Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 22/03/13 08z ----->

A.J

By A.J
in Regional

 Share

Recommended Posts

chris55 Accomplished

chris55

Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted

Apparently EvapCooling isnt going to come into affect. ( Ian F , said something is too low for it or something yesterday. )

Either way..

Rain/Drizzle in glos.

It's effects will be less than in different conditions, the strong surface wind will inhibit the process, but to a point I still think it will play a part, as those snow reports in Coleford suggest.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

With the strong wind evaporative cooling is something that can't happen , you need a stable still atmosphere for that to take affect !

The colder uppers will be digging south now along with the easterly winds , bringing low due points , and no daylight of course !

Yes your right I have never seen an easterly wind bring daylight with it.. rofl.gifrofl.gif

Right I am off to the pub now to waste a couple of hours and see if we have any news after good.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites
alijoe Apprentice

alijoe

Posted
  • Location: Magor - South Wales
  • Location: Magor - South Wales
Posted

Snowing in places soith east wales now apparently.. i am mormally left out as right by tje new severn bridge but places quite near me now reporting snow

fingers crossed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
MrNooo Enthusiast

MrNooo

Posted
  • Location: Ampney Crucis, Nr. Cirencester
  • Location: Ampney Crucis, Nr. Cirencester
Posted

Heavy sleet here earlier although seems to have turned back to rain now, temp 2.1c.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Tipping it down in Poole, just back from Wales, my word it's a mess up there! Bloody waste of a day, basically drove there(almost) and drove straight back. 19 hours later, here I am! Was fun though in the pickup

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Bristawl Si Maestro

Bristawl Si

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
Posted

Looks GAME OVER for most of SW inc Bristol latest charts have the front going SE tomorrow and keeping us firmly in the rain band.

Agreed!

Always been v little chance for us.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Joe Levy Community Regular

Joe Levy

Posted
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
Posted

Looks GAME OVER for most of SW inc Bristol latest charts have the front going SE tomorrow and keeping us firmly in the rain band.

For this event, yes, but who knows what might turn up next week from convective activity, especially if the winds turn more north-easterly. Plus, we have at least a week of cold weather ahead of us, so that does increase the chances significantly compared to some of the shorter cold snaps of late.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
khodds Experienced

khodds

Posted
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
Posted

So after the rain clears, am I right in thinking that tomorrow is going to be dry? Haven't seen a forecast lately.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted (edited)

From the high res NASA model...

geosfr-2-18.png?22-23

Edited by Panayiotis
Link to comment
Share on other sites
fergieweather Maestro

fergieweather

Posted
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
Posted

Wont happen sadly

Hmmm. Well, we run with 5-10cm parts of Cotswolds by end Saturday and 2cm MOGREPS mean accumulation parts of northern B&NES. Still 30% PROB some further south but this signal now strengthening for London and SE, albeit stronger still to N of London... I'll test that for real going to Herts for weekend....!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
alijoe Apprentice

alijoe

Posted
  • Location: Magor - South Wales
  • Location: Magor - South Wales
Posted

i am officially fed up with snow chasing cray.gif , hoping all these let downs will get rid of this snow obsession in time for next winter, it would be so much easier if i hated the stuff.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hurricane Buckley Newbie

Hurricane Buckley

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

Hmmm. Well, we run with 5-10cm parts of Cotswolds by end Saturday and 2cm MOGREPS mean accumulation parts of northern B&NES. Still 30% PROB some further south but this signal now strengthening for London and SE, albeit stronger still to N of London... I'll test that for real going to Herts for weekend....!

I dont see it coming that far South as in terms of snow for Somerset, i hope im wrong but just not convinced enough.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Beast of Plympton Enthusiast

Beast of Plympton

Posted
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and Storms
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
Posted

Hmmm. Well, we run with 5-10cm parts of Cotswolds by end Saturday and 2cm MOGREPS mean accumulation parts of northern B&NES. Still 30% PROB some further south but this signal now strengthening for London and SE, albeit stronger still to N of London... I'll test that for real going to Herts for weekend....!

Do you know if the concerns raised by exeter are still there for next week Ian?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hurricane Buckley Newbie

Hurricane Buckley

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

Do you know if the concerns raised by exeter are still there for next week Ian?

To me it seems to be going South back into the channel, but would be interesting to hear what the professionals think.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Beast of Plympton Enthusiast

Beast of Plympton

Posted
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and Storms
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
Posted (edited)

Do you know if the concerns raised by exeter are still there for next week Ian?

Actually, can see fergie is busy on Spotlight!!

To me it seems to be going South back into the channel, but would be interesting to hear what the professionals think.

Lets hope for a correction....

Edited by Beast of Dartmoor
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

Hmmm. Well, we run with 5-10cm parts of Cotswolds by end Saturday and 2cm MOGREPS mean accumulation parts of northern B&NES. Still 30% PROB some further south but this signal now strengthening for London and SE, albeit stronger still to N of London... I'll test that for real going to Herts for weekend....!

Hi Ian, what do you/MetOffice think about the new NASA model, do you guys take it into account?
Link to comment
Share on other sites
fergieweather Maestro

fergieweather

Posted
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
Posted

Hi Ian, what do you/MetOffice think about the new NASA model, do you guys take it into account?

Yes but it has no support from EPS. However, southerly bounds are uncertain so can't be wholly dismissed, but that NCEP run seems an extreme solution.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Joe Levy Community Regular

Joe Levy

Posted
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
Posted (edited)

Do you know if the concerns raised by exeter are still there for next week Ian?

It would be nice if they were! Then we might actually get some heavy snow, rather than purely a forecast of heavy snow! biggrin.png

Edited by Joe Levy
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Beast of Plympton Enthusiast

Beast of Plympton

Posted
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and Storms
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
Posted

It would be nice if they were! Then we might actually get some heavy snow, rather than purely a forecast of heavy snow! biggrin.png

Haha!! That would be novel!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Mark Neal. Seasoned

Mark Neal.

Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
Posted

Yes but it has no support from EPS. However, southerly bounds are uncertain so can't be wholly dismissed, but that NCEP run seems an extreme solution.

5-10cm for Cotswolds. I'm in Headington,East Oxford. Surely ill see a dusting at least.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Argyle1980 Enthusiast

Argyle1980

Posted
  • Location: Truro
  • Weather Preferences: winter and summer
  • Location: Truro
Posted

It's nice to see the back of that rain , always painful to see all our rain turn to snow for everyone else north of the m4 but still it's been a crazy start to spring and just mad that we are still looking at maybe one more snow event for the south coast over Easter before we see mild air finally push north!

Can't wait till I can get the mountain bike out and take my partner to dartmoor for some camping.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
andy_leics22 Rising Star

andy_leics22

Posted
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
Posted

Bahhhh! I moved down to Abingdon in Oxfordshire in Feb and I wish I was back up in Leicester right now. Just rain here and the dew point is still above 1c.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...