Model Output Discussion 12z 04/12/2012

[TEITS]

What was that I said earlier about E,lys extending into the Atlantic!

EPIC!

[Continental Climate]

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE!!! http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2012120512/ECH1-192.GIF?05-0!!! SURELY THIS CANNOT HAPPEN LOL!!!

[snowking]

And last frame of the JMA:

Some pressure on the block to the NW, but quite frankly by that point who would care!

Anyone spot the siberian express headed under the block

Uppers for all of uk sub -8c....nice bank of -12 to -24 uppers on their way

SK

[EML Network]

Someone pass me the smelling salt

Edited December 5, 2012 by EML Network

[Snowy Liverpool]

Do the southerly winds and the resulting warm 850s over Greenland at t144 and especially t168 make it easier for hights to build there?

[PolarWarsaw]

Even Epic !!!

Im trying to be positive, I really am-

It's just we've been here to many times before and with all these 'epic' runs-

I'm beginning to think about calling a few CSI guys in already-

They will think it's a crime when the entire NW Model watching base all commit suicide-

[Matty M]

I am going to save that 192hrs chart in every output i can.

It is picture perfect. WOW

[Weathizard]

That 192 chart!! WOW

[Cloud 10]

Rampede alert! Rampede alert! Netweather server to Defcon 1!

[chionomaniac]

This is the beast:

Ready to eat us up!

Even JS will be snowed in!!

Edited December 5, 2012 by chionomaniac

[Harsh Climate]

Look how if you get a perfect easterly, you don't even need reloads as the cold is coming directly from siberia

Edited December 5, 2012 by Harsh Climate

[mpkio2]

New to the forum!!

All aboard the Easterly Express!!

[kold weather]

Good grief that is one heck of an ECM run, its VERY close to the 12z GFS control run as well fwiw.

Very cold, serious amounts of snow would be coming off the North Sea as well.

Going to be a bitter run, I can't wait to see what the ECM ensembles are going to show!!

[Cheshire Freeze]

What was that I said earlier about E,lys extending into the Atlantic!

http://www.meteociel...M1-192.GIF?05-0

EPIC!

Screaming easterly an understatement?

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

Not Bad!

[LomondSnowstorm]

I know it will change a bit, but do you think there's any snow potential on this chart for us in Scotland?

The ECM is a seriously snowy run for ALL of us.

[nick sussex]

dont let steve see that the road to the urals is open again. it'll be 1991/1987/1963/1947 all over again !!!

Yes talking of SM where is he?

He'd certainly be loving the ECM tonight. I await the NOAA update regarding the upstream pattern in the USA, hopefully they go with the ECM/GFS combo.

[bradymk]

192hrs is better than 2010 !!

Perfection

am i seeing this? I said wow when i saw it but now ive seen you post this, i just said wow again haha JS saying perfection is rare Edited December 5, 2012 by bradythemole

[P-M]

Sorry can I just ask a daft question..if these charts verify are we looking at nationwide potential snowfest?

[kold weather]

This is the beast:

Ready to eat us up!

Even JS will be snowed in!!

Can't quite believe this run, still could go wrong and there is time, but that is nearing perfection it has to be said. The only way that could be better is if we had a slightly more potent cold pool already in place over Europe...but thats great!!

[PolarWarsaw]

So hard NOT to RAMP at that-

Trying not to hyperventilate at my screen.

[Ian Brown]

Excellent height extension towards Iceland - ' On the 12th day of winter the ECM gave to me, a massive Northern block and a biting easterleee'

[January Snowstorm]

This is the beast:

Ready to eat us up!

Even JS will be snowed in!!

Lol

I was just going to ask will it snow in Carlisle Cork ??

[phil nw.]

That`s a bitter Siberian cold wedge moving under the block

Almost perfect orientation at T168 to send it west.

Good to see all models agree the link up of heights to our north at day 5.That`s the first step.

[cyclonic happiness]

Whoever said that 2010/11 was a 1 in 100 Year event, didn't realise the clock had been set back to 0!

Never seen such a mega easterly even in the archives, lets just saviour this moment before we start pulling it to bits :-D