Midlands Cold Spell Discussion

[Nick L]

That is simply insane, tell you what I would get a lot of rain in Chichester BUT I'd love to see that run comes off just to see something exceptional...I think to be honest that would even kick the 5-6th Jan event into touch if that 18z came off...insane!!!

As I said in the model thread, IF the 18z was right you'd be looking at 40-60cms quite widely...utterly...mental!

And probably a snowy outlier as well to boot!

Was that a ramp there KW? And you don't even live in the Midlands Fantastic, this better come off now, I could do with an extended half term.

[Costa Del Fal]

As rightly said in the Welsh thread... THIS IS MODEL PORN. Lmao.

Virtually every frame deserves saving.

Edited February 19, 2010 by Blizzards

[saint]

Good luck guys!

Maybe you could share it with your nice neighbours down here?

[Costa Del Fal]

Maybe this week could be the one to show that the South East doest bag it all every time. Sorry KW.

Edited February 19, 2010 by Blizzards

[Supercell]

I've seen this before... Precip intensity can be overdone and / or the LP center, along with the associated mild sector, shunted northerwards. Hard not to be excited because the GFS 18Z is a snowfest for some, but northward movement could scupper things. It's precariously poised at this early stage and massive changes can still take place.

[BarnetBlizzard]

Maybe this week could be the one to show that the South East doest bag it all every time. Sorry KW.

Getting a bit tiring actually, because alot of the south-east has seen very little this winter.

[Nick L]

This is what the Met Office warnings map will look for every day next week:

[Costa Del Fal]

This is what the Met Office warnings map will look for every day next week:

Shouldnt that be the Take action red or is it so severe that even the warnings themselves blanketed in snow thus making them white?

[saint]

Snowmagedon level 10 colour black!!!!!!!!!!!! "Breaking news, Midlands has been lost forever" ;) (Actually would that be a bad thing? Just joking!)

Edited February 19, 2010 by saint

[Nick L]

Shouldnt that be the Take action red or is it so severe that even the warnings themselves blanketed in snow thus making them white?

Well, I was originally going to make them red, but unfortunately everytime I tried to colour them red Paint decided to do it grey instead. But I changed it to it being so snowy that you could see the snow on the warning maps...

[Guest FireStorm]

I'm probably an intruder into these parts of the world but if the charts verify you folks have a massive snowfest ahead of you!!! Way to go and hope the charts do verify for you all

[Supercell]

Shouldnt that be the Take action red or is it so severe that even the warnings themselves blanketed in snow thus making them white?

The snow's that bad that there is not a single functioning observation station left in the midlands. They're all buried.

[Ben_Cambs]

Snowmagedon level 10 colour black!!!!!!!!!!!! :p "Breaking news, Midlands has been lost forever" ;)

A great headline would be this:

Midlands hit by 1 foot and a half of snowfall.... SNOWMAGGEADON IN LONDON, CHOAS and DAYS OF DISRUPTION AFTER ONE INCH OF SNOWFALL!!!!!!!

[saint]

A great headline would be this:

Midlands hit by 1 foot and a half of snowfall.... SNOWMAGGEADON IN LONDON, CHOAS and DAYS OF DISRUPTION AFTER ONE INCH OF SNOWFALL!!!!!!!

;) I can see it now!

(Actually don't you mean "Midlands hit by 3 foot of snowfall"? )

[loopydreamer]

As rightly said in the Welsh thread... THIS IS MODEL PORN. Lmao.

Virtually every frame deserves saving.

well guys! Whilst u lot were enjoying the snow yesterday i was staying with mum and dad in kent where it decided to chuck it down with freezing rain! suffice to say i was a little gutted! i was amazed to see the lying snow when we were driving back at lunchtime today!

i am happy to see from the latest models that i may not have missed the last snow event this winter for the west midlands after all! COME ON!!!!! BRING IT ON!!!!

[azores92]

de ja vu of last night, anyone?

[NorthantsSnow]

Absolutely EXTRAORDINARY 18z. Seriously, this could be an epic week for snow, not just for 2010 but by any standard. We're talking very high up on the severity scale.

If the 18z is even remotely close to the actual outcome then there's going to be a lot of happy snow fans in this region come next week!

[Paranoid]

What day is the 18z for? I had a look at one of the earlier charts but i couldn't see a date on it.

Edited February 19, 2010 by Paranoid

[Higher Ground]

If GFS 18z comes off maybe a new thread will have to be started this summer for "Snow patches surviving on Midland hills", let alone the traditional Scottish mountains one..... 10 foot drifts anyone?! (Already got 1ft drifts here on Beacon Hill, another 9ft to go lol)

That's my ramp anyway. I know in reality by midweek there will be the familiar sound of rain lashing against the window......

[Gord]

The showers to the west are dying out as thought. Somewhere like Hereford or even Worcester might see a little light snow in the next couple of hours. Closest we've come all day though.

As for tonight's model output...in the same way that last weekend I said that i can't believe a snow event won't happen until i see the output the night before, even though the output wasn't that good...i'd better stay consistent and say the same but for the other way around.

Keeping my feet on the ground for now...(while i can see the ground!)

Edited February 19, 2010 by Gord

[kold weather]

Ok time to bring this thread down a peg or two, the GFS ensebles are NOT even close to suggesting what the 18z op run suggests, indeed many many runs give you guys rain, and a lot take this low well NW of where both the ECM and the GFS 18z has it, in fact they are overall possibly even worse then the 12z UKMO.

Hopefully the 0z sees both the UKMO/Ens come on board with the snowier evolution suggested by the GFS/ECM.

[A.J]

Ok time to bring this thread down a peg or two, the GFS ensebles are NOT even close to suggesting what the 18z op run suggests, indeed many many runs give you guys rain, and a lot take this low well NW of where both the ECM and the GFS 18z has it, in fact they are overall possibly even worse then the 12z UKMO.

Hopefully the 0z sees both the UKMO/Ens come on board with the snowier evolution suggested by the GFS/ECM.

Thank you Darren, the voice of sanity....the vast majority of these snow events are T+96 onwards...Pure FI....Still, makes for plenty of midland snowgasms!!

[andy_leics22]

Hey peeps, well I am back home in Leicester now. I arrived back at 4pm to be greeted by a blizzard like snow shower

I took some pics on the way back from South Wales on the coach, I took a pic of the snow in Tredegar and also near Hereford and I took a picture of the 50p size snowflake shower when I got home.

There was around 2 inches in Tredegar and 3-5 inches in the hills around Hereford. Only snow on the grass in Leicester when I got home, that heavy shower settled even on wet ground though because it was intense.

[Higher Ground]

Hey peeps, well I am back home in Leicester now. I arrived back at 4pm to be greeted by a blizzard like snow shower

I took some pics on the way back from South Wales on the coach, I took a pic of the snow in Tredegar and also near Hereford and I took a picture of the 50p size snowflake shower when I got home.

There was around 2 inches in Tredegar and 3-5 inches in the hills around Hereford. Only snow on the grass in Leicester when I got home, that heavy shower settled even on wet ground though because it was intense.

Nice pics thanks

[andy_leics22]

Nice pics thanks

No problem Not bad for a 3 megapixel phone camera that is over 2 years old