South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 19th February 2013

[chionomaniac]

First signs of an easterly here now.

The winds are coming from the east now, the temp is falling after reaching 4.9ºC at 11am and the dew point is dropping quickly. Now 0.9ºC after reaching 3.2ºC at 9am

[Neilsouth]

Cold and mostly cloudy throughout with penetrating overnight frosts. Mostly dry although occasional snow flurries are expected with slight accumulations possible in parts of Kent. Bitter easterly winds.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ct6

[SMU]

Temp & DP dropping here

Estimates 2.8c & -1c DP.

S

[Tim Bland]

I realy wouldn't get your hopes up for the next few days. Every proferssional forecast ive seen / read goes for only scattered wintry flurries. Skew-T charts etc don't allow for cloud tops to get high enough to allow anything dynamic or of any intensity. I honestly can't foresee there being many snowmen built or sledges used in the next week. Would love to be proven wrong though

[sunnijim]

Unbroken blue sky and sunshine here in Hastings,so much for the overcast easterly!

[Guest bjaykent]

My ears will be burning anyway, probably through the cold if not the 'behind my back' chatter Still could go either way, but expect nothing, be happy if you get something.

Anything it would seem will be a bonus, off out now to experience the east wind, back in later to enjoy the next set of runs I think!

[bluearmy]

I realy wouldn't get your hopes up for the next few days. Every proferssional forecast ive seen / read goes for only scattered wintry flurries. Skew-T charts etc don't allow for cloud tops to get high enough to allow anything dynamic or of any intensity. I honestly can't foresee there being many snowmen built or sledges used in the next week. Would love to be proven wrong though

Tim - there are bound to be areas of our region that will see a few inches. they may be very localised but they will exist. alas, our little backwater is not favoured.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

I'm struggling to find why there would be a reason opposing a Thames streamer cropping up. It looks exactly identical to 2009:

[Kent Snow]

Temp +3C, dew point -2C currently. Clouds broken so at least some sunshine getting through.

[Kentspur]

Yes, my area did very badly out of this event (or so I was told, as I was in Mauritius at the time ) and we've had better snow in every subsequent year.

My old man is from Mauritius:-) December is best time to go there. If we have a crap summer I will be heading there by the end of the year!

Edited February 20, 2013 by Kentspur

[Stevieray1]

I've found a local weather station online that says temp 4.6, dew point -7.2 that sounds extreme!

[chmape]

I've found a local weather station online that says temp 4.6, dew point -7.2 that sounds extreme!

i don't know how accurate this is but it shows dp of -8.1!

http://www.lovethatpenguin.com/weather/crowboroughweatherstation.html

[Coast]

Here we go:

Dew points:

[london-snow]

Afternoon all.

Another bright but cold day here in sunny south west london. Looking forward to whatever snowfall potential exists over the coming days.

Radars at the ready.

[Coast]

If you want to know what the South West's TV presenter/forecaster thinks might be afoot for the weekend:

http://forum.netweat...20#entry2615921

Still not at all certain is my précis of his post

Edited February 20, 2013 by Coast

[Snowangel-MK]

lol You never seen the Milton Keynes Dome, then?

It's hard to miss really....

[Jason T]

^{Much Improvement, Nice upgrade for snow potential Friday and Saturday.}

[chilly milly]

How do those charts show increased snow potential Jason? I don't know how to read them, unfortunately.

[CWT2012]

^{Much Improvement, Nice upgrade for snow potential Friday and Saturday.}

Saturday looks perfect for a Thames streamer there, unless I have read the chart wrong that looks like the perfect ENE flow off the continent to send a shower train from holland straight down the estuary

[snowking]

And for any of you thames streamer fans out there:

Note - that is VERY light precipitation though - we are not talking anything more than a covering

SK

^^

Still there on the 6z NMM run too

Still very light but could well see a covering into Friday morning given the very low dew points

SK

[Steve C]

How do those charts show increased snow potential Jason? I don't know how to read them, unfortunately.

They don't say a huge amount tbh - fundamentally the intensity of precipitation, from what I can see, isn't shown, which is pretty important in a snow event.

Blue symbols would be snow. Green dots must be rain or marginal - interesting how the north coasts of East Anglia change between the days here. The barbs tell you wind direction and force. The red dotted line indicates surface temperature (looks to be about zero C, unless I need glasses ) There's also sea level pressure indicated too.

[throwoff]

Stop trying to predict a streamer!

First - you can't

Second - you will curse it!

[Snowball85]

Hi all does anyone know if south london are likely to miss out over the weekend many thanks

[Snowman31]

^{Much Improvement, Nice upgrade for snow potential Friday and Saturday.}

how accurate are these charts though. Looks too good to be true.

[Kent Snow]

Mostly sunny now with only a few cumulus. So much for completely overcast conditions!