January CET

[Koppite]

I think it will be below average, so 2.6c for me please.

Edited January 1, 2009 by RUSS L.F.C.

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

Late i know...I hedge my bets and say 2c

BFTP

[Evening thunder]

late aswell but ill have a go at 2.6c

[SMU]

2.2c

a little late from me-

S

[Snowyowl9]

Thought I'd be clever and wait until the last minute for the models to sort themselves out a bit!

More confused than ever now. So going for a conservative 3.8c.

Hope I'm wrong and its much lower of course.

Happy New Year to all NW members.

Best wishes and regards,

Tom.

Happy new year to you too a very cold one.

I think even I may have gone slightly too high on this even should`ve gone below 3c but I won`t change it now,got december`s just too high aswell when I went for 4c :lol:

[Nick L]

Well I think it is very likely that we will kick off 2009 with a sub zero CET! Long may it continue!

[reef]

Apologies, a bit late from me too.

Ill go for 3.5C.

[Thundery wintry showers]

Apologies for being late again, I keep forgetting about it until the first day of the month.

I think this will be a cold January by recent standards- probably a lot of cool zonal stuff with Atlantic weather systems taking a more southerly track than we've been used to in recent winters. My guess is 3.3C.

[Polar Continental]

Another late one, at -0.3c

Paul

[tinybill]

0-3

[Albion Snowman]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/hadle.../HadCET_act.txt - Monthly Records.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt - Ranking months in order (coldest first).

A repeat of Januray 1795 would be wonderful.

Ah thats fantastic! Thanks very much Supercell! Jan 1795 would be wonderful but a CET in negative numbers would suffice for me!

[SLEETY]

1.6c

[Jack Wales]

I say 3.2.

PS, I meant to post last night but was caught up in the new years celebrations, does this excuse me from the late penalty?

Edited January 1, 2009 by Jack Wales

[Loraine Bennett]

Looking at the way things appear to be going, mines 2.1c

[kold weather]

Looks like the first day of Jan will turn out to be about -1.5C, which is a decent start to the month and we will see temps close to 0C at least for the next 7 days, beyond that and we just have to see!

[Guest North Sea Snow Convection]

Looking at the way things appear to be going, mines 2.1c

Loraine, substitute the 'e' in 'mines' to a 'u' and you have an even more appealing CET punt!

[Nick L]

January kicks off with a CET of -1.0c =]

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

[Weather-history]

January kicks off with a CET of -1.0c =]

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

To show the impact of the negative start, someone like Craig Evans who went for 8.0 is now effectively going for 8.3 over 30 days.

[Bottesford]

I think 3.9C but i hope its considerably lower than that!

PS-This may seem a stupid/novicey question but could someone direct me to a website that has previous CETs for the UK from the last few months etc? I used to be able to find it on the MO site but its elusive now!

Thanks

<Shameless plug>See the link to CETAnalyser in my signature... Bit easier to get what you're after than a big text list of numbers!</Shameless plug>

[Nick L]

To show the impact of the negative start, someone like Craig Evans who went for 8.0 is now effectively going for 8.3 over 30 days.

Considering that we are having a week of below or well below average. As you said, it would require every day for the remains of January to be well above average which - even today - is a tall order.

[kold weather]

Well we are going to get at least 7 days where the CET will be averaging close to 0C, what happens after that is uncertain but a slow change to milder conditons over the month does seem probable but the speed of the change is what will decide the CET outcome of course.

[Optimus Prime]

Current CET upto 1st is -1.0c. The period 2nd-5th looks to average -0.5c. CET by the 5th should be -0.6c. Coldest start to January since 1997.

[Supercell]

Current CET upto 1st is -1.0c. The period 2nd-5th looks to average -0.5c. CET by the 5th should be -0.6c. Coldest start to January since 1997.

With Januarys such as 1940 and 1963, as examples, coming out at -1.4C and -2.1C respectively. I find it difficult to imagine ever experiencing such constant cold over a month with where we are after two days, or will be after five.

Edited January 2, 2009 by Supercell

[Stratos Ferric]

When you see January such as 1940 and 1963 as examples, coming out at -1.4C and -2.1C

I wouldn't hold your breath...

[Supercell]

I wouldn't hold your breath...

You were far too quick to reply, SF. I accidently hit the submit button half-way through my post.

I find it particularly difficult to imagine such cold, being born at the beginning of the christmas pudding - Dec 1988.