South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 25/11/13

[abruzzi spur]

Is your house 45 ft tall?

The road is at 105m.  Then 3 m to the front door, up the steps = 108m.  3 storey house, so there is a little element of guess work but from road to top floor, not far off!  Shall I get the altimeter out?  I'm very sure that your altitude is a lot bigger than mine though

[WillinGlossop]

The road is at 105m.  Then 3 m to the front door, up the steps = 108m.  3 storey house, so there is a little element of guess work but from road to top floor, not far off!  Shall I get the altimeter out?  I'm very sure that your altitude is a lot bigger than mine though

No just joshing....

[abruzzi spur]

No just joshing....

Cheers Will, you've come to the right thread for that!  Bit worried about your snow depth entry - we might all collectively manage to match your individual depth!

 

AS

[WillinGlossop]

I bet that this winter ive moved up here..... No snow here and kent gets feet of the stuff.... My luck....

[john pike]

hi all

 

fax time

 

tonight

 

going to be a tad chilly

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tomorrow a weak north west flow

 

temps

 

 

around 8-10 degrees

 

maybe see some sun today

 

rainfall

 

none

 

mist and fog possible in areas to the east and north of the region

 

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tomorrow night

 

a weak north west flow

 

temps

temps around 0-4 degrees

 

all cloud related

 

rain

dry again

 

fog risk north- north east of the region

 

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sunday

 

a weak north west flow

 

temps

 

around 10-12 degrees

 

rain

 

early morning drizzle and cloud clearing before lunch

 

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sunday night

 

a weak easterly flow

 

looks like fog and low cloud likely but dry

 

temps

 

lows 6-8 degrees

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

monday

 

a weak easterly flow

 

again expect early fog and cloudcover

 

temps

 

around 10-12 degrees but may stay lower due to heavy cloud

 

chilly wind flow

 

rain

 

none

 

do the rest later

[john pike]

tuesday

 

a weak variable flow

 

temps

 

around 8-12 degrees

 

again cloud will reflect temps

 

rainfall

 

looks dry

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

wednesday

 

a chilly north west wind

 

temps

 

6-8 degrees

 

looks dry but some showery muck again likely in the afternoon

 

next run from ukmo again

 

cold

and the next one will be even colder

message for mk

 

thanks

Edited November 29, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

and heres our easterly

 

[Mesoscale]

Nobody call it a beast and we should be fine!

[Sussex Jules]

Nobody call it a beast and we should be fine!

 

I shall be polite and call it Mr East or Sir

Edited November 29, 2013 by Sussex Jules

[john pike]

how about the feast from the east

[abruzzi spur]

how about the feast from the east

Very good John, sounds like our plans for tomorrow night, 10 of us out for an Indian!

[john pike]

the final gfs run

 

 

this is my ramp tonight as i will not find a better one

 

got a feeling this may be a cold outlier

 

post the ensembles later but you never know

hi as

 

also it may get a bit windy later

[john pike]

ecm ensembles

 

 

the main run has colder ensembles

 

so thats a good sign

 

a bit windy around the 6th but nothing to write home about

 

rain uptick from the 6th on but not a lot

 

still no atlantic showing

 

[abruzzi spur]

 

hi as

 

also it may get a bit windy later

John, what are you saying?!

 

Keep on keeping on with the great work please - hopefully you'll soon have some snow and winter magic to highlight that's within the reliable.......

 

Cheers

 

AS

[john pike]

hi as

 

fingers crossed

 

its when the fax comes into the timeframe its better

 

nothing wrong with a bit of ramping

 

however the output does not surprise me at present

 

re the windy bit i meant the easterly

[stun12]

John, what are you saying?!

 

Keep on keeping on with the great work please - hopefully you'll soon have some snow and winter magic to highlight that's within the reliable.......

 

Cheers

 

AS

 

Seconded. I come here for my weather forecast, as well as the craic. I did scroll down from the links into the model thread, but found it a long way over my head, as indeed were the horses, whatever they may be. Sunny and cold over the weekend would be just fine. Some snow late next week would, of course, be wonderful.

[abruzzi spur]

hi as

 

fingers crossed

 

its when the fax comes into the timeframe its better

 

nothing wrong with a bit of ramping

 

however the output does not surprise me at present

 

re the windy bit i meant the easterly

I like the occasional ramping particularly because when you do it you announce it - some don't!  I've still got the fire going and am now at that critical moment of deciding whether to chuck some more coal/logs on and get some music going on the headphones, or do the sensible grown up responsible thing and go to bed.  I think I have just answered my own question - music maestro please!

 

AS

[bobbydog]

 

you never know........

[john pike]

hi bobby

 

hope your well

 

i see your as subtle as ever

 

at least i called you bobby that time

[Jax]

roll on summer!

 

 

why all the strange looks?

[bobbydog]

hi bobby

 

hope your well

 

i see your as subtle as ever

 

at least i called you bobby that time

 lol hi john, i keep buying land rovers in the hope that the weather will feel guilty and let me have some snow to play in!

 

it might just be working.......

 

my new one-

 

 

some hopeful charts!!-

 

[john pike]

hi bob

 

nice

 

could be quite handy soon

 

or if you have some strong rope

 

and the control run is right that may be useful too

 

the uk is under there somewhere

 

i will say that i do not expect the above chart to be correct

[Jax]

hi bob

 

nice

 

could be quite handy soon

 

or if you have some strong rope

 

and the control run is right that may be useful too

 

the uk is under there somewhere

 

i will say that i do not expect the above chart to be correct

[stun12]

Bound to snow as my beloved Frontera didn't make it past the MoT and has gone to diesel heaven. The family estate has 4WD in a rather low-profile tyre sort of a way, so is OK on slightly salted roads, but is rubbish on hills and going up the drive. 

 

Colder tonight...4.8C. Good omen for a cold sunny day tomorrow. My favourite. Apart from snow of course.

[john pike]

 

as expected

 

the main pub run was a colder option from the 10th on

 

however there are some pretty cold runs there as well

 

there are also some warm ones which surprisingly puts the mean ABOVE average

 

fi is on the 7th now

 

although a good sign is the colder air lasts from the 4th to the 11th which is 2 days longer than earlier

 

 

expect tomorrow to give even more wild swings and mad thread mayhem

 

follow the 12z ecm run only in conjunction with the ukmo run at 144

 

to save yourself from mental model cruelty

 

going to be away tomorrow so posting will be difficult

 

fax update back sunday night

 

i will say hi via my phone somehow tomorrow night

 

off now as got to be up early

 

night all

 

john