North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

[Frost HoIIow]

Rain on and off today some of it heavy. Not been the best of days!

[Kasim Awan]

Something to watch? Tilting in the Atlantic is more optimal in this run - Gfs has slightly higher verification rates for N. Atlantic ridging so could be a trend setter.

[damianslaw]

1 hour ago, A Face like Thunder said:

New weather warning for rainfall for the Region early Sunday through to early Monday. I think this may be more widespread than this week's which didn't affect us in the south of the Region.

The rain band should be more fast moving than Wednesday and Thursday. Hopefully enough to not cause any flooding. 

[Chris.R]

Hope it doesn’t spoil Halloween

[damianslaw]

2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Hope it doesn’t spoil Halloween

Yes not great timing. Tomorrow is a shorter window of less unsettled. Looking ahead to Bonfire Night might squeeze out some drier conditions. Indeed mid week looks chilly and settled and possible first widespread frost.. I'll take that.

[matty40s]

I don't know where the Scottish Regional thread has gone to, but this was Dumfries earlier.

 

[Chris.R]

Hope bonfire night is dry as I’ve got loads of pyro this year

[Iceaxecrampon]

12z 10-11-21

*BANK*

First arrow of the season.

 

[WillinGlossop]

Would love first snow of the season be on my birthday (10th November) very rare…. More seasonal high pressure would be welcome… with a bit of frost…

[iand61]

Pretty much as forecast it’s a wet, windy start to the day up here.

just hope that pretty much as forecast, it quickly clears through and the afternoon onwards is a decent improvement.

[WillinGlossop]

Aurora possibly visible from high peak tonight 11am to 1am 

Edited October 30, 2021 by WillinGlossop

[Iceaxecrampon]

9 hours ago, WillinGlossop said:

Would love first snow of the season be on my birthday (10th November) very rare…. More seasonal high pressure would be welcome… with a bit of frost…

Mines 25th Nov. 

Last real memorable snow was 1988 as was out in it!  Bowland Fell ridges Parlick to Wardstone Fells not really been seen since especially round these parts of the Fylde as you know. 

[iand61]

11 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

Aurora possibly visible from high peak tonight 11am to 1am 

Shame that my most restricted view from home is north but hopefully I will see the Northern Lights one day.

[Iceaxecrampon]

Fairsnape Fell with a Tenacious Terrier! 
Snow “bailing up” on legs! 

               25 November 1988. 

[A Face like Thunder]

1 hour ago, iand61 said:

Pretty much as forecast it’s a wet, windy start to the day up here.

just hope that pretty much as forecast, it quickly clears through and the afternoon onwards is a decent improvement.

Yeah, rain has cleared here now as forecast and brightening up as I write. Hopefully the sun will be out before I head to Gresty Road to see Crewe Alex trying to get off the bottom of League 1! 

[iand61]

32 minutes ago, A Face like Thunder said:

Yeah, rain has cleared here now as forecast and brightening up as I write. Hopefully the sun will be out before I head to Gresty Road to see Crewe Alex trying to get off the bottom of League 1! 

Similar problem myself, off to the Turf to see if Burnley can finally get their first league win of the season.
TBH I’m more expectant of a dry and sunny afternoon than 3 points.

[damianslaw]

1 hour ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Mines 25th Nov. 

Last real memorable snow was 1988 as was out in it!  Bowland Fell ridges Parlick to Wardstone Fells not really been seen since especially round these parts of the Fylde as you know. 

I've usually had a dose of snow by end of November, by walking in the fells. Rare to get to the end of November without snow on the fells. In some years quite low ground has had a decent cover.. 200m up. Not often we retain snow cover all day below this level.. last time probably 2010. Though 2016 brought localised valley snow that stuck all day.

[iand61]

Hope I’m right with the year but I’m pretty certain that on this date in 2000, rain turned to snow and dropped 3-4 inches as a vigorous depression cleared through.

[A Face like Thunder]

Not sure about snow, but I certainly recall regular nightmare journeys to Keele in Oct / Nov 2000 through floodwater in a car which didn't like any sort of damp weather! 

[damianslaw]

53 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Hope I’m right with the year but I’m pretty certain that on this date in 2000, rain turned to snow and dropped 3-4 inches as a vigorous depression cleared through.

Yes sounds right. High lapse rates and evaporative cooling caused by undercut of cold uppers turned the rain to snow..

[severe snowstorm]

Absolutely glorious so far here today, mostly sunny, cooler temperatures and a nice stiff breeze. 

[iand61]

10 minutes ago, severe snowstorm said:

Absolutely glorious so far here today, mostly sunny, cooler temperatures and a nice stiff breeze. 

Brightened up here over the last couple of hours but showers never look far away.

some lovely autumn colours on the trees now although the rain and wind of the last couple of days has already stripped many of the leaves.

[severe snowstorm]

On 30/10/2021 at 13:07, iand61 said:

Brightened up here over the last couple of hours but showers never look far away.

some lovely autumn colours on the trees now although the rain and wind of the last couple of days has already stripped many of the leaves.

Yeah, a small corridor of showers heading your way by the looks of it. However, I think things will stay dry in this part of the region given the angle of attack from the WSW as the showers are being gobbled up by the Welsh hills/mountains.

[dodge]

Yep nice clearance now after the early rain.  Fresh and clean air too.  Good to hear the flooding of the past two days wasn't as severe as it could have been for Cumbria and western upslopes.  At least next week I won't be travelling to work in the dark...but I might be coming home with the lights on.  Make the most of the 'free' hour tonight.  The long dark nights are upon us.

[damianslaw]

34 minutes ago, dodge said:

Yep nice clearance now after the early rain.  Fresh and clean air too.  Good to hear the flooding of the past two days wasn't as severe as it could have been for Cumbria and western upslopes.  At least next week I won't be travelling to work in the dark...but I might be coming home with the lights on.  Make the most of the 'free' hour tonight.  The long dark nights are upon us.

Yes we have a sunny afternoon.. so the descent into dusk will be later than had it been an overcast wet one.. make the most of it! We won't see such light in the afternoon for a good 4 months!