London And The South East Regional Discussion Thread - II

[abruzzi spur]

light dusting on the edges here in bexley S

Steve, the 06z today looks a bit grim don't you think? Eastward movement of the cold with Atlantic moving quite quickly in at the weekend? I'm only a beginner though so could have this wrong - I hope I have. Edited January 31, 2012 by abruzzi spur

[Lauren]

I'm guessing snizzle is snow/drizzle?

Sounds like something Snoop Dogg would say.

[Gowon]

Heavy snizzle now!

[Mellenchip]

We have snizzle here in sydenham SE London currently 1c hope I see some proper snow soon!

[Jo S]

Well its heading into London now,and has passed me,now im waiting for the next wave to come.

[yamkin]

Convection of light snow is showing up on the radar and heading towards London & Croydon.

Edited January 31, 2012 by yamkin

[Coast]

GFS 6z does make this a more knife edge weekend for us. From a really really selfish point of view, my locale has been under a pink area for several runs and for almost the whole weekend. Anyway, as we get closer to the cold, I must be careful not to lead people astray with run to run comments, only viewing one models output and using snow risk charts that are a rough guess at best - I just can't help ramping!!

[Jo S]

Question that very long ping blob passing through Lincoln,Sheffield ectc,could that reach essex,anybody know which way its going plz

[Steve C]

Light snow / graupel here in Hatfield Peverel ( near Chelmsford ) A few white patches on roofs etc.

[andy_leics22]

Question that very long ping blob passing through Lincoln,Sheffield ectc,could that reach essex,anybody know which way its going plz

No where near, lol.

That is heading West/South West.

[Southender]

Question that very long ping blob passing through Lincoln,Sheffield ectc,could that reach essex,anybody know which way its going plz

Hi jo.

No that band will not reach us.

You need to look towards Colchester & Ipswich for any showers that may hit our region...

[Jo S]

Well it was wishful thinking,lol,just grabbing at straws

[JamesC]

GFS 6z does make this a more knife edge weekend for us. From a really really selfish point of view, my locale has been under a pink area for several runs and for almost the whole weekend. Anyway, as we get closer to the cold, I must be careful not to lead people astray with run to run comments, only viewing one models output and using snow risk charts that are a rough guess at best - I just can't help ramping!!

Yes but this chart is also showing it should be snowing now.

http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20120131/06/06/prectypeuktopo.png

The GFS snow chart (as I'm sure you know) is pretty vague at best. To be honest I think our chances of substantial snow fall seem to be diminishing with every run at the moment

Such a shame as the charts a few days ago showed us being in a real freezer akin to last winter. Still we should have a good chance of a streamer or snow showers at some point between wed night to friday. However I think Roger's prediction of thundersnow and 60cm will be far of the mark............................Yamkin, please prove me wrong and say we'll all be getting 6ft drifts

[Met4Cast]

Some minor convection in the Thames..

[abruzzi spur]

GFS 6z does make this a more knife edge weekend for us. From a really really selfish point of view, my locale has been under a pink area for several runs and for almost the whole weekend. Anyway, as we get closer to the cold, I must be careful not to lead people astray with run to run comments, only viewing one models output and using snow risk charts that are a rough guess at best - I just can't help ramping!!

But when you ramp you do it so nicely! And you give us a clear warning in advance of impending rampiness.

[snowbob]

This weather we are having reminds of when I was in Prague two years ago

Very cold and snow grains all weekend not doing anything

Was hoping the north see and Thames would pep these showers up a bit

Longing for something that resembles a flake now lol

Edited January 31, 2012 by snowbob

[abruzzi spur]

Technical question, can anyone help please? As the precipitation is so light and the air so dry beneath, is the precipitation mostly evaporating before it reaches the ground? Could that explain why the radar shows something but most of what we are getting is nothing?

If this is a daft question then I apologise.

Thanks

AS

[Coast]

The GFS snow chart (as I'm sure you know) is pretty vague at best.

Someone's got to inject some positivity into the discussion!!!!

[wchris_uk]

my temps where at 1.1 but in the last hour or so shot up to 2.9 and now chucking it down with sleet

that was quick, now stopped slight covering on cars only

[Discombobulation Man]

NAE offering a little bit of snow for London Thursday AM, hopefully the intensity peps up on future runs. Cant find many straws though.

Edited January 31, 2012 by Discombobulation Man

[Kentish Kiwi]

Looks like some decent showers popping up in the Thames on a NE/ENEerly wind flow! Early days but minor streamer territory...

[strats]

sleety grains falling here in NW kent, slight covering on the grass in the garden.

[JamesC]

Someone's got to inject some positivity into the discussion!!!!

When do you think our best chance for snowfall is? I'm thinking Wednesday night into Thurs morning with the cold uppers coming in, it may create some good convection in the North Sea with the vast temperature differences and set us up with a Kent Streamer (winds are to N/E'ly to be a Thames Streamer). There is still time for change...................................

Thoughts anyone?

[Kentish Kiwi]

Still moderate snizzle/graupel here. I don't believe this was forecast by any model and with the precipitation looking like it's increasing there are certainly straws to clutch in the short term...

[Kentspur]

had continuous light snow grains settling in patches throughout the morning here in Dartford, Kent- first snow have seen all winter& far better than wet mild rubbish