East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion

[Kent Snow]

Still sub zero here but no precipitation. Still a fair distance away from looking at the NW radar.

[Damp and dreary]

Ladies and gentlemen, the snow has started in Eastbourne!!!!!

You sure matey?! still rain in Kingfisher Drive!

[yamkin]

wooooohoooo huge flakes

Please add your location to your profile

[The Giant Daddy Jackpot]

I can hardly contain my excitement, been watching the forums(and models)since before xmas waiting for this moment, and finally my (im)patience looks like being rewarded with bells on

It's a bit of an anti climax. When it's over, the high has gone!

[remymartin]

AAGGGHHH its not gonna make it

KIMPTON north herts

[Snowangel-MK]

Light Snow in Milton Keynes, very light at first but now visible via the medium of LAMPOST!

Just noticed it too !!

I'm so excited

[Dave Clarke]

Paul Blight's latest synoptic analysis (From UKww )

Juicy bit highlighted

19Z Update

Developments now taking shape as the strong upper trough comes SE and low pressure begins to develop along it. Upper circulation centre is tracking south nr Sea Area Lundy and is bringing more Sleet / Hail and Snow onshore across the SW. Elsewhere the Barometer is falling and that Low pressure is developing in Sea Area Portland around 999mbs. The Frontal Structure is beginning to get more organised and its becoming more transparent as to the evolution. The front coming south across N England and N Wales is effectively going to merge with the southern frontal zone and will essentially develop into a curled occlusion type structure over the next 6 hrs. This rotating ENE in the South and drawing south across Wales, West Midlands to eventually become more ENE/WSW with time.

Warmer air and assoc higher WBPT and WBFL's have been drawn NE ahead of the front - but away from the coasts the precip is heavy enough for snow to penetrate after a short while. Heavy Snow now occurring across Inland Hampshire and towards Surrey and Berkshire. This pushing NE towards London and the Home Counties this evening and tonight where the ECM and GFS now indicate the heaviest snow will occur.

Matching Radar to Model expectations indicates the T+6 frame from the NAE is OK as is the ECM and GFS, therefore there is reasonable confidence in the forecast tonight. The front psuhing NE and also developing and revolving around to become more arc shaped overnight from Bristol to Oxford to the Chilterns to Sussex. Parts of CS England incl Dorset now look likely to miss most of the activity tonight, though we need to keep a careful eye on Radar as further bands develop and also exactly where the low pressure develops. Heaviest Snowfall around 20-30cm from Surrey, Berks into Bucks and the Chilterns, this includes the M4, M3, M40 corridors i highlighted this morning.

During tomorrow the low retreats south and the band which forms and pushes into the M4 corridor will push SSE and at the same time, further convergence type activity will form over the Channel and push NW towards the South Coast, Models are keen to keep Snow going through much of tomorrow in Southern and CS England, though the EcM just seen is far less keen on this and prefers to fizzle the front out over Southern England without the frictional convergence zone boosting precip amounts. It would be interesting to see the new High Res 16KM ECWMF's take on this...

Definitely a very noteworthy Snow event developing over Southern England with many areas seeing 5-10cm and some places seeing 20-30cm, Areas west of London seeing the highest totals most likely.

More Snow comes into the East on Thursday assoc with another low.

The Latest ECMWF keeps the cold weather going for at least the next 10 days and the UKMO GM is equally blocked right through to day 6. The GFS has a very different pressure pattern over the Western Atlantic which seems to impact things beyond day 5

The ECM has further heavy Snow at times over various parts of the UK right through the next 10 days...

Tomorrow morning starts with the Snow across The Home Counties

[Optimus Prime]

Well you could've guessed...heavy snow. About 3 inches so far.

[SnowAngel]

Snowing heavily with big fat flakes here in the Chilterns.

[dubmuffin]

Your near me, I am just up the hill on the border of Banstead, exciting times as ahead

Yes not far away, you always do even better up that way - not long now huh?

[Damp and dreary]

Locations are missing to save space I guess. YOU HAVE TO SAY WHERE YOU ARE WHEN YOU POST

Jan

Lol! Any chance you can put your location in your profile yourself then please?! :-)

Edited because ive just heard the locations are turned off again, Doh!

Edited January 5, 2010 by jasonuk

[Coast]

Ahhhh, I don't know where anyone is from!

We've had to turn that feature off to keep the forum running in this extreme traffic situation. It would help if people could just mention where they are when they post snow reports please

[Updraft]

upset now... looks like very little will reach East Kent... as was predicted... Better luck tomorrow?

