Wilma

[Gray-Wolf]

Very sleepy this a.m. and so's Wilma by the sounds of things, I wonder when she'll rouse herself from her slumber and if she'll open her eye all invigorated or, like me' needing another 2 hrs at least!!!.

There was talk of two replacement eye walls one much further out than the other, will the second one join the 'new one' before it forms or does this 'second one' wait in the wings until she undergoes a second Eyewall Replacement Cycle?

Wilma seems to be keeping to the south and west of her 'forcast track' which seems to run her into Yukatan proper. I don't think that this encounter with land can be good for her in her current state! If she survives with any strength it'll make a mess of the predicted tracks I feel. (west panhandle, got a feelin' in me water )

Edited October 20, 2005 by Gray-Wolf

[Hurricane Debby]

UPDATED: 10:50 PM EDT, October 19, 2005

HURRICANE WILMA NOW "BACK" TO CAT-4 BUT FORECAST TO REGAIN CAT-5 INTENSITY

The NHC shows that Wilma is now around 155 mph- a category four hurricane- just barely. While this is good news, it is forecast to regain intensity and become a category five again tomorrow. This means that people along the Yucatan Peninsula need to be ready in case the extremely dangerous core of Wilma makes landfall there. Appropriate warnings have been posted for Mexico. As for Florida, the forecast has not changed much- Wilma is expected to make landfall perhaps on Sunday and then race off in to the Atlantic. There are some indications that Wilma could affect New England- but the NHC does not idicate this on their 11pm advisory. The slower overall motion of Wilma buys the people of south Florida more time- but I hope people do not relax and think the danger is less- it is still very real and Wilma needs to be taken seriously.

[Kain]

Looks like the eye is reforming,

Kain

[SnowBear]

djm, where did you get that from ?

155mph+ is a Cat 5, I think the author of that piece either meant 150mph (from the NHC reports, see below) which is a high Cat 4 or 155mph (not sure where they got this from) which is Cat5 "just barely".

Latest Public Advisory

000

WTNT34 KNHC 200835

TCPAT4

BULLETIN

HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER  20

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

4 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2005

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA HEADING TOWARD THE YUCATAN

PENSINSULA...FOR NOW....

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO PUNTA ALLEN ON

THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN COASTS OF THE

YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN.  A TROPICAL STORM

WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN

AND WESTERN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO

CELESTUN.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE

YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO PUNTA GRUESA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PUNTA ALLEN

TO CHETUMAL MEXICO...AND FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO

SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA

HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF

YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE

PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE

ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE

HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD

CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED

WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO

COMPLETION.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.0 WEST OR ABOUT  195 MILES...

315 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS STILL MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13

KM/HR WITH SOME WOBBLES OF THE EYE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  A

TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING

THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES...110 KM...

FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE

RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 900 MB...26.58 INCHES.

IF THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7-10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE

EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF

10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN

PENINSULA...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 25 INCHES PARTICULARLY IN

MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS CUBA THROUGH FRIDAY.  ADDITIONAL

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO

8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN

ISLAND...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF HONDURAS THROUGH TODAY.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...18.3 N... 85.0 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150

MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 900 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM

CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

Latest Discussion

000

WTNT44 KNHC 200836

TCDAT4

HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  20

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2005

AS ANTICIPATED...WILMA IS GOING THROUGH THE WEAKENING PHASE OF AN

EYEWALL CYCLE. THIS IS BASED ON MICROWAVE DATA AND OBSERVATIONS

FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WHICH REPORTED EXCELLENT RADAR

PRESENTATION OF CONCENTRIC EYEWALLS OF 4 AND 40 N MI IN DIAMETER

RESPECTIVELY. THE PLANE ALSO OBSERVED TWO MAXIMUM WIND BANDS...ONE

WITH WINDS OF 121 KNOTS...AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 903 MB MEASURED

BY A SONDE...BUT WITH 23 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE. THE PRESSURE COULD

THEN BE A FEW MILLIBARS LOWER. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT

THE CLOUD PATTERN IS NOT AS SPECTACULAR AS IT WAS 12 TO 18 HOURS

AGO AND IN FACT...THE EYE IS OBSCURED AT THIS TIME. THE INITIAL

INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED DOWN TO 130 KNOTS. THIS MAY BE AN OVERESTIMATE

SINCE THE MAXIMUM WINDS REPORTED SO FAR ARE 121 KNOTS. HOWEVER...WE

ARE ASSUMING THAT THE PLANE HAS NOT SAMPLED THE ENTIRE CIRCULATION.

WE DO NOT KNOW EXACTLY WHEN AND IF THE STRENGTHENING PHASE OF THE

EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE WILL BEGIN. SINCE IT IS ASSUMED THAT IT

WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...RE-INTENSIFICATION IS

FORECAST DURING THIS PERIOD. I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF WE SEE THE

FORMATION OF A LARGE EYE LATER TODAY. THEREAFTER...A PORTION OF THE

CIRCULATION WILL BE INTERACTING WITH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND

THERE WILL BE INCREASING WIND SHEAR. WILMA SHOULD THEN BEGIN A

STEADY WEAKENING TREND.

