Model Output Discussion 12z 04/12/2012

[Harsh Climate]

Is this the best december model run we have ever seen? I think sooo!

[Continental Climate]

This is the true beast http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2162.gif!! Look at those temps in europe, is that a -20 i see in poland?

[ITSY]

OMG

It just carries on...Fergie said earlier that the Met were awaiting this ECMWF run with interest...Well, It was worth the wait!!! 120 fax should be interesting

[cooling climate]

Lol this ECM run is taking this easterly to a whole different

level.

[Backtrack]

I see everyones 192 chart & raise you a 216..

Its on gone pete tong.

http://www.meteociel...H1-216.GIF?05-0

For greece!!!!

-12s in to the UK

S

What, you haven't melted?

WELCOME BACK STEVE

Never seen a chart like that btw. Jesus.

[bluearmy]

I wouldn't be so sure of that, we still have a bit to go before we can wax the sledges.

day 5 on ecm HC. not often it changes much from there. wonder how close we can get that cold pool by day 10,

[Chris D]

You sure:

http://www.meteociel...M0-216.GIF?05-0

I'm flabbergasted at that chart. I'm going to have a heart attack at 240hrs. Omg lol!

[Cloud 10]

SNOWMAGEDDON!!!!

[mpkio2]

This is all too good to be true!!!!!!!!!!!

I couldn;t believe what I was seeing in front of me. I'm speechless.

[Cheshire Freeze]

I suggest someone saves that ECM 192 hrs chart as you don't get much better than that

And then the 216 chart comes along.......that's a rager of a flow from the east. Britain would be freezing solid & much of Europe.

Edited December 5, 2012 by CreweCold

[karlos1983]

What was that I said earlier about E,lys extending into the Atlantic!

EPIC!

New Yorkers will be getting excited soon lol

[German Sheperd]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/

He seems to be having a little ramp following today's model outputs.

Edited December 5, 2012 by German Sheperd

[smhouston]

Isn't this meant to be the "warm up" show before the main event in late December / January!?

Has to be an outlier surely!?

Ridiculous charts on offering by the ECM!!!! If you dislike cold then I suggest booking your place to Caribbean for this weekend for the rest of winter!

[ITSY]

It's hard to know what to say. IF this is NOT a cold outlier, and it will obviously be one of the coldest (but i mean if it is not on its own), then this place will go bonkers. Best charts I have ever seen. No questions asked. BANK

EDIT: iT HAS BEEN LOST IN THE MODEL THREAD EXCITEMENT, but someone posted a frame of an output from the 27th Jan 2012 for the 5th Feb (further away than we are looking at for this cold spell but still). It showed -20 uppers over Belgium from ECM. It collapsed and never happened. I hope more than anyone this happens (cos I missed 2010 completely) but nothing is nailed yet. Give it till the weekend, then I will abandon all inhibitions!!

Edited December 5, 2012 by ITSY

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

If i could just post this before the servers explode

This:

Ended it being like this

And that was 'only' 168 hrs out.

Edited December 5, 2012 by RAIN RAIN RAIN

[Harsh Climate]

day 5 on ecm HC. not often it changes much from there. wonder how close we can get that cold pool by day 10,

I think some sort of easterly is pretty nailed on now, but to those proportions we are looking at now, I will believe it when I see it

[IDO]

WOW:

[chionomaniac]

It gets better lol

At 216hrs JS is sending flares into the sky looking to be dug out of 10 foot drifts.

The ECM wont happen, if it the UK / Ireland and most of Europe would close down!!

I think it is a complete let down, JS!!

[london-snow]

BURR BURR BABY YOU AINT SEEN NOTHING YET !!!

[EML Network]

WOW !!

If the world ends on Dec 21st 2012 I will die a Happy man if this comes off

ECM 12z 05/12/12 the best run I have ever seen in my 24 months of model watching !!!

[Matty M]

Not quite JS, but NOW you do! My god the 240hr chart is just absolutely absurd. The guys at ECMWF have really done us.

It is only downhill from here.

I will shout it and say the 240hr chart is the BEST i have EVER seen.

[SMU]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2012120512/ECM1-240.GIF?05-0

BETTER THAN 1987.

Widepspread snow for the UK- mostly heavy esp in the E-

uppers-

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2012120512/ECF0-240.GIF?05-0

-14c in EA

S

[karlos1983]

Oh my Krikey!!!

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=240&mode=1&map=0&archive=0

[Wilxy]

im saving the entire run because it won't ever look like it again.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Well people... Just look at them charts ! I'm wetting myself !! I mean we would be talking about permafrosts and extreme snowfall and cold with those charts. Awesome stuff !