Model output discussion 24/01/21

[winterof79]

Well it better not happen like so or I'll be throwing all my teddies down the M1 I'd rather it be 100 mile south than a snowball throw away 

Edited January 27, 2021 by winterof79

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, winterof79 said:

Well it better not happen like so or I'll be throwing all my teddies down the M1 I'd rather it be 100 mile south than a snowball throw away 

might do. my location unlikely to get lucky again, as that is another pasting

[Tim Bland]

Oooosh ️

[Anthony Burden]

Some very encouraging charts this evening although at 8 days out both GFS and Gem showing

northern blocking.Must say a big congratulations to Gem if these charts turn out to be correct,

after showing the way some days ago.Also the met office 30 day and Exeter Glosea,fingers crossed

for a wintery February.

[nick sussex]

It’s a shame we couldn’t get a split in that upstream shortwave energy at day 5 . The models want to so far phase the shortwave further west into one large low.

Unlikely the ECM will do something outlandish given the strong support for that .

[sheikhy]

Wow gives 5 to 10cms widely on saturday for pretty much the exact same areas as last sunday!!!jesus!!!its only 3 days away!!

[Allseasons-Si]

The control is in control...

look at this beauty

i wish we could see the smaller time frames of the ECM as it slides SE.

96

120.

 

Edited January 27, 2021 by Allseasons-si

[sheikhy]

Ecm follows ukmo at 120 hours!!!

[winterof79]

3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Oooosh ️

Tim I can throw an ice ball a long way pal.... Problem being ill have no snow

[Griff]

Just now, sheikhy said:

Ecm follows ukmo at 120 hours!!!

You got there first! More amplified than gem too. 

[Snowman.]

Very impressive cross model agreement here on the ECM and UKMO, considering the volatile output at the moment.

 

[Man With Beard]

Ecm D3-D5 is a little impersonation of 1947 with low after low running through the SW, just not quite as cold.

[Tim Bland]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:i wish we could see the smaller time frames of the ECM as it slides SE.

 

 

[Man With Beard]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

The control is in control...

look at this beauty

i wish we could see the smaller time frames of the ECM as it slides SE.

96

120.

 

You can see ecm hour by hour on weather.us. It's a few minutes behind but I already know it's going to be worth seeing.

[MidnightSnow]

1 minute ago, Tim Bland said:

Oooosh ️

That chart makes me want to order an adult sized pram filled with plenty of toys. You can be confident it will pan out that way if you're in the snow zone. It looks annoyingly accurate. 

[sheikhy]

I just believe how identical the snow event is to last sundays!!!the exact same amount and the exact same areas!!

[Allseasons-Si]

1 minute ago, Man Without Beard said:

You can see ecm hour by hour on weather.us. It's a few minutes behind but I already know it's going to be worth seeing.

Thanks MWB,i really need to start bookmarking more sites...

go's to have a gander

[sheikhy]

Ecm same as ukmo at 144 hours!!!

[Griff]

144 for comparison with ECM.. 

[Snowman.]

GFS out on its own at 144 now, Para doing well with keeping up with the euros.

[sheikhy]

Boom another snow event at 144 hours on ecm!!this time midlanda again but further north and east!

[nick sussex]

Will that day 6 chart look the same come the day given the changes we’ve seen in the earlier timeframe over the last day .

More trough disruption is still possible . 

[sebastiaan1973]

2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Ecm same as ukmo at 144 hours!!!

The look of the low on the Atl. Ocean is quite different. Horizontal vs vertical. The wedge too is different, with a better profile from UKMO than EC Perhaps I miss something?

[Tim Bland]

1 minute ago, sheikhy said:

Boom another snow event at 144 hours on ecm!!this time midlanda again but further north and east!

Yep.....

[The Beast From The East]

11 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Wow gives 5 to 10cms widely on saturday for pretty much the exact same areas as last sunday!!!jesus!!!its only 3 days away!!

I hope us in kent who missed all the action last weekend might be involved this time around..