu/news/backgrounders/sto...ssary.shtml#mcv

[Coast]

From Worthing station:

*** NexStorm TRAC Report generated 26/06/2009 10:25:36

Tracking 3 thunderstorms

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID P-1032 detected 02:03

Storm location bearing 136.2 dgr distance 145 mi

Last recorded activity 10:24

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 4/minute

Peak strikerate 57/minute

Total recorded strikes 28638

Cloud-Ground strikes 12062 - 42.12%

Intracloud strikes 16576 - 57.88%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 1491 - 5.21%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 10571 - 36.91%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 11102 - 38.77%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 5474 - 19.11%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID S-1280 detected 09:14

Storm location bearing 116.0 dgr distance 210 mi

Last recorded activity 10:25

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 4/minute

Peak strikerate 18/minute

Total recorded strikes 321

Cloud-Ground strikes 142 - 44.24%

Intracloud strikes 179 - 55.76%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 7 - 2.18%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 135 - 42.06%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 138 - 42.99%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 41 - 12.77%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID J-5576 detected 08:39

Storm location bearing 105.3 dgr distance 132 mi

Last recorded activity 10:24

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 3/minute

Peak strikerate 11/minute

Total recorded strikes 194

Cloud-Ground strikes 78 - 40.21%

Intracloud strikes 116 - 59.79%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 14 - 7.22%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 64 - 32.99%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 78 - 40.21%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 38 - 19.59%

-------------------------------------------------------

*** TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.6.0.2553:PCI

Looks like the Boulogne one is moving slowly towards us, the one just North of Paris is too (and intensifying).

[Wynn D Woo]

Very heavy and large raindrops, lights are on too now its gone so dark outside.

Edit

Big flash and deep rumble!!

Edited June 26, 2009 by windswept

[SalopWatcher]

Dull and Cloudy here, but that bloody close feeling is still here.

Certinly not writeing anything off today with the wind direction.

If Kane gets anything, then I shall perk up as hes down stream for any storms today, for the first time I can recall!