THE EXPECTED NORTHWEST TURN HAS NOT MATERIALIZED YET AND THE AVERAGE

MOTION OF WILMA IS STILL 295 DEGREES AT 7 KNOTS. HOWEVER...THE

NORTHWEST MOTION SHOULD BEGIN SOON AS THE SHORT WAVE OVER THE WEST

CENTRAL UNITED STATES ADVANCES RAPIDLY EASTWARD.  THIS WAVE IS

EXPECTED TO CREATE A WEAKNESS OVER THE GULF OE MEXICO AND WILMA

SHOULD TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH TOWARD THE WEAKNESS. THE

SHORT-WAVE IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY AND BRING THE WESTERLY FLOW SOUTH

ENOUGH TO CARRY WILMA TOWARD THE NORTHEAST.  BEFORE THE WESTERLIES

BECOME ESTABLISHED...THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAK.

WILMA WILL LIKELY MEANDER FOR A DAY OR SO OVER NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN

OR THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BEFORE TAKING OFF TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AS IN

A TYPICAL RECURVATURE PATTERN.

TRACK GUIDANCE IS SHOWING THE USUAL VARIABILITY BUT THE OVERALL

MODEL CONSENSUS IS TO KEEP WILMA MOVING VERY SLOWLY NEAR OR OVER

NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS AND THEN SHARPLY TURNING

THE HURRICANE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. IT IS FAIR TO SAY THAT BY DAY

FIVE...WILMA SHOULD BEGIN TO ACQUIRE EXTRATROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS

BY JUDGING THE EXPANSION OF THE WIND FIELD AND THE FRONTAL LIKE

MOISTURE PATTERN IN MODELS.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      20/0900Z 18.3N  85.0W  130 KT

12HR VT    20/1800Z 18.9N  85.8W  135 KT

24HR VT    21/0600Z 20.0N  86.5W  145 KT

36HR VT    21/1800Z 21.0N  87.0W  145 KT

48HR VT    22/0600Z 22.0N  86.5W  125 KT

72HR VT    23/0600Z 24.0N  84.5W  110 KT

96HR VT    24/0600Z 27.0N  80.0W    80 KT

120HR VT    25/0600Z 37.1N  70.0W    65 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

[Hurricane Debby]

Hi snowbear - that comes from Hurricane Track - I post his updates often but don't know if he is perhaps a good source ??

[I can't believe it's not better]

Morning folks

And your answer Sue

Source:http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/C5c.html

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Hi snowbear. I didn't understand till I read the source. 5-20*10^13 watts!

[Ryan M]

I haven't tuned in as much of this Hurricane, but has it made landfall yet?

Also its shocking that there hasn't been alot of coverage on FOX

(EDIT = just realised that it hasn't even made it past the Caribbean, just made myself look like a right spoon there )

Edited October 20, 2005 by Ryan M

[SnowBear]

Hi snowbear. I didn't understand till I read the source. 5-20*10^13 watts!

rate of 5 to 20x1013 watts

copied directly from the source.

Lol, I copied that straight over but it takes the x and superscript 13 out, thanks I can't believe, didnt realise it had done that

it is indeed, 5 - 20, times 10, to the power of 13!

Ok djm, I am sure Mark is usually ok for reports and stuff, maybe a hastily made report if he is heading to FL and going to try and be at landfall as he was for Katrina etc, I must look through on his site and see if he tracked down his cases of equipment he had sited about in Katrina.

He lost 3 I think it was..some chained!

[londonsnow]

apologies if someone has already mentioned this on the latest sat loop there looks like another TD has formed way wsw of wilma. infact it almost looks like it has an eye. is this alpha?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

[Gray-Wolf]

The further away from the ridge of HP Wilma gets the less chance (IMO) she has of doing her 'steep' right turn to bring her over Florida and the more chance of her taking a more northerly track before her turn occurs which ,to me, means trawling the whole of the gulf coast before going in at the western end of the 'panhandle' after this I haven't a clue! (as to whether the system decays and travels inland or pops out to sea over SC)

[Gray-Wolf]

apologies if someone has already mentioned this on the latest sat loop there looks like another TD has formed way wsw of wilma. infact it almost looks like it has an eye. is this alpha?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

this was the feature we were watching on the old thread and was mooted as possibly becoming alpha.

It has travelled from the African coast since sunday I think and has kept 'busy' all the way across. I've not seen any suggestion of rotation within the mass but thats not to say some might develop. Thanks for the reminder!!!

[crimsone]

this was the feature we were watching on the old thread and was mooted as possibly becoming alpha.

It has travelled from the African coast since sunday I think and has kept 'busy' all the way across. I've not seen any suggestion of rotation within the mass but thats not to say some might develop. Thanks for the reminder!!!

