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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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diddy1234 Rookie

diddy1234

Posted
  • Location: North Hertfordshire
  • Location: North Hertfordshire
Posted
3 hours ago, Lance M said:

Here's one of the good runs from yesterday, showing a line of storms moving into the South this evening, versus the 9z today on which they've completely disappeared!

Capture.thumb.JPG.621e3761e60157b03a126af65d49efa0.JPG

 

These storms are elevated and feeding off of energy in the mid-levels. There's no need for any kind of energy from the surface for their development  

Ah ok. Thanks Lance M

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Justin1705 Enthusiast

Justin1705

Posted
  • Location: Luton
  • Location: Luton
Posted (edited)

Well this westward shift is very rapid within 10/15 mins. Everyone saying Kent clipper blah blah blah. Just wait until 8pm at least. Hopefully surprise tonight 

831B57F1-DB97-4A10-8046-219DF0602B13.png

Edited by Justin1705
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Liam Burge Rising Star

Liam Burge

Posted
  • Location: Bristol // Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bristol // Bridgwater
Posted (edited)

I'm hoping to get something tonight, however the closer it gets the more unlikely even a rain shower is looking like. Around the Portsmouth area seems the best place to be for storms in my opinion.

Edited by Liam Burge
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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

Fantastic ominous looking clouds here in Kent 

20220515_170307532.thumb.jpg.963883c1c3507ba2e01308aea75fa63b.jpg

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted
1 minute ago, jake44 said:

im so hyped right now and hoping they dont die who else feels hyped too

Yep, nervous energy building up, was tired earlier but now basically wide awake 

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Liam Burge Rising Star

Liam Burge

Posted
  • Location: Bristol // Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bristol // Bridgwater
Posted
2 minutes ago, jake44 said:

im so hyped right now and hoping they dont die who else feels hyped too

Good luck. Wouldn't hold too much hope though.

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

Loving the latest ARPEGE and WRF NMM MUCAPE charts for tonight - keen on a decent swathe of 500 up to 1,000 J/Kg. 
 

Edit - this is for London and SE - NMM being more generous of two.

Edited by Harry
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jake44 Contributor

jake44

Posted
  • Location: kent
  • Location: kent
Posted
2 minutes ago, Liam Burge said:

Good luck. Wouldn't hold too much hope though.

yeah i know thats the down side i really do hope they keep up this energy

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)

BOOM...

image?type=km&region=fr

Satellite images with clouds height of France, Weather in France - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM
Satellite images with clouds height of France, Weather in France - SAT24.com
image?type=visual&region=fr

Weather France, Satellite Weather France, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in France - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM
Weather France, Satellite Weather France, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in France - SAT24.com

6Ij.thumb.gif.7406e3b5944f4f58774b98fce450c72d.gif

those cells near the channel islands could be interesting for a few on the S coast as they are tracking straight north.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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James1979 Community Regular

James1979

Posted
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, gales, all extreme weather really!
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
Posted
30 minutes ago, Lance M said:

If I had a quid for every time this has been (correctly) pointed out in this thread since yesterday.....
 

Or in the last 15 years on here, literally high 100s if not more.

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BlueHedgehog074 Veteran

BlueHedgehog074

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
Posted
23 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Very true and surprises also pop up without warning too,S channel islands popping off now

i think anywhere in this circle(clear sector on sat) has the chance to produce some good storms.

Untitled.thumb.png.b338d8323784ccee2ecee6c5d8c5691b.png

Just like this he hee ⛈

E5DB2B07-1F08-4136-AC8E-082A3E2792ED.thumb.jpeg.1ba71271639ffddfa13c6ef2e5875335.jpeg

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

BBC has been taking steroids for Wednesday and into Thursday here 

Polish_20220515_172207804.thumb.png.2476dbc876f4a0384ae04c04fec260cd.png

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Jamie M Accomplished

Jamie M

Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14 m)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14 m)
  • Popular Post
Posted

6547393.thumb.gif.738c44f7409e7f12e8ef605ef246fa9b.gif

Impressive outflow from that MCS on satellite, looks like a shockwave rolling through

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Some of the concerns about the MCS sapping up all the energy maybe misplaced - looks like fresh cells firing behind the MCS

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Harry said:

Loving the latest ARPEGE and WRF NMM MUCAPE charts for tonight - keen on a decent swathe of 500 up to 1,000 J/Kg. 
 

Edit - this is for London and SE - NMM being more generous of two.

Even ARPEGE still much better than last night. Here's GFS ML CAPE too, unfortunately no MUCAPE charts.

GFS.thumb.png.dd57f407638bf7331fc3438a18b3c778.png

 

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

Are we gonna get a storm here or near here tonight?

 

The short answer is no.

The long answer is absolutely 100% hell no.

 

 

#reversepsychology ;]

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
4 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

6547393.thumb.gif.738c44f7409e7f12e8ef605ef246fa9b.gif

Impressive outflow from that MCS on satellite, looks like a shockwave rolling through

If it comes I'm going to try and get the shelf on camera, it's certain to have one, might look out for one regardless, the out flow will still be there, even if lightning has gone.

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

Have to say, this dead cell is quite photographable 

20220515_172829210.thumb.jpg.4472227534e87d053809ec9205e8e4c5.jpg

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
6 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

6547393.thumb.gif.738c44f7409e7f12e8ef605ef246fa9b.gif

Impressive outflow from that MCS on satellite, looks like a shockwave rolling through

How did you get the gif version Jamie?

 

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Jamie M Accomplished

Jamie M

Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14 m)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14 m)
Posted
1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:

If it comes I'm going to try and get the shelf on camera, it's certain to have one, might look out for one regardless, the out flow will still be there, even if lightning has gone.

Aye not a bad shout, tend to get some good shelfs on these imports. 

Just now, Allseasons-si said:

How did you get the gif version Jamie?

 

image?type=visual&region=eu

Weather Europe, Satellite Weather Europe, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Europe - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM
Weather Europe, Satellite Weather Europe, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Europe - SAT24.com

It's under 'Free data' in the bar at the top, took me a long while to figure out it was there. 

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The Tall Weatherman Rising Star

The Tall Weatherman

Posted
  • Location: Thrapston | Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather
  • Location: Thrapston | Northamptonshire
Posted

This looks like it is a supercell or something similar. I have been watching its hook like feature for a few mins!

707059FA-F004-44D0-B8AF-1E467503618B.jpeg

FC28F3FC-1C8B-4939-A077-77BC76EA3180.jpeg

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
3 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

Aye not a bad shout, tend to get some good shelfs on these imports. 

image?type=visual&region=eu

Weather Europe, Satellite Weather Europe, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Europe - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM
Weather Europe, Satellite Weather Europe, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Europe - SAT24.com

It's under 'Free data' in the bar at the top, took me a long while to figure out it was there. 

That's great thanks

5287920.thumb.gif.30ab4b868a76afc6cbe21d5529dee373.gif

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The Tall Weatherman Rising Star

The Tall Weatherman

Posted
  • Location: Thrapston | Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather
  • Location: Thrapston | Northamptonshire
Posted

I would take shelter right now if you were near that! That looks like a debris ball!

9DAAE6FC-6C23-4583-9968-6185AF5915B9.jpeg

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