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Climate Man

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Everything posted by Climate Man

  1. Climate Man
    Yes, just been looking through the output and was going to comment on the Greenland heights- Yuk. Don't worry they will disappear in around 4 months - guaranteed
  2. Climate Man
    I remember. God I'm old! Temperatures not unprecedented nor the lack of precipitation. Also the current huge diurnal range is pretty typical for the time of year. However I struggle to remember such a long period with no Atlantic. I sure it has happened a number of times but it just "feels" different.
  3. Climate Man
    Its certainly different and could almost be termed climate over that period! I wonder if we are in for a turning point towards a new future associated with changes in the Arctic. Interesting model watching looks to continue but for the purist as very benign in terms of weather.
  4. Climate Man
    Let's hope so. Just does not know when to give up. Hope for a safe return in 6 months.
  5. Climate Man
    At the beginning of the month I mentioned that residual heights over Greenland may lead to a below average April CET. Still hanging in there at month end. https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=204
  6. Climate Man
    Well the Express say it will be 42 deg F above average in a week. Translated deg Celsius above average to the F equivalent of that temperature.
  7. Climate Man
    Residual heights look to hold up over Greenland for the foreseeable on the GFS. Potential for a CET below average for April. Certainly no repeat of last year in sight.
  8. Climate Man
    UK weather forecast: 'Insane depth of cold' to end spring heat as -2C to blitz the south | Weather | News | Express.co.uk WWW.EXPRESS.CO.UK BRITAIN is bracing for an "insane depth of cold" air to strike over the Easter weekend as a forecaster has claimed temperatures could plunge to a bitter -2C in southern England. Ah, added 10 degrees to headline figure. Added an explanation of 850s too. Wonder who spotted the issues....
  9. Climate Man
    Brian Gaze and the Express don't know the difference between surface temperature and 850s. Headlines show -12 and highlighted by 850s chart
  10. Climate Man
    Most of the output is looking Bartlettesque to some extent or another and will be very difficult to shift based on historic evidence. A couple of days break needed I think.
  11. Climate Man
    I hope they have a better grasp of meteorology than that of English.
  12. Climate Man
    Not sure it will.....
  13. Climate Man
    Latest GFS is showing high pressure centred over UK. Cold nights certain if this comes off. Days feeling mild in any sunshine but 24 hour mean probably average or just below. 850s high but surface cold will develop.
  14. Climate Man
    Indeed, was explaining to wife this morning when she went to scrape non existent ice of car windscreen.....
  15. Climate Man
    -3 and no visible frost. Dew point -10!!
  16. Climate Man
    Don't disagree, was referring to a snapshot of day 10. Hopefully this is something to watch in the upcoming output.
  17. Climate Man
    ECM certainly has a spring like look to it in the latter stages. If it stays clear, a large diurnal range. Feeling mild in the afternoon sun but sharp frosts overnight. Surface cold yes but deep cold looks just out of reach currently.
  18. Climate Man
    Coldest February temperature since 1955 so yes historical.
  19. Climate Man
    Just shows how long a week is in weather watching and we get so hung up on output well beyond this.
  20. Climate Man
    There are some good baby steps on GFS and Meto. Particularly like wedge to our North at day 6 on Meto. Potential....
  21. Climate Man
    All out now and looks OK, certainly for our region. Looking forward to next output now.
  22. Climate Man
    Fantasy Island, not real.
  23. Climate Man
    Ok thanks!
  24. Climate Man
    This was issued in the night last night This afternoon's update is key.
  25. Climate Man
    Sorry if this shouldn't be here but is vital to the model discussion this morning. Both MO extend and BBC TV go for extended cold. Never have I seen such a conflict. Met model and extended are chalk and cheese. Is Glosea markedly different?
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