South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 22/03/13 08z ----->

[Dorsetbred]

Not sure if already posted but..

Updated 72hr fax

Compared to this mornings 84hr (for same time period)

Ditched the idea of the triple point and instead have two seperate fronts, hard to tell whether these may swing enough for a dusting, have to wait and see, but interesting none the less.

Also the trough Ian commented on yesterday about not having much support is back, and is flirting with the far SE Thursday lunchtime

Be interesting to see where the Jet pushes this one to..

[Bobd29]

Ian F just hinted that next Monday might be a little more interesting....perhaps something to keep an eye on?

[Dorsetbred]

Ian F just hinted that next Monday might be a little more interesting....perhaps something to keep an eye on?

Still not convinced as temperatures begin to rise toward the end of the week, we have had ideal conditions this week, a good cold easterly, low daytime temps.

By Monday even though we are still likely to see some easterly content, moderation over the weekend with the first low creeping through will mean temps will be higher as the wind turns more to a SE, and onshore, over warmer waters.

As the second low swings in, and collects the cooler easterlies, I would really expect only rain apart from some distance inland where the cold is still hanging on. Winter's last attempt as we move into warmer temps....

Just my views and no more than that.

[SunnySouthCoast]

Actually had some sunshine today which lifted the temp to the dizzy heights of 5C Min last night was 2C & 2.5C at the mo.

[Dean E]

Still not convinced as temperatures begin to rise toward the end of the week, we have had ideal conditions this week, a good cold easterly, low daytime temps.

By Monday even though we are still likely to see some easterly content, moderation over the weekend with the first low creeping through will mean temps will be higher as the wind turns more to a SE, and onshore, over warmer waters.

As the second low swings in, and collects the cooler easterlies, I would really expect only rain apart from some distance inland where the cold is still hanging on. Winter's last attempt as we move into warmer temps....

Just my views and no more than that.

Get some enhanced PPN, with the uppers hanging around -5/-7c and temps around 4c, I would not hang your hopes on rain!

SM

[Bristawl Si]

Still not convinced as temperatures begin to rise toward the end of the week, we have had ideal conditions this week, a good cold easterly, low daytime temps.

By Monday even though we are still likely to see some easterly content, moderation over the weekend with the first low creeping through will mean temps will be higher as the wind turns more to a SE, and onshore, over warmer waters.

As the second low swings in, and collects the cooler easterlies, I would really expect only rain apart from some distance inland where the cold is still hanging on. Winter's last attempt as we move into warmer temps....

Just my views and no more than that.

I was thinking much the same.

Edited March 26, 2013 by Bristle boy

[Mark Parsons]

Any precipitation that manages to get into the SW will be largely rain or sleet. Any sweet spot for temporary snowfall would be Dartmoor come friday. Thereafter, mainly rain.

It would be appreciated if you could display your location in your profile please.

[Blizzardof82]

Current temp 0.6c, humidity 64%, wind chill -2c. Talking of what Ian F was hinting at Monday unfortunately it is another week away scenario which has been the story of this winter Fed up now with what might happen as it never seems to materialise so I for one and in particular my allotment are looking forward to some lovely spring warmth although looking at the models that looks as likely as a west country blizzard and snowfest

[noggin]

Ian F just hinted that next Monday might be a little more interesting....perhaps something to keep an eye on?

Pah!

It'll just be another snowy carrot to tantalise us donkeys with!

[Mark Parsons]

Pah!

It'll just be another snowy carrot to tantalise us donkeys with!

Must have got through a bag full of carrots this winter!!

[jtay]

NAE going with a few flurries throughout tomorrow for some. A few of us should see a bit.

[Hurricane Buckley]

Is it me or does the front for us look further North over the SW on the 18z?

[Blizzardof82]

Is it me or does the front for us look further North over the SW on the 18z?

I was just thinking that.

[khodds]

What the Friday front that was meant to hit?

[Hurricane Buckley]

I was just thinking that.

See if it leads to anything over the next coming runs of charts, looks like the FAX has the front on Sunday slightly further North too.

[Costa Del Fal]

Well im back in the Midlands now. The ground is suddenly lit with snow from about Bromsgrove northwards! Was nice to leave Cornwall with some sunshine this morning. Was most unexpected but most welcome!

My website will continue to update as normal however! No matter where I am, that wont stop the updates! Nice to see even those from the Bodmin Railway even following us now.

Edited March 26, 2013 by Blizzards

[dec10snow]

Well im back in the Midlands now. The ground is suddenly lit with snow from about Bromsgrove northwards! Was nice to leave Cornwall with some sunshine this morning. Was most unexpected but most welcome!

My website will continue to update as normal however! No matter where I am, that wont stop the updates! Nice to see even those from the Bodmin Railway even following us now.

I'm assuming you didn't like the suggested names for the site??

[Hurricane Buckley]

Just comparing a few charts, but the NAE has the front at 48 hours slightly further North and West than the GFS or NAVGEM does, maybe the NAE wants to bring it into the SW? The NAVGEM has been showing the front coming right over us now for a while but problem being it would turn to rain as the milder air mixes in, hope the NAE is on to something and the GFS is beginning to adjust to it now.

[Costa Del Fal]

I'm assuming you didn't like the suggested names for the site??

I havent got round to considering them all yet and sorting it out. Will do this week though. Been busy packing and just getting home and finishing off work.

[-uksnow-]

T-192 hrs

[BristolBaggie]

Ian if your around are there any new developments with this low pressure system mentioned in the above posts?

[AWD]

From Ian;

"W COUNTRY High confidence for dry conditions throughout BH Weekend (front maybe clips SW Cornwall but only temporarily). Cold everywhere...."

[Costa Del Fal]

Tuesday: Early Sunshine for Cornwall then Cloudy. Cloudier, little brightness for the Channel Islands.

Channel Islands Forecast:

http://cornwallweather.moonfruit.com/#/channel-islands/4573977985

Cornwall's Forecast:

http://cornwallweather.moonfruit.com/#/cornwall/4573724902

Almost 60 followers now at #kernowweather (twitter.com/kernowweather)

[Olly]

Morning all. Just woke up and checked radar to find snow overhead and looked out window and there is flakes falling here and there. It's beginning to settle on cars. AT 1.2c, dew point -2.8c

[SteveB]

Another dry cloudy cold day on the cards with the chance some might see snow showers later.

Temp -0.3c