[Tom D]

I've had it with this forum now - some people saying it won't move from it's current position, some saying it's going to do a GFS, I'm going to play a game for a break now.

See you in a couple of hours!

LOCATION: Ware, Hertfordshire

Edited January 5, 2010 by Tommyd1258

[simon65]

Lol! Any chance you can put your location in your profile yourself then please?! :-)

no ones location is being displayed

[snowbob]

still staring at the lampost here nothing yet (come) on lol

[Matt12]

Looks very promising now for East Herts according to the latest met office rainfall radar imo.

[Neilsouth]

upset now... looks like very little will reach East Kent... as was predicted... Better luck tomorrow?

Just keep an eye on the precipitation in the channel moving into south east(sussex) e.t.c

[Ruislipredbee]

Some members can you please put your location on your profile box under your name

its to hard work out where your location is so other members can see if the snow is nearby too them.

Sorry its a fault with the site i think!!!????

Edited January 5, 2010 by dicksonrangers

[jojobut]

sorry i'm in Burgess hill west sussex.., though it come up by user name

[Jan_Bromley]

Paul Blight's latest synoptic analysis (From UKww )

Juicy bit highlighted

19Z Update

Developments now taking shape as the strong upper trough comes SE and low pressure begins to develop along it. Upper circulation centre is tracking south nr Sea Area Lundy and is bringing more Sleet / Hail and Snow onshore across the SW. Elsewhere the Barometer is falling and that Low pressure is developing in Sea Area Portland around 999mbs. The Frontal Structure is beginning to get more organised and its becoming more transparent as to the evolution. The front coming south across N England and N Wales is effectively going to merge with the southern frontal zone and will essentially develop into a curled occlusion type structure over the next 6 hrs. This rotating ENE in the South and drawing south across Wales, West Midlands to eventually become more ENE/WSW with time.

Warmer air and assoc higher WBPT and WBFL's have been drawn NE ahead of the front - but away from the coasts the precip is heavy enough for snow to penetrate after a short while. Heavy Snow now occurring across Inland Hampshire and towards Surrey and Berkshire. This pushing NE towards London and the Home Counties this evening and tonight where the ECM and GFS now indicate the heaviest snow will occur.

Matching Radar to Model expectations indicates the T+6 frame from the NAE is OK as is the ECM and GFS, therefore there is reasonable confidence in the forecast tonight. The front psuhing NE and also developing and revolving around to become more arc shaped overnight from Bristol to Oxford to the Chilterns to Sussex. Parts of CS England incl Dorset now look likely to miss most of the activity tonight, though we need to keep a careful eye on Radar as further bands develop and also exactly where the low pressure develops. Heaviest Snowfall around 20-30cm from Surrey, Berks into Bucks and the Chilterns, this includes the M4, M3, M40 corridors i highlighted this morning.

During tomorrow the low retreats south and the band which forms and pushes into the M4 corridor will push SSE and at the same time, further convergence type activity will form over the Channel and push NW towards the South Coast, Models are keen to keep Snow going through much of tomorrow in Southern and CS England, though the EcM just seen is far less keen on this and prefers to fizzle the front out over Southern England without the frictional convergence zone boosting precip amounts. It would be interesting to see the new High Res 16KM ECWMF's take on this...

Definitely a very noteworthy Snow event developing over Southern England with many areas seeing 5-10cm and some places seeing 20-30cm, Areas west of London seeing the highest totals most likely.

More Snow comes into the East on Thursday assoc with another low.

The Latest ECMWF keeps the cold weather going for at least the next 10 days and the UKMO GM is equally blocked right through to day 6. The GFS has a very different pressure pattern over the Western Atlantic which seems to impact things beyond day 5

The ECM has further heavy Snow at times over various parts of the UK right through the next 10 days...

Tomorrow morning starts with the Snow across The Home Counties

Thanks for that Dave. You in disguise today?? Different piccy n stuff

[Petrina]

None in Deal, and according to all forcasts none likely to appear

[Dave Clarke]

Some members can you please put your location on your profile box under your name

its to hard work out where your location is so other members can see if the snow is nearby too them.

That feature's been turned off to give the server a break!

[Neilsouth]

Some members can you please put your location on your profile box under your name

its to hard work out where your location is so other members can see if the snow is nearby too them.

THE LOCATION UNDER THE PROFILE BOX HAS BEEN TURNED OFF

Please POST IN YOUR SIGNATURE OR MENTION IT IN EVERY POST

[HighPressure]

Yes not far away, you always do even better up that way - not long now huh?

Well its painfull to watch as you can't get much closer than this: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/pws/invent/weatherradar/