Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023

[Sunny76]

Opening of clouds now with sunshine, but also high altitude clouds that look thundery. 
 

Could be a sign of later storms to come.

[Tamsin]

No height but plenty of instability from what I can see

[Methuselah]

Well, apart from an hour or so's moderate rain, Storm Antoni has, so far, delivered precisely NOTHING! 

PS: Other than a day of utter grot!

Edited August 5, 2023 by Methuselah

[Scuba steve]

Just now, Methuselah said:

Well, apart from an hour or so's moderate rain, Storm Antoni has, so far, delivered precisely NOTHING! 

Nothing at all here in fact this afternoon has been reasonable 

[Eagle Eye]

Convective Outlook ️

Heavy showers will develop across England, Ireland & Scotland.

Lightning will be limited however the odd/couple of strikes can't be ruled out.

[MrNooo]

Rumble of deep thunder here from the North

[Metwatch]

 

[Allseasons-Si]

My daughter sent me this funnel from thorpe hesley,Rotherham not long ago...

[Thunders]

2 hours ago, Allseasons-si said:

My daughter sent me this funnel from thorpe hesley,Rotherham not long ago...

Cool I’ve seen a few in my 13 years of living

[WeatherArc]

I see the GFS is having fun tonight 

Will note lots of CIN in the lowest 1km though. 

 

 

Way out of course but might need watching? Its shown up on a few runs now.

Edited August 7, 2023 by WeatherArc

[Metwatch]

Some distant convection looking towards a mostly southerly direction earlier this evening. 

Taken at 19:30 and 20:15 respectively. 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

12 hours ago, Allseasons-si said:

My daughter sent me this funnel from thorpe hesley,Rotherham not long ago...

Have you still got it? We could do with one in the south east

[Thunders]

1 hour ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Have you still got it? We could do with one in the south east

Yeah

[stainesbloke]

Reports coming in of a tornado near my town in Czechia (Nymburk) yesterday, some light damage over a few kms

[Eagle Eye]

A few cool looking showers yesterday.

And a couple days ago.

[Eagle Eye]

Convective Outlook ️

An occluded front will run through Scotland allowing showers to develop around it throughout Monday.

Showers may become intense/potent at times which. is where we could see the odd lightning strike or couple.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Not looking too active this week now. Another 7 days of summer storm potential lost

[A Face like Thunder]

Mention was made a few days ago of the Fastnet race tragedy of August 1979 when 21 sailors lost their lives in an August storm. Well, on Wednesday at 9pm, Ch 5 have another of their interesting weather programmes, this one entitled 'Killer Storm - The Fastnet Disaster'. During the programme, meteorologist Clare Nasir will explain why 1970s forecasts were 'rubbish'. Should be worth a watch.   

[alexisj9]

21 hours ago, Eagle Eye said:

A few cool looking showers yesterday.

And a couple days ago.

We got plenty of shower looking clouds, but no actual showers yesterday.

[ChannelThunder]

While it's relatively quiet, I just wanted to drop a link to my Arizona Monsoon blog, that I am planning to update daily while here chasing with Paul. There'll also be pics on my FB page.

https://arizonalightning.wordpress.com/

https://www.facebook.com/LanceMorganLightningPhotography

 

It's been an eventful start. My connecting flight at NYC was held for over two hours last night by...wait for it... severe thunderstorms. Now that's ironic! And just an hour ago, I was already treated to my first monsoon storm, spitting out bright pink CGs!

I've had about two hours' sleep...

 

Edited August 8, 2023 by ChannelThunder

[*Stormforce~beka*]

24 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:

While it's relatively quiet, I just wanted to drop a link to my Arizona Monsoon blog, that I am planning to update daily while here chasing with Paul. There'll also be pics on my FB page.

https://arizonalightning.wordpress.com/

https://www.facebook.com/LanceMorganLightningPhotography

 

It's been an eventful start. My connecting flight at NYC was held for over two hours last night by...wait for it... severe thunderstorms. Now that's ironic! And just an hour ago, I was already treated to my first monsoon storm, spitting out bright pink CGs!

I've had about two hours' sleep...

 

Sleep by day ... Up by night ...

[Mizzle]

9 hours ago, ChannelThunder said:

While it's relatively quiet, I just wanted to drop a link to my Arizona Monsoon blog, that I am planning to update daily while here chasing with Paul. There'll also be pics on my FB page.

https://arizonalightning.wordpress.com/

https://www.facebook.com/LanceMorganLightningPhotography

 

It's been an eventful start. My connecting flight at NYC was held for over two hours last night by...wait for it... severe thunderstorms. Now that's ironic! And just an hour ago, I was already treated to my first monsoon storm, spitting out bright pink CGs!

I've had about two hours' sleep...

 

Good luck with the storm chasing...I'll be keeping up with the blog. Thanks.

[WeatherArc]

Not sure what the 18z GFS run last night was smoking but I like it 

*Soundings taken from around Stafford and Welshpool. 

Haven't seen EHI at those values for the UK in a long time.

Pretty much perfect ingredients for UK supercells, 2000+ sbcape, widely 40+ kts of Bulk shear and some steep lapse rates. 850mb winds may also be marginally supportive of tornadoes given a veering wind profile. Think everyone here would be very pleased if this came off. 

Perhaps a sign of an explosive end to August? I mean its way out at the end of the runs and the 0z/06z runs have the cape stay down in France but runs like this one have popped up over the last few days.  Defo one to watch IMO. 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

13 hours ago, Mizzle said:

Good luck with the storm chasing...I'll be keeping up with the blog. Thanks.

I joined the FAcebook page

[ChannelThunder]

2 hours ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

I joined the FAcebook page

Thank you  Appreciate that! 

Heading up to the Grand Canyon today it would seem! Models break storms out in that area!