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

I'm not seeing much rotation in it, but if it has/will form into a tropical storm, it better stay where it is to stand any chance of becoming a TS soon.

If another tropical storm or hurricane immediately follows the track of another hurricane, it runs over seas with far less heat in them. It takes a little time before the heat of the ocean 'equalises' again.

[londonsnow]

I'm not seeing much rotation in it, but if it has/will form into a tropical storm, it better stay where it is to stand any chance of becoming a TS soon.

If another tropical storm or hurricane immediately follows the track of another hurricane, it runs over seas with far less heat in them. It takes a little time before the heat of the ocean 'equalises' again.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

is "a little time" a matter of days or weeks?

[crimsone]

is "a little time" a matter of days or weeks?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Good question... very well presented... deserves an answer...

...I don't know

I'm sure somebody else has an idea though. I can only guess that it depends on the strength of the currents and on the time of year.

[Sue Bates]

Why don't they fly over he top of Wilma and drop some bombs on the eye before it makes landfall????

[Gray-Wolf]

Good question... very well presented... deserves an answer...

...I don't know

I'm sure somebody else has an idea though. I can only guess that it depends on the strength of the currents and on the time of year.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

The patch of water that has spawned Wilma is in a circulatory 'loop' of very warm water. Prior to the formation of Wilma it'd been 'steaming away' for weeks sending a tropical plume of moisture North, it was only (as I understand it) that the upper air became more favourable to development that interupted this plume and let Wilma form. If the feature now zipping in lands up over this southern cuban warm water 'loop', and other factors are favourable to formation, then I'd imagine she'd be ready to 'go' straight away.( please correct me if I have this all wrong!!! Danger, learning curve approaching!!!! )

[crimsone]

Your question was answered on the previous page Sue. In case you don't want to read it, in brief it's because dropping even a nuclear bomb on it would hardly make any difference, and even if it did it would be an environmental disaster.

[londonsnow]

Your question was answered on the previous page Sue. In case you don't want to read it, in brief it's because dropping even a nuclear bomb on it would hardly make any difference, and even if it did it would be an environmental disaster.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

yes i have to say dropping nuclear bombs on wilma is a ridiculous idea. an enviromental catastrophe as you say

[crimsone]

Ah, I hadn't counted on it being a constantly refreshing warm 'loop'. I hadn't even known about the possibility!

The reason for my assertion was that once they get going, hurricanes quite litterally suck a substantial track of heat up through their eye (there was a case where a hurricane crossed the immediate 'wake' of another hurricane and became weak over the colder water)

However, if it's a loop in that area, I think GW is probably right. (thanks GW)

Edited October 20, 2005 by crimsone

[Mondy]

Why don't they fly over he top of Wilma and drop some bombs on the eye before it makes landfall????

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

50,000 sand bags would be cheaper

Afternoon all.. Wilma still on track for Florida, i see!

Am surprised the NE turn hasn't occured yet...doesn't bode well for the Yucatan at the mo..

Also noticed one of the buoys in the Yucatan Basin recorded near 30ft waves

[Mondy]

TCPAT4

BULLETIN

HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

7 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2005

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA CONTINUES TOWARD THE YUCATAN

PENSINSULA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO PUNTA ALLEN ON

THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE

NORTHERN AND WESTERN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN

FELIPE TO CELESTUN.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE

YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO PUNTA GRUESA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PUNTA ALLEN

TO CHETUMAL MEXICO...AND FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO

SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA

HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF

YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE

PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE

ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE

HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD

CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED

WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO

COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...

285 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...12 KM/HR. A

TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...230

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING

THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...

FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE

RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 910 MB...26.87 INCHES.

IF THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7-10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE

EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF

10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN

PENINSULA...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 25 INCHES PARTICULARLY IN

MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS CUBA THROUGH FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO

8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN

ISLAND...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF HONDURAS THROUGH TODAY.

REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.3 N... 85.2 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145

MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 910 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL

HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Edited October 20, 2005 by Mondy

[Polar Bear]

50,000 sand bags would be cheaper  

Afternoon all.. Wilma still on track for Florida, i see!

Am surprised the NE turn hasn't occured yet...doesn't bode well for the Yucatan at the mo..

Also noticed one of the buoys in the Yucatan Basin recorded near 30ft waves

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Hi Mondy

Where do you get the buoy data from?

[crimsone]

Also noticed one of the buoys in the Yucatan Basin recorded near 30ft waves

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Ah. Now THAT'S a problem! If it's a 30 foot surge (including wave height) in the west carribean, it could be much higher over the GoM. If it did get any higher, it would probably be better described as a 'pseudo tsunami'.

[Mondy]

Hi Mondy

Where do you get the buoy data from?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

http://www.net-weather.co.uk/forum/index.php?showtopic=21589

Titled Buoy Data

[Polar Bear]

http://www.net-weather.co.uk/forum/index.php?showtopic=21589

Titled Buoy Data

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

thanks Mondy and just as I wrote that I saw the link on the Wilma links for bouy data - derhhhhh.