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North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

cheshire snow

By cheshire snow
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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted (edited)

Doubt there is 100 mile margin at this stage

Edited by Spah1
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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, Dexter said:

South Wales Southwards...

 

technically he is right the wording is South England and south Wales *and* coasts which I take to mean all coasts.

Edited by Chris.R
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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted (edited)
18 minutes ago, Dexter said:

South Wales Southwards...

Oh is it. I must’ve misread 

 

edit: just gone back to that, they’ve changed it. They must’ve made a mistake

Edited by Backtrack
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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
2 hours ago, Day 10 said:

Oh no, I've just noticed your post.

I truly hope you are ok mate, I'll be thinking of you.

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted
9 minutes ago, chris78 said:

Its also two days away for the people who are expecting snow, we cant have it both ways, if its ok to get exited about snow a few days away its surely ok to be sceptical too.

 

Of course its two days away and can change, but very few people say that when anyone is getting exited.    Some people are always really hopeful some people always very cautious, there is room for both.

Of course it's ok to be cautious. I never said it wasn't and of course that works either way.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted
7 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 

technically he is right the wording is South England and south Wales *and* coasts which I take to mean all coasts.

When I read that warning it didn’t say S Wales it just said Wales. They must’ve made a typo. But costal marginality is worrying 

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NickyB Aficionado

NickyB

Posted
  • Location: Wallasey Village, Wirral. 15.7m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Temps under 25 degrees and Disruptive Heavy Snowfall any other time
  • Location: Wallasey Village, Wirral. 15.7m ASL.
Posted
1 minute ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

Wishing you a very speedy recovery. Take care

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chris78 Enthusiast

chris78

Posted
  • Location: Preston
  • Location: Preston
Posted
1 minute ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

Good luck mate, vast majority sail though, chances are you'll be one of those!

(not to downplay it all of course)

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted
1 minute ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

Sorry to hear that. Hope you have a speedy recovery and are feeling better soon.

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chris78 Enthusiast

chris78

Posted
  • Location: Preston
  • Location: Preston
Posted
2 minutes ago, Dexter said:

Of course it's ok to be cautious. I never said it wasn't and of course that works either way.

Sorry Dexter, wasnt meant to be having a go and this forum is pretty balanced these days, but particulaly in the model thread it seems to be fine to mention snow chances a week or more away for a given location, but if you get disappointed if the models change with a few days to go, you get hammered for not understanding how unpredictable these things are. 

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

6Z update.

T850’s continue to be slightly downgraded now -7.5 is coldest which leads me to suspect it will be slightly marginal at times in West Wirral and west Merseyside. 
Coldest air is delayed again by 1–2 hours now starting 5–7 a.m.

Sunday’s front is  further south but we still get precip max rate now about 1.5 mm/h.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted
11 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

Take care mate

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shadowfax Community Regular

shadowfax

Posted
  • Location: Rossendale Valley 1000ft asl
  • Location: Rossendale Valley 1000ft asl
Posted
11 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

Hope you are ok

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shadowfax Community Regular

shadowfax

Posted
  • Location: Rossendale Valley 1000ft asl
  • Location: Rossendale Valley 1000ft asl
Posted

We’ve just been hit in Bacup by the big blob on the radar which started with big flakes then grapple and now back to snow !

 

sorry for the end where I dropped the phone!!

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Dan B Rising Star

Dan B

Posted
  • Location: Walton le Dale, Preston, Lancashire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, icy, snowy etc
  • Location: Walton le Dale, Preston, Lancashire
Posted

Just had 2 very hail hail showers here and it's going black again

 

Temps now 3ºC!

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted
2 minutes ago, chris78 said:

Sorry Dexter, wasnt meant to be having a go and this forum is pretty balanced these days, but particulaly in the model thread it seems to be fine to mention snow chances a week or more away for a given location, but if you get disappointed if the models change with a few days to go, you get hammered for not understanding how unpredictable these things are. 

No worries. Yeah, I just avoid the mod thread nowadays to be honest. You're right, never well received if someone says something unpopular or tries to provide a balanced view.

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
13 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

You will come through it mate.

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

As expected Met Office warning at least for this evening and Saturday.

Typical that the feature is sliding South on Sunday, this has little marginality about it, so many times this seems to happen.

I'll bet we'll have our heaviest snowfall of the season so far on Tuesday, but it will turn to rain and all be gone.

Never know may see change in fortune on Sunday, equally wont be surprised to see it correct further south. Lost track how many times features dont want to approach Cumbria, we never have a rain shield!

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted
1 hour ago, Wardlegacy said:

Looks like met don’t think it will get this far north on Sunday 

E3B60056-74A9-4AFA-8EB0-F219CCF48192.png

Oh well. Wait till next week then.

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The Northern Ramper Accomplished

The Northern Ramper

Posted
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
Posted
23 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

Good luck

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SP1986 Accomplished

SP1986

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted
24 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Just got a positive result back so let’s see where this ends up.

 

Good luck mate, I'm sure you'll own that thing and send it packing ????

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted
32 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Doubt there is 100 mile margin at this stage

You may well be right, who knows. We'll get a better idea tomorrow. If the warning slips further South then chances will certainly be looking slim.

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SP1986 Accomplished

SP1986

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted
6 minutes ago, russwirral said:

its not often  you see a snow icon from the metoffice, let alone a full day of them...  a rare sight.  Trouble is - will it actually happen?  I cant remember a snow forecast that delivered here, more often than not we see downgrades on the wirral.

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcmzkm288#?date=2021-01-23

Our icons are a little less of snow.. mixed with sleet. Must be more marginal on the west side. Which I suppose it would be if there is a WNW wind. 

 

One thing I've noted about these shower scenarios at the coast is that relative height doesn't actually matter as much... 

 

I recall having rain at 100m ASL whilst further inland at 15m ASL they had snow.

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