East Midlands Regional Discussion 18th January 2013, 12z onwards

[Polar Maritime]

Been snowing all night here, and light snow still persists, depth of around 30 cm with some drifts 1m in the fields. Temp -1.6c

[shaky]

Can anyone post the ecmwf precipitation charts for tomorrows snow event! Just curious to see if its slightly further west or further east compared to ukmo/gfs!!

[Terminal Moraine]

Continuous light-moderate snow grains here. Just under 19cm of level snow with drifts of 30-60cm, a few up to 100cm. The trees are covered in rime due to freezing fog earlier today and the temperature is -2.0c.

All in all quite acceptable.

I'll be awaiting the 06 NMM with interest; the 00z indicated another 10-12 cm of snow here by about midnight on Monday from the system moving up from the south; hopefully that will be maintained. The last time we had 30cm of lying snow in January was 1987 so the next occasion is long overdue.

Edit; just seen the NMM 06z and it continues to suggest another 10-12 cm of snow for the Peak District by the early hours of Monday. I'll now wait to see how the Met' Office warnings are updated.

Edited January 19, 2013 by Terminal Moraine

[Bolton67]

Latest NMM precip update, not the best. shows most of the heavy stuff going into East Anglia.

[mayflower232]

Drizzle here in Nottingham...

[kmanmx]

Sunday is basically off then judging by NAE and NMM. Looks like we only get skimmed by the light stuff ?

Edited January 19, 2013 by kmanmx

[shaky]

Well to be honest its not looking to bad tomorrow!!after looking at the nmm model we at least get a couple of hours of moderate snowfall!!better than nothing!!

[Bolton67]

Sunday is basically off then judging by NAE and NMM. Looks like we only get skimmed by the light stuff ?

Looks like Northants and leicestershire and Nottinghamshire will start off just catching some of the heavier stuff. East Notts may hold for a while later.

16:00 HOURS tomorrow.

http://nwstatic.co.u...2744c60a521f29;

[Terminal Moraine]

The latest Met' Office warnings are not too hopeful for this area regarding the snow on Sunday night although they do qualify the forecast by saying that the northern and western extent of the snow is uncertain.

Perhaps only a couple of cm here then despite the indications from the NMM high resolution model; one in which I normally place a good deal of faith regarding precipitation amounts.

[SL7]

I'd window watch and follow the forum than look at met office and bbc warning and forecasts. It snowed for 5hrs + on Thursday and no snow was forecast by met office. It was forecast for light snow yesterday by met office and suffice to say the snow was not light!

I'm not complaining, I understand snow is not easy to forecast.

[snow freak]

so can south northamptonshire expect any substantial snow from sunday's snow event?

[shaky]

12z nae coming out shortly!!hope for a westward shift!!

[Bolton67]

Temp is starting to drop..

-0.5c

dp

-2.9c

No real great thaw today.

so can south northamptonshire expect any substantial snow from sunday's snow event?

3-5cm fingers crossed.

[TEITS]

Very good 12Z NAE for the E Midlands.

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2013/01/19/basis12/ukuk/prec/13012021_1912.gif

Surprised at the lack of comments on this latest run in some of the other regional threads.

[Bolton67]

Very good 12Z NAE for the E Midlands.

http://expert-images...012021_1912.gif

Surprised at the lack of comments on this latest run in some of the other regional threads.

Think a few of those in the East Anglia thread are worried it could become marginal? essex, etc.

[Polar Low]

Indeed, 12Z looks very good.

Light snow has been a regular feature today. No real thaw, everything looking good.

[TEITS]

Think a few of those in the East Anglia thread are worried it could become marginal? essex, etc.

I don't think tomorrow will be marginal for those in the far E/SE but it could become marginal early next week for Essex, London, Kent, Suffolk, Norfolk.

[Bolton67]

I don't think tomorrow will be marginal for those in the far E/SE but it could become marginal early next week for Essex, London, Kent, Suffolk, Norfolk.

The NMM, model had your area down for the more heavy precip.

[rock500]

The 12Z NAE seems to have shifted some of the heavier snow to the west a little again

So looks like leicester will have a top up tomorrow afternoon.

[shaky]

Yes!!!looking good again tomorrow for maybe another 5cms of snow for the east midlands!!

[Rich_T]

It appears to be raining here, with a slight thaw/melt on un treated roads and pathways.

[snow freak]

hardly any snow melt in northampton town today apart from the obvious roads where its been gritted so any received tomorrow afternoon will go on top of the snow we already have lying. Bitterly cold day though. temp hovering just below freezing now. will be a bone chilling night to come.

[Lee Jones]

BBC 24 have just ran maps out until Tuesday. After tomorrow evenings event (2-5 centimeters, although we'll be lucky to get 5 it looks pretty light stuff) fronts passes through the extreme south and to the north east (Newcastle northwards) giving snow.In the middle we seem to get stuck in the cold/dry air stream.

In other words, no snow Monday or Tuesday at least for the Midlands

Edited January 19, 2013 by Lee Jones

[lesta_snow]

BBC 24 have just ran maps out until Tuesday. After tomorrow evenings event (2-5 centimeters, although we'll be lucky to get 5 it looks pretty light stuff) fronts passes through the extreme south and to the north east (Newcastle northwards) giving snow.In the middle we seem to get stuck in the cold/dry air stream.

In other words, no snow Monday or Tuesday at least for the Midlands

I'm just going to wait and see what happens I don't like the bbc's maps, yesterday they told us there will be 2-5cm when we actually got 10cm!

[shaky]

Gfs upgrade for the midlands!!slightly heavier band of snow and it stretched into the west midlands aswell!!ukmo upgrade aswell!!

Edited January 19, 2013 by